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December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm


Orangeburgwx
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1 hour ago, Lookout said:

after a ho hum run this morning,  this run is pretty scary looking for northeast ga in terms of ice potential. 925mb temps plummet by sat evening....on the order -4 to 5c... with surface temps dropping below freezing by midnight or so,,,even down to the northeast burbs of atlanta with a lot of precip left to go. 

 

 

I’ve learned over the years to not too excited too far out. Sunday and Monday runs were interesting - now with the consistency and getting closer it’s hard not to start getting pumped up a bit lol. So far things are looking interesting for ne ga - if we can get some of the lower dewpoints in we could be in business. Side note - after 70 Sunday and a warm Monday currently it’s 35 lol

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GFS blowing up all the convection around the low pressure this run at 96 off the coast. Always have to watch for the convective feedback where it won’t properly portray what the main precip field will look like but that is still some time away. Main takeaway is getting the details down of cad, LP placement etc before we get into that. 

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38 minutes ago, jburns said:

Here's a reason for the difference in GSP and RAL.

GSP


The low subsequently will move across the Southeast
Coastal Plain in a Miller A-type configuration.

RAL

low
tracks along the Gulf coast/S GA/FL Panhandle, likely evolving into
a Miller B configuration 

Sorry, I originally had that backwards.  Fixed now.

Too bad this winter storm can’t be named “Miller”!

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Don't get a chance to drop by too often but saw some ask about Euro snow maps from F5Weather.  Definitely less with the totals further east where there will likely be more mixing issues. Also am attaching UKMET snow which is a more robust with the snow further east.  Also UKMET is a severe ice storm for NEGA, Upstate of SC, and NC in the southern and eastern piedmont. Show over 1" of qpf falling as FZRA in Charlotte.

eurosnow.png

ukmetsnow.png

ukmetice.png

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