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NorEastermass128

December Discussion

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Ha she's referring to the 7-foot tall middle finger someone put in their front yard up here flipping off the town of Richmond, VT. It's been in the news.  Guy had a garage project permit rejected by the town so he made a giant middle finger and stuck it by the road.  It's been almost a tourist attraction the past two weeks, lol.

That's funny!  thought he was giving me the finger!

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13 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Well, that didnt go over well. Didnt mean for tnt to think i was telling him to go F himself.

I have thought about making a pilgrimage to the finger!

hahaha... ya, I thought you were giving me the finger - all good! 

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2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Wow. What a wall of heat coming into all of New England on Friday. Shut em down. At least Christmas week looks chilly. 

Ha yeah I don't think we can avoid that one like this last modeled cutter that got beaten down in time.  Friday looks like it would take a miracle to avoid.

Our 6-week pattern of cold and snow is coming to an end...started in October but it was a great run of near record cold 30-day periods and record mountain snow depths.  Time to reshuffle the deck it looks like.  

Thats about right too...patterns seem to like to lock for 4-6 weeks but hard to sustain that type of cold for so long.  Like Ginxy posted a few days ago, MPV had its coldest average max temps in 68 years of records between 11/10-12/10 or something like that.  Can't do that forever.  Late fall early winter pattern of yore.  Put it in the sea scrolls.

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Just now, powderfreak said:

Ha yeah I don't think we can avoid that one like this last modeled cutter that got beaten down in time.  Friday looks like it would take a miracle to avoid.

Maybe pray it cuts so far west we don’t get much rain...just showers to cold fropa and ull/upslope snows for you.

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5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ha yeah I don't think we can avoid that one like this last modeled cutter that got beaten down in time.  Friday looks like it would take a miracle to avoid.

Our 6-week pattern of cold and snow is coming to an end...started in October but it was a great run of near record cold 30-day periods and record mountain snow depths.  Time to reshuffle the deck it looks like.  

Thats about right too...patterns seem to like to lock for 4-6 weeks but hard to sustain that type of cold for so long.  Like Ginxy posted a few days ago, MPV had its coldest average max temps in 68 years of records between 11/10-12/10 or something like that.  Can't do that forever.

That’s a furnace. 564 thicknesses and 14C At 850. Kevin would be calling for 90 at BDL if it were July. :lol:   The snow in November was fun, but good riddance and time to reshuffle. 

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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Man...d6 and even the GFS manages to CAD me in that until the cold fropa from the SW. I need a serotonin injection.

Gfs says plenty more opportunities to torch after. :lol:  what a shitty time for the pattern to crap out for Christmas break. Hopefully it’s not too bad.

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs says plenty more opportunities to torch after. :lol:  what a shitty time for the pattern to crap out for Christmas break. Hopefully it’s not too bad.

Is anyone surprised? Christmas time recently has been horrible for winter weather. I don’t count the junk coating we got last year as “good”.

I knew when we were cold and snow in mid November that we were definitely cooked for Christmas 

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Is anyone surprised? Christmas time recently has been horrible for winter weather. I don’t count the junk coating we got last year as “good”.

I knew when we were cold and snow in mid November that we were definitely cooked for Christmas 

My hood got a nice, plowable snowfall last year.  Best Christmas one in years

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1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

My hood got a nice, plowable snowfall last year.  Best Christmas one in years

Almost 2.5” here and mostly in one hour. That was the most special morning I can recall. Overachiever. 

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Almost 2.5” here and mostly in one hour. That was the most special morning I can recall. Overachiever. 

My entry last year. :lol:

2017-12-25 0.20 Christmas Mehrical

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In the good news department, the euro ensembles have what seems to be a few chances of overrunning after Christmas. Nice high pressure to the north even on the mean.  Also, the stratosphere is getting socked around. This isn’t typical stratospheric voodoo that we always see from the typical twitter folks...it’s a legit and substantial warming. It’s getting beyond 50mb and below so start watching H5 changes in guidance. Hopefully anyways. 

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Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

My entry last year. :lol:

2017-12-25 0.20 Christmas Mehrical

Yeah I think you just missed it. My folks didn’t get much either. It was a tail end band. 

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28 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ha yeah I don't think we can avoid that one like this last modeled cutter that got beaten down in time.  Friday looks like it would take a miracle to avoid.

Our 6-week pattern of cold and snow is coming to an end...started in October but it was a great run of near record cold 30-day periods and record mountain snow depths.  Time to reshuffle the deck it looks like.  

Thats about right too...patterns seem to like to lock for 4-6 weeks but hard to sustain that type of cold for so long.  Like Ginxy posted a few days ago, MPV had its coldest average max temps in 68 years of records between 11/10-12/10 or something like that.  Can't do that forever.  Late fall early winter pattern of yore.  Put it in the sea scrolls.

What a bummer.  Family ski trip to stowe - skiing sat, sun, mon.  Been talking up all the snow up there, all the great tree skiing, and promising ending the day with the Bruce trail > matterhorn.  

Oh well - best hope for off trail and natural stuff I suppose is, saturday stays on the warm side and doesn't rain too long.  Looks like everything will freeze by Sunday.

Knew it couldn't last, but was hoping to would't turn until X-mas.

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25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s a furnace. 564 thicknesses and 14C At 850. Kevin would be calling for 90 at BDL if it were July. :lol:   The snow in November was fun, but good riddance and time to reshuffle. 

Ha I hear your frustrations.  Cold and not snowy is not a fun pattern for most winter weather enthusiasts.  More frustrating than just a mild pattern because you know you have no shot anyways in that.  

Reshuffle and see what we get in January.

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Just now, powderfreak said:

Ha I hear your frustrations.  Cold and not snowy is not a fun pattern for most winter weather enthusiasts.  More frustrating than just a mild pattern because you know you have no shot anyways in that.  

Reshuffle and see what we get in January.

Yeah.  It’s been great for you guys and not to take anything away from that. But I suppose we need some bad luck too. Haven’t had much of that. 

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

In the good news department, the euro ensembles have what seems to be a few chances of overrunning after Christmas. Nice high pressure to the north even on the mean.  Also, the stratosphere is getting socked around. This isn’t typical stratospheric voodoo that we always see from the typical twitter folks...it’s a legit and substantial warming. It’s getting beyond 50mb and below so start watching H5 changes in guidance. Hopefully anyways. 

Glass half full dept!

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Glass half full dept!

When even I think the strat stuff is impressive, it says a lot. Most of the strat nonsense on twitter is garbage.  I’m not sure how it will manifest at 500, but hell of a lot better than a black hole there.

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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This isn’t typical stratospheric voodoo that we always see from the typical twitter folks...it’s a legit and substantial warming. It’s getting beyond 50mb and below so start watching H5 changes in guidance. Hopefully anyways.

Coming from you that is indeed good news.

I still feel this will work its way into the pattern, but it does take time. 

Whether it drives big changes or only enhances a "better " pattern, well I am not sure yet. But, like you said, it is real and it is happening.  

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