H2O Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: So it was more for keeping order than for the storm chances? Yes. it is silly to think that making a Storm Mode thread makes weather say eff you and take snow away from us. There was an effort and desire to get things back into shape regardless of outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The idea that the mods here don't control the weather is, frankly, shocking, and I reject it. I demand that tracker, Mappy, Wx, h20 et al make it snow here, as is in their obvious power. We all know that the model runs initiate off of the threads in the amwx weather mid-atlantic forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Maybe meaningful is not meaningful enough when we need bigger trends around here. I don't think I can play the "inches north" game with this one...For me, it's either seeing something different with the shortwave, or nothing at all Might not happen that way. Could be a fairly big shift over 2-3 consecutive runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: Might not happen that way. Could be a fairly big shift over 2-3 consecutive runs. We'll see...Like a football game that looks like a lost cause, yet still has enough time for your team to make a comeback, I'll keep watching...although, for my own sanity, maybe not as much, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Anyone think the 12z Euro has this thing nailed? It still may miss south, but it ain't gonna go down quite like that. I expect come incremental, maybe meaningful, changes over the next few model cycles. Still some uncertainty with the NS shortwave(s) coming in off the PAC and the degree of interaction with the ss shortwave, and that is key to how this system evolves. Some here need to step back from their computers for a bit. Or go dig up images of old model runs showing a snowstorm to give them the hit they so desire. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So it was more for keeping order than for the storm chances? Some, yes... but I don't think anyone should be throwing in the towel just yet. We have seen storms make last minute shifts, both in our favor and not, plenty of times before. Atmospheric memory jokes aside... I expect this to come north a little bit. Maybe not a KU storm like we had all hoped it would be, but I don't think we will all be smoking cirrus come Monday. While I get that "storm mode" is early to some, the LR thread really was sorting through a haystack to find good posts. Nothing necessarily wrong with that when things are quiet, but when its active, and we are all chasing a threat... its best to try and keep things in line/check. Sadly, it seems it requires us having to go into Storm Mode for people to dial it back, instead of being able to do so on their own. I'm not the most knowledgeable here, and I know that many dislike me... but I do want the thread to be readable, and if Randy wants storm mode, then I will happily help keep things clean, even if that means I am compared to someone's ex-wife. Such is life, I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Now we resurrect time honored weenie-isms like SNE will manage to get snow out of this no matter what. #winterisearly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, mappy said: Some, yes... but I don't think anyone should be throwing in the towel just yet. We have seen storms make last minute shifts, both in our favor and not, plenty of times before. Atmospheric memory jokes aside... I expect this to come north a little bit. Maybe not a KU storm like we had all hoped it would be, but I don't think we will all be smoking cirrus come Monday. While I get that "storm mode" is early to some, the LR thread really was sorting through a haystack to find good posts. Nothing necessarily wrong with that when things are quiet, but when its active, and we are all chasing a threat... its best to try and keep things in line/check. Sadly, it seems it requires us having to go into Storm Mode for people to dial it back, instead of being able to do so on their own. I'm not the most knowledgeable here, and I know that many dislike me... but I do want the thread to be readable, and if Randy wants storm mode, then I will happily help keep things clean, even if that means I am compared to someone's ex-wife. Such is life, I suppose. Well, I like you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, mappy said: Some, yes... but I don't think anyone should be throwing in the towel just yet. We have seen storms make last minute shifts, both in our favor and not, plenty of times before. Atmospheric memory jokes aside... I expect this to come north a little bit. Maybe not a KU storm like we had all hoped it would be, but I don't think we will all be smoking cirrus come Monday. While I get that "storm mode" is early to some, the LR thread really was sorting through a haystack to find good posts. Nothing necessarily wrong with that when things are quiet, but when its active, and we are all chasing a threat... its best to try and keep things in line/check. Sadly, it seems it requires us having to go into Storm Mode for people to dial it back, instead of being able to do so on their own. I'm not the most knowledgeable here, and I know that many dislike me... but I do want the thread to be readable, and if Randy wants storm mode, then I will happily help keep things clean, even if that means I am compared to someone's ex-wife. Such is life, I suppose. 7 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Well, I like you. I second that--I appreciate what ya do, mother mappy! (Besides, SOMEBODY has to be the adult around here when weenie emotions run wild...lol) I understand now why yall did what ya did this afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Well, I like you. 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I second that--I appreciate what ya do, mother mappy! (Besides, SOMEBODY has to be the adult around here when weenie emotions run wild...lol) I understand now why yall did what ya did this afternoon! thanks guys, appreciate the kind words. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The 7-5-3 rule is real I tell ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Man southern NJ is getting raked by that Norlun... http://attheshore.com/livecam-accc556#sponsorad https://www.weathernerds.org/radar/rad.html?&initsite=KDIX&initradtype=ref&initcscheme=undefined&initimdimx=1016&initimdimy=775&initrange=42.023316520000:-77.118946090000:37.870868680000:-71.702509850000&initloop=True&initnframes=6&initwarnings=On&initinterstates=On Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Storm mode? This isn't NC lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Thank you for storm mode. It was very hard trying to figure out what was going on for a while. The fight to be the first one to analyze the upper air pattern at hour 78 was funny. I just pay attention to the six or eight long time contributors. And JI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Storm mode? This isn't NC lol I agree, premature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Too bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Longtime lurker, new poster. Just saying hello and thanks to all the knowledgeable posters. I’ve learned a lot from this forum. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Giving up on day 5 is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, jaydreb said: Longtime lurker, new poster. Just saying hello and thanks to all the knowledgeable posters. I’ve learned a lot from this forum. Welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Man southern NJ is getting raked by that Norlun... http://attheshore.com/livecam-accc556#sponsorad https://www.weathernerds.org/radar/rad.html?&initsite=KDIX&initradtype=ref&initcscheme=undefined&initimdimx=1016&initimdimy=775&initrange=42.023316520000:-77.118946090000:37.870868680000:-71.702509850000&initloop=True&initnframes=6&initwarnings=On&initinterstates=On its actually an inverted trough, but i agree... good stuff. 11 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Storm mode? This isn't NC lol 6 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I agree, premature log off and don't come back then. not sure what to tell you guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, mappy said: its actually an inverted trough, but i agree... good stuff. log off and don't come back then. not sure what to tell you guys. Oh I thought I saw a met say it was a norlun... maybe they were saying it wasn't a norlun. Can't remember and certainly can't identify it myself, which is why I dropped it in banter. Thanks for the correction Its hilarious to see one county under a winter storm warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, caviman2201 said: Oh I thought I saw a met say it was a norlun... maybe they were saying it wasn't a norlun haha Thanks for the correction Perspecta weather referred to it as norlun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Very nice eulogy by George W. Bush for his father today. *Now back to your regularly scheduled cancel winter programming* 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 That inverted trough was very well modeled even 3 and 4 days ago. I was very skeptical but it turned out nearly perfectly modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, caviman2201 said: Oh I thought I saw a met say it was a norlun... maybe they were saying it wasn't a norlun haha Thanks for the correction ive seen it be described as both, so maybe we are both right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Ban me https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1070391572687216642 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 One county in NJ was warned on, impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 We need some SREF up in here stat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, luckyamaha said: Exactly. It's still ways to go until final day. But ch4 Doug Kammerer said it's south and not to expect anything Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Well he knows!!! Give that man a cookie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 as we all wait for the 12z GEOS-5 to run, let's look at the 00z so we'll have it as a baseline for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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