TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said: You are right. Those bright reds up there must be what, 70-85 degrees up there?? We are doomed Who said that? Hard to argue that a warmer than normal source region is good though. Nobody said it can’t/ won’t snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Who said that? Hard to argue that a warmer than normal source region is good though. Nobody said it can’t/ won’t snow. He’s just rousing the rabble, carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Yup--those people in Raleigh can relax. I'm not tossing December or the winter.....but tracking this? I"m done with it. Maybe get another pit, a small cabin in GC of VA....so you won’t melt so fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Interior can do well with slightly above average temps...just look at December 2002 after the 10th...so the stuff near the end of the euro run isn't terrible. Definitely tougher for the coast. We'll see how it looks though as we get closer. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Who said that? Hard to argue that a warmer than normal source region is good though. Nobody said it can’t/ won’t snow. Look at climo norms for Canada, compare to reds, still below freezing, lower geopotential yields snow here, pretty simple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Nice improvements, it’s coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Better look on the 18z GFS, Stronger southern s/w. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 What a change from 12z. I mean massive lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Still timing issues but that was a better look with a stronger s/w down south really slowing down and the northern stream was just a bit late with at least a partial phase offshore but southern s/w got far enough north to scrape the cape this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 Mild interest. A MA special there, blowing its load down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Weeklies look good near Christmas. We’ll see if we can coast in the meantime. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 That lead nrn stream s/w is a lot weaker this run which is giving the srn system a little more room to come north. That’s kinda what I thought James should’ve been cheering on originally. Basically back some kind of mid/upper level frontogenetic band over his fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, leo2000 said: Yes I know that but the blue anomalies are coming up from the south. We don't need it super cold anyways for snow just normal temperatures are good enough before Christmas. 40s and bare ground vs 50s? Sign me up then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Mild interest. A MA special there, blowing its load down south. If you're looking for jackpot....move on. This isn't it. Best case scenario is relative scraps after the mid atl gets nailed. #millerablows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: That lead nrn stream s/w is a lot weaker this run which is giving the srn system a little more room to come north. That’s kinda what I thought James should’ve been cheering on originally. Basically back some kind of mid/upper level frontogenetic band over his fanny. It gets out quickly which is what some guidance has shown. It’s occluded garbage but something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nice improvements, it’s coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Zach’s Pop said: You are right. Those bright reds up there must be what, 70-85 degrees up there?? We are doomed You seem really scared of a warmup. Maybe HM will rock you to sleep tonight? Maybe a GLAAM lullaby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If you're looking for jackpot....move on. This isn't it. Best case scenario is relative scraps after the mid atl gets nailed. #millerablows Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: You seem really scared of a warmup. Maybe HM will rock you to sleep tonight? Maybe a GLAAM lullaby? You had me at Frictional Torque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Holy f*ck, lol. Just shattered that tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Interior can do well with slightly above average temps...just look at December 2002 after the 10th...so the stuff near the end of the euro run isn't terrible. Definitely tougher for the coast. We'll see how it looks though as we get closer. Up and in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Weeklies are nice from the end of December through January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zach’s Pop Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 38 minutes ago, dendrite said: You seem really scared of a warmup. Maybe HM will rock you to sleep tonight? Maybe a GLAAM lullaby? Not at all. 4 or 5 days of nice weather will be great. But that is very different of what a couple of you were preaching last week. Pattern recognition is what separates the men from the boys. Hopefully some of you become men someday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: What a change from 12z. I mean massive lol You in a good spot so close to the ocean. Our top analog, Jan16. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 18z GFS says cold and dry here for next 10 days, with below 40°F temps throughout until the end of the period. zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said: Not at all. 4 or 5 days of nice weather will be great. But that is very different of what a couple of you were preaching last week. Pattern recognition is what separates the men from the boys. Hopefully some of you become men someday What was your old screen name ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 40s and bare ground vs 50s? Sign me up then. Now now you know you love this song very much. The Weeklies look very nice by the way. The latest GEFS 18Z continues the trend of retrograding the Goa Trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What was your old screen name ? Snowman? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Snowman? I also think it’s possible it’s a poster that currently posts with another account as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 12 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said: Not at all. 4 or 5 days of nice weather will be great. But that is very different of what a couple of you were preaching last week. Pattern recognition is what separates the men from the boys. Hopefully some of you become men someday HM and isotherm are great at what they do. I've never been a huge fan of the really long range/seasonal forecasting. I'm glad there's some out there that are into it who are advancing our knowledge in that area and making those forecasts slowly, but surely, better. It just really isn't for me and it doesn't make anyone less of a man or woman. Even having skill in that area of forecasting means you have a lot of failures. You can know everything there is to know about angular momentum or mountain torque, but it isn't going to guarantee a 2-4+ week outlook. They are fun reads though and it's easy for some to get lost in them like a romance novel. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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