Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The double ASATT rule. When ginxy and capecodder toss a system, we pick it up. You be nuttin but a peanut gallery member though so there's that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Listen man things change quickly, its so far out. That Scooter sh it confluence in Canada is killing us, is it overdone on modeling?, maybe but maybe not. I wouldn't fret anything outside of 3-5 days in winter especially. I just don't but the its gonna come north arguements because of nino state or because they always do. As it stands not looking good with snow probs above 1 inch on the EPS below 20% through day 10 They always are low. It’s coming and it’s a no doubter. Again not a bomb.. but a nice 4-8” er Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You be nuttin but a peanut gallery member though so there's that Come back with something funnier like the rock video, good one. This comment is pretty corny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: They always are low. It’s coming and it’s a no doubter. Again not a bomb.. but a nice 4-8” er Best of luck, hopefully it works out, if it doesn't there is always another on the horizon, not feeling it yet thats all. Maybe by the weekend I will,who knows. One thing for certain the peanut gallery will always be there to say something about someone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Come back with something funnier like the rock video, good one. This comment is pretty corny. Maybe more Apropos 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: funny DT story, I think it's late 2000, maybe the millennial storm. debates were getting heated on model runs, southern snows etc. DT doesn't know me from Adam but we are bantering. The phone rings at my office at Merrill Lynch, Mike it's Dave Tolleris I just don't see this thing hitting the northeast...blah blah. I couldn't believe the guy somehow tracked me down and called me lol That’s a good one! How did he track you down! I think I may have had my wife take a picture of me standing in snow in my yard with a sign “this look like rain Dave?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They always are low. It’s coming and it’s a no doubter. Again not a bomb.. but a nice 4-8” er I doubt it’s big north of nyc too but this idea it’s all s jet when there’s a number of complicated sw’s in the flow, too early to say ‘next’. Strange to hear it from captain optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Maybe more Apropos Sorry you take offense, didn’t know you this sensitive to ‘fun’ pokes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 As much as I love the idea of a good storm I could do without it next week. How it's easy to forget there are still people up here in Andover/Lawrence without there heat turned back on from the gas explosions. I imagine any storm is just going to be a set back for them completing the work. Hopefully the mountains get in on some action later in December because they got a good base up there. Riding conditions on Saturday were phenomenal and I don't think I ever left the trees. We can score here later in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s a good one! How did he track you down! I think I may have had my wife take a picture of me standing in snow in my yard with a sign “this look like rain Dave?” Jerry to this day I have no idea. And this was pretty early internet, pre social media etc. Somehow he looked me up or something, it's a great mystery. Funny conversation though, the guy has passion I'll give him that. I miss it too, he knows his stuff but swings and misses like everyone. His are legend though because of the bulletin board debates and rants surrounding them, classic stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 29 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: funny DT story, I think it's late 2000, maybe the millennial storm. debates were getting heated on model runs, southern snows etc. DT doesn't know me from Adam but we are bantering. The phone rings at my office at Merrill Lynch, Mike it's Dave Tolleris I just don't see this thing hitting the northeast...blah blah. I couldn't believe the guy somehow tracked me down and called me lol Did it hit the northeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, DavisStraight said: Did it hit the northeast? But of course. We got something like 15” of Richmond’s snow up in NJ up northeast on SNE. We always get Richmond’s snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They always are low. It’s coming and it’s a no doubter. Again not a bomb.. but a nice 4-8” er Keep steering the ship northward, see if you can pull it in. No doubter made me chuckle though, you've got a special gift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 These don’t always come north, we only remember the ones that come north, for obvious reasons. Its a complicated look, and that means we could see big changes at short leads. This “event” if and when it reaches us is about a week away. Its not a great look currently, but I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns out a bit better, or at least grazes south and east area with some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Keep steering the ship northward, see if you can pull it in. No doubter made me chuckle though, you've got a special gift. Lol... I must admit, I do like the bargaining aspect. Like maybe if I’m not greedy and only call for a moderate 4-8” event, it’ll come north and work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 BTW, I mostly lurk in NYC and NE thread, especially with a place in Stratton now. But I miss those days of one merged thread with DT, Jerry, Ji, Anthony in NYC, Scott, Jeb all the heavy hitters. Classic stuff and some great meltdowns lol. As an aside here is a pic from the front porch of the cabin this weekend. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't understand this logic but whatever gets you off It’s a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s a joke Duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sorry you take offense, didn’t know you this sensitive to ‘fun’ pokes. Possibly not probable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 I just don’t think euro/eps can hone in on an area for 10 days in a messy flow. S stream is relatively easy to handle....n stream not. I’ll give it until Friday night before I call Ginxy my daddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 hour ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: But of course. We got something like 15” of Richmond’s snow up in NJ up northeast on SNE. We always get Richmond’s snow. Snowplow? From Allaire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 18z eps is looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: <GEM> stop there. Peeps are crazy, Euro has been locked in on the MA SE with a NC MYT jack. All STJ, it happens You took that quote out of context. My point was that the GEM has been inconsistent. 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Nino Schmino, it doesn't matter, press a HP down into the MA, throw in a juiced STJ. I don't care what the Nino state is. Next Nothing is absolute, but implying that el nino should not be taken into consideration when speculating on the preferred storm evolution is silly. Obviously there is a point when you toss it out the window, but day 7 isn't it. I don't expect a huge event out of this, but I don't think it ends up as suppressed as the current consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: These don’t always come north, we only remember the ones that come north, for obvious reasons. Its a complicated look, and that means we could see big changes at short leads. This “event” if and when it reaches us is about a week away. Its not a great look currently, but I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns out a bit better, or at least grazes south and east area with some snow. Find me a major snow storm that nailed the mid atl and whiffed sne in a weak modoki winter....no one has done so yet. At this time range, I think information like that has some utility.....maybe this is the first. Not saying it can't be, but its something to consider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Don't forget the girl who is always loyal to you in the long run. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Find me a major snow storm that nailed the mid atl and whiffed sne in a weak modoki winter....no one has done so yet. At this time range, I think information like that has some utility.....maybe this is the first. Not saying it can't be, but its something to consider. If this does end up being the first, it would probably be due to something like an ill timed PV lobe....stochastic nuance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The hours that you really all want to focus on as we all know is on Tuesday Dec. 11 (165-177) hours. That, at this time right now, is the closest pass this potential storm this far out gets to us. I would rather it be this close now and watching it than it saying direct hit snowstorm right now. Just a hunch for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Find me a major snow storm that nailed the mid atl and whiffed sne in a weak modoki winter....no one has done so yet. At this time range, I think information like that has some utility.....maybe this is the first. Not saying it can't be, but its something to consider. It could also be that the MA doesn’t wind up with a major snowstorm at all and we all lose. Not that I would forecast that... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 18 minutes ago, Greg said: The hours that you really all want to focus on as we all know is on Tuesday Dec. 12 (165-177) hours. That, at this time right now, is the closest pass this potential storm this far out gets to us. I would rather it be this close now and watching it than it saying direct hit snowstorm right now. Just a hunch for now. I think history probably shows that d8-9 modeled hits turn into cutters much more frequently than d8-9 OTS solutions turn into major snowstorms. Be interesting to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I think history probably shows that d8-9 modeled hits turn into cutters much more frequently than d8-9 OTS solutions turn into major snowstorms. Be interesting to know. Let me tell ya, a 160 nautical mile diference is really not much at all 7 days out in the world of weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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