87storms Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 23 minutes ago, das said: This parade of full latitude winter storms is remarkable. How many times have we seen this so far in the last two months? if it's gonna rain, i like the idea of temps in the 50s tomorrow. wondering if this ends up being a midwest winter. the next few weeks will speak volumes as to how this winter turns out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 50 minutes ago, das said: Looks to be a soaking, warm-sector rains for the 12 hours leading up to Midnight on NYE as well. Sprinting through the finish line to end the year... It does. It will be interesting to see if the heaviest rains will be focused on the Baltimore-Washington area and nearby suburbs. It has certainly been a memorable year for precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 19 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Through December 26, Dulles International Airport (IAD) at Sterling, VA has received 65.12" precipitation. That is the second highest yearly precipitation total on record. The record is 65.67", which was set in 2003. Another storm will bring a moderate to possibly significant rainfall to the region Thursday into Friday evening. It is likely that enough precipitation will be recorded so that total precipitation during 2018 will surpass the 2003 record. Some implied probabilities based on sensitivity analysis applied to the 12z and 18z guidance: 0.25" or more: 90% 0.50" or more: 76% 0.56" or more: 71% (amount needed to surpass the 2003 annual precipitation record) 0.75" or more: 54% 1.00" or more: 31% All major models have over 1" at iad now. Some have over 2". Record is pretty much a slam dunk unless some very odd dryslot forms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Amped said: All major models have over 1" at iad now. Some have over 2". Record is pretty much a slam dunk unless some very odd dryslot forms. They have. The record should easily be surpassed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Ahead of the upcoming rainstorm, below is a list of select locations that have set annual precipitation records this year: Baltimore: 70.05” Beltsville, MD: 64.80” Charleston, WV: 66.18” Cumberland (2), MD: 66.24” Danville, VA: 65.93” Emmitsburg (2 SE), MD: 75.57” Frostburg (2), MD: 73.75” Lynchburg, VA: 63.78” Mechanicsville (5 NE), MD: 79.62” Oakland (1 SE), MD: 69.77” Roanoke: 60.84” Washington, DC: 64.77” In addition, Sterling, VA has received 65.12” precipitation this year. Following the upcoming storm, Sterling will very likely have surpassed the existing record of 65.67”, which was set in 2003. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 So...NWS failed again on forecast here, was for a high of 49, high was 39.8 and it has fell to 39.1/27.8 currently. Wonder if we could get a little surprise sleet until the dew and temp met when precip arrives, I'll be watching. Radar is showing pinks just to my west as it advances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 As of 6:25 am, 0.57" rain had fallen at Dulles International Airport at Sterling, VA. That brings 2018's total precipitation to 65.69". As a result, 2018 is now the wettest year on record at Sterling. The previous annual precipitation record was 65.67", which was set in 2003. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 13 hours ago, wxdude64 said: So...NWS failed again on forecast here, was for a high of 49, high was 39.8 and it has fell to 39.1/27.8 currently. Wonder if we could get a little surprise sleet until the dew and temp met when precip arrives, I'll be watching. Radar is showing pinks just to my west as it advances. Nope. Precip never made it to me until just before midnight. The DP and climbed to 31 by then, temp locked in the 39 range all night while DP continued to climb, no sleet when it started. STILL 39.9/39.4 at 7:30 this am. Another 0.44 to add to the record numbers for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Oh hey, it’s raining again. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 0.83" overnight, bringing my total for the year to 69.95" Rain has ended for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2 hours ago, WVclimo said: 0.83" overnight, bringing my total for the year to 69.95" Rain has ended for now. I'd say the chance of you topping 70" is REALLY high. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 0.6" overnight in McHenry. Went from a deep winter look yesterday to patchy, soggy snow today. F these cutters. Up to 51 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Anyone know why LWX is going with 90% chance of rain on Monday? Looking at GFS/NAM and it appears any precip holds off till later in the evening. Trying to plan out a tailgate at Navy stadium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2 hours ago, wxdude64 said: I'd say the chance of you topping 70" is REALLY high. lol Good call. Over 70" now, which is incredible. I can only find one year over 60" (1996) in all of the local records dating back to the early 1900's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 .7 total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Good call. Over 70" now, which is incredible. I can only find one year over 60" (1996) in all of the local records dating back to the early 1900's. Amazing, 10 inches greater than the previous high.....sheesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1.08 event so far, 79.8 for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentredMan Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1.24 as event ends for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1.09” 75.21” annual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 About 1.25" today. Up to about a million" for the year. My back yard may not dry out till spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 4 hours ago, Stormpc said: 1.08 event so far, 79.8 for the year. 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: 1.09” 75.21” annual I had the same amount in S. Arlington: 1.08! System slightly underperformed (for me) because they were calling from 1.5 to 2.5 (most models). Temp never got close to 60 as they had also called. My high was 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 1.08" for the day... sigh. So tired of rain, especially when the temps are within 10F or so of promoting white stuff. The ground is so saturated the water gushes up around your feet as you walk. Pretty darn foggy out there. Was outside about 2 hours ago when the rain was trailing off. Had a slight touch of wind and then you could feel the warmer temps and humidity roll in over just a couple of minutes. Transitioned quickly from fairly good visibility post rain to dense fog in just a few minutes. Rather surreal to be out as the conditions changed so fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 felt like march outside today. no complaints here. i've always been in the "if it's not gonna snow, throw me some 50 degree temps" camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Had a trace of snow grains on my deck this morning. December wasn't a shutout! Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 A dusting in Canaan. December is rockin! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Cloudy and in upper 30's this am. Yesterday felt 'springish' with a breeze, full sun and temps in low/mid 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Got a surprise 0.1” of snow overnight. Nice coating on everything again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/28/2018 at 8:13 AM, mappy said: Oh hey, it’s raining again. . bump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 37 degrees and 0.15” so far. Wind advisory here tonight for gusts up to 45 mph. Wind, woo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Just reached 90" even for the year! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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