CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought EPS dug in with more gradient peril potentially. Always have to be careful with that. Heights are AN in the east, despite the chilly surface. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Always have to be careful with that. Heights are AN in the east, despite the chilly surface. It looked like a potential feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: It looked like a potential feast or famine. Hopefully my latitude helps here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Always have to be careful with that. Heights are AN in the east, despite the chilly surface. Wouldn’t that be an icey situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wouldn’t that be an icey situation. If played right sure. Anyways, silly to get into semantics so far out. What is striking to me, is that this is not typical at all. Not really for Nino. Any worries about moderate or greater are LOL right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 hours ago, dendrite said: smocking? I mean smocking cirrus sounds marginally better than smoking it. The EPS definitely tickled warmer for BDL. 50th percentile now in the 50s Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: I mean smocking cirrus sounds marginally better than smoking it. The EPS definitely tickled warmer for BDL. 50th percentile now in the 50s Saturday. But charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Always have to be careful with that. Heights are AN in the east, despite the chilly surface. Icestorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If played right sure. Anyways, silly to get into semantics so far out. What is striking to me, is that this is not typical at all. Not really for Nino. Any worries about moderate or greater are LOL right now. That enso thread on the main forum was hilarious. People trying to pound their chests over a weekly number and subsurface saying this would be solidly moderate while ignoring how slow the event started. This is a paltry weak El Niño. As soon as the WWBs abated, the numbers reverted back to weak. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 New England is also going to be in the top tier for HDDs per energy met over next 10+ days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Icestorms Happy 10th anniversary of Ekster trolling you with the ice storm headlines! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That enso thread on the main forum was hilarious. People trying to pound their chests over a weekly number and subsurface saying this would be solidly moderate while ignoring how slow the event started. This is a paltry weak El Niño. As soon as the WWBs abated, the numbers reverted back to weak. AWT. Yeah I ventured in there and it was Ray against many. Lots of erly anomalies right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: New England is also going to be in the top tier for HDDs per energy met over next 10+ days. If my wife keeps running the gas fireplace all day every day does it make a difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: If my wife keeps running the gas fireplace all day every day does it make a difference? My wife is always cold. It drives me nuts. Me, I have a nuclear reactor inside me. I can wear a t-shirt when it's 8F out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 58 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I just opened Alex's post and went to his camera link, man dude has got an epic view He has just a perfect spot. Went to visit and brought the drone to get a good idea of the mountains in his area. He is right on the Ammonoosuc River on a very low spot. I think his elevation is around 1500 feet. Wall of the Whites just to his south for great upslope. Here is a video of his area and the house. Im very envious. Ammonoosuc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Happy 10th anniversary of Ekster trolling you with the ice storm headlines! One of the funnier memories of that event. Ekster stopped the ice storm watch at the MA border and kevin threw an epic tantrum. But it turned out to be a great call two days out...siggy ice had a lot of trouble making it south of the border in central areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: He has just a perfect spot. Went to visit and brought the drone to get a good idea of the mountains in his area. He is right on the Ammonoosuc River on a very low spot. I think his elevation is around 1500 feet. Wall of the Whites just to his south for great upslope. Here is a video of his area and the house. Im very envious. Ammonoosuc His grid in our forecast builder ranges from 1500 ft to like 3000 ft. Try making an accurate average forecast from that 1x1km box. 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: One of the funnier memories of that event. Ekster stopped the ice storm watch at the MA border and kevin threw an epic tantrum. But it turned out to be a great call two days out...siggy ice had a lot of trouble making it south of the border in central areas. It still makes him chuckle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: He has just a perfect spot. Went to visit and brought the drone to get a good idea of the mountains in his area. He is right on the Ammonoosuc River on a very low spot. I think his elevation is around 1500 feet. Wall of the Whites just to his south for great upslope. Here is a video of his area and the house. Im very envious. Ammonoosuc you forgot the video link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 How is Jspin's view? Never seen that from him. Unless he's got trees close by, must be some good looks from his place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Damn PF 2nd coldest this monthly period of weather ever at Montpelier, 1st coldest on maxes too wow. Thats a 68 year record base Past Month 11/11/18 - 12/10/18 View History 100% 30 Daily Value 30.4 °F 15.7 °F 23 °F 3.12 in Bismarck, ND Max: 34.1 °F Min: 14 °F DFN -9.1 °F -7.5 °F -8.3 °F +0.0 in Ranking 1st coldest 2nd coldest 2nd coldest 27th wettest Similar DOY ? Feb 2-Mar 1 Nov 28-Dec 27 Dec 1-Dec 30 No hyperbole here... when you couple the highest ever November snowpack for the mountains and high-end cold (as your post shows), this is close to a once-in-a-lifetime start to winter in the NNE mtns for snow/cold combo. I may not have even been fully grasping that cold departure and snow combo too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: My wife is always cold. It drives me nuts. Me, I have a nuclear reactor inside me. I can wear a t-shirt when it's 8F out. Burly men doing burly things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: No hyperbole here... when you couple the highest ever November snowpack for the mountains and high-end cold (as your post shows), this is close to a once-in-a-lifetime start to winter in the NNE mtns for snow/cold combo. I may not have even been fully grasping that cold departure and snow combo too. Exceptional start, always like big early years to ski empty slopes mid week the week before Christmas. They are pretty few and far between where everything is in play. Sucks but i will survive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: One of the funnier memories of that event. Ekster stopped the ice storm watch at the MA border and kevin threw an epic tantrum. But it turned out to be a great call two days out...siggy ice had a lot of trouble making it south of the border in central areas. lol that was great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Exceptional start, always like big early years to ski empty slopes mid week the week before Christmas. They are pretty few and far between where everything is in play. Sucks but i will survive Shut em down to the border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Exceptional start, always like big early years to ski empty slopes mid week the week before Christmas. They are pretty few and far between where everything is in play. Sucks but i will survive If there's a time for big negative departures in NNE it's November into December and then again in March and April....that's when it seems to lead to big snow. These same departures in Jan/Feb would almost certainly be suppression depression lol. 30-day means of -7 to -9 in mid-winter is definitely different up here than when it occurs in the bookend seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: If there's a time for big negative departures in NNE it's November into December and then again in March and April....that's when it seems to lead to big snow. These same departures in Jan/Feb would almost certainly be suppression depression lol. 30-day means of -7 to -9 in mid-winter is definitely different up here than when it occurs in the bookend seasons. So just average 32 degrees for 6 months straight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: So just average 32 degrees for 6 months straight? Haha that would be ideal honestly. Find a way to have the average high be 32F from Nov 1 through April 15. JSpin and I have always mused the best pattern for here if you were to draw it up in a vacuum with no other influences would be well below normal start in November that trends to normal temps for Jan/Feb then dips back to below normal in March and well below in April, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 All that matters is if they'll be enough cover and cold enough temps for the sleds trails to be open up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: One of the funnier memories of that event. Ekster stopped the ice storm watch at the MA border and kevin threw an epic tantrum. But it turned out to be a great call two days out...siggy ice had a lot of trouble making it south of the border in central areas. Another gradient event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Miller b on the gfs for next Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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