Maestrobjwa Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, luckyamaha said: Clear Dc snow shield in full effect Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Might wanna try posting this in the storm thread! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Uh oh... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyamaha Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Uh oh...Southern slider???Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Uh oh... Lol. So how many are you going to send over the edge with your suppression trolling? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 34 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: You worry too much. The pattern showing up strongly favors the mid-Atlantic getting action. Sometimes it will favor southern portions, sometimes north, sometimes all. Northern missed out this time that is all. And with how active both streams have been we will get plenty of chances this year if the pattern showing up is legit. You would think! Hard to imagine that all the rain storms we've had all end up as suppressed snowstorms...but it did happen in 1980! (But at least the winter prior to that one was pretty awesome--but in this case, we've been suffering for over two years...which is why even the prospect of not producing even in a nino is nerve-wracking) (I think I can curtail my anxiety after awhile...but if things are suppressed again at the end of the month...I won't trust anything for the winter--because that would be twice in a row! I will feel better once I'm shoveling something that is 5 inches or more, lol My shovel has gently weeped for the last 2 1/2 years...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Uh oh... Any confluence? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Any confluence? Lol That looks suppressive af. Not again. ugh!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: That looks suppressive af. Not again. ugh!! Yup, there goes our Christmas storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Yep. GFS says we get 2+ inches of rain followed by a suppressed southern slider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just now, yoda said: Yup, there goes our Christmas storm Central NC will have 30" before Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Yup, there goes our Christmas storm Yea, looking like a late dec/early Jan redux from last year. Maybe we can eek out a small event in Feb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 I will laugh so hard if there's another southern slider like today's around Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, looking like a late dec/early Jan redux from last year. Maybe we can eek out a small event in Feb. Nah, that will be crushed by the super -EPO in which it will be cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Any confluence? Lol Yep, too much and the trend has been for confluence to increase as leads shorten. GA should keep an eye on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 10 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Lol. So how many are you going to send over the edge with your suppression trolling? Here's the deal... my yard missed a warning level event closer than many people's morning commute. Now the pac is going to evacuate the entire continent of cold air and it's likely not coming back for nearly 2 weeks so we're in a shutout pattern for the most part. Tack on the end of the skins half decent season and the wizards got embarrassed by the crappy Cavs. All this = a very bored BobChill. The short answer to your question is all of them. And I may visit other subs if I don't find satisfaction in ours. 4 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Here's the deal... my yard missed a warning level event closer than many people's morning commute. Now the pac is going to evacuate the entire continent of cold air and it's likely not coming back for nearly 2 weeks so we're in a shutout pattern for the most part. Tack on the end of the skins half decent season and the wizards got embarrassed by the crappy Cavs. All this = a very bored BobChill. The short answer to your question is all of them. And I may visit other subs if I don't find satisfaction in ours. You are a bitter, bitter man. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Are we seriously going to jump before actual winter sets in and hope for HAARP to press a button and we get a snowstorm? eta: There needs to be a banter thread just for suppression trolling. The SE forum would be proud! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: You are a bitter, bitter man. I'm just getting started. It's going to be low hanging fruit everywhere after today. Especially when we get 3" of rain later this week and highs pushing 60 next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 15 minutes ago, Fozz said: I will laugh so hard if there's another southern slider like today's around Christmas. By that point I wouldn't even be following because I woulda jumped off the threat several days prior if there were even a HINT of suppression! Ain't gonna ruin my birthday and Christmas...heck no! (but that scenario would be a gut punch that would be hard to ignore...so let's hope that doesn't happen! We don't deserve that! Lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: By that point I wouldn't even be following because I woulda jumped off the threat several days prior if there were even a HINT of suppression! Ain't gonna ruin my birthday and Christmas...heck no! (but that scenario would be a gut punch that would be hard to ignore...so let's hope that doesn't happen! We don't deserve that! Lol) In all seriousness though, I'm still very optimistic about this winter. A few near misses won't bother me too much. Even many of the good years (like 02-03 and 95-96) had quite a few impressive storms miss us to the south or fringe us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 44 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: By that point I wouldn't even be following because I woulda jumped off the threat several days prior if there were even a HINT of suppression! Ain't gonna ruin my birthday and Christmas...heck no! (but that scenario would be a gut punch that would be hard to ignore...so let's hope that doesn't happen! We don't deserve that! Lol) Hey dude...you're exhausting and I'm not even the one answering your questions...or should I say question because it's the same one a hundred different ways 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: Here's the deal... my yard missed a warning level event closer than many people's morning commute. Now the pac is going to evacuate the entire continent of cold air and it's likely not coming back for nearly 2 weeks so we're in a shutout pattern for the most part. Tack on the end of the skins half decent season and the wizards got embarrassed by the crappy Cavs. All this = a very bored BobChill. The short answer to your question is all of them. And I may visit other subs if I don't find satisfaction in ours. I live in Fairfax County where the snow is just over the border in Prince William. I've had to avoid facebook today for the most part because it's just depressing. My dad and my uncle live in Charles County and they have a couple of inches. However, I came on here to see what's up with later this week. A friend told me she had a snowflake on her phone app for Thursday. Is there anything to track for the near future??? Just a little snowflake? Anything???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 13 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Hey dude...you're exhausting and I'm not even the one answering your questions...or should I say question because it's the same one a hundred different ways I think I've been more blowing off anxiety steam than asking a question, but...(although I am finding out more about what causes suppression) I'll try to scale back (besides, nothing to talk about for the next two weeks or so!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I live in Fairfax County where the snow is just over the border in Prince William. I've had to avoid facebook today for the most part because it's just depressing. My dad and my uncle live in Charles County and they have a couple of inches. However, I came on here to see what's up with later this week. A friend told me she had a snowflake on her phone app for Thursday. Is there anything to track for the near future??? Just a little snowflake? Anything???? Very unlikely. I suppose there's a powerball odds chance if precip rushes in and the stale rotting airmass in place is less rotten but even if a snowflake fell the surface temps will be above freezing. It's best to just concede that this week and next week are toast (litreally next week. Lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 18 minutes ago, Fozz said: In all seriousness though, I'm still very optimistic about this winter. A few near misses won't bother me too much. Even many of the good years (like 02-03 and 95-96) had quite a few impressive storms miss us to the south. That offers me some relief...I would love nothing more than to look back on this week and laugh as I shovel WSW-level snow a month (or less?) from now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I think I've been more blowing off anxiety steam than asking a question, but...(although I am finding out more about what causes suppression) I'll try to scale back (besides, nothing to talk about for the next two weeks or so!) How long have you lived in this area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: How long have you lived in this area? All my life (but I'm only 27, lol) However...I've only been tracking the weather models and such since around 2014 or so (since I first discovered this board). So while I was aware how inconsistent snow can be around here...I'm only just learning why...And actually SEEING the storms miss as opposed to just following the forecast...it's even more frustrating (I guess ignorance was bliss in a way--although I was always kinda obsessed with snow and disappointed when the forecast didn't pan out) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You can always find me in The Panic Room I MAY only jump if we get two more suppressions without getting any snow in between them...so we'll see! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You can always find me in The Panic Room I explored the Panic Room once. Never again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I MAY only jump if we get two more suppressions without getting any snow in between them...so we'll see! You should change your name to suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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