weathafella Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Thanks for the maps Steve. And forky-2002 analogue continues-thanks for posting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 If we can split the difference between euro and 3 for the second system, would satisfy most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Out of order check the time stamps Really wants to park the trough out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Yore https://www.nationalgeographic.com/archaeology-and-history/magazine/2017/01-02/1709-deep-freeze-europe-winter/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 34 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Really wants to park the trough out west. ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: is the warm period dry or active? Thats interesting as you well know precip is the lowest of low skill but yea its a total flip in precip very dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I’ve been saying this for a week and some of you guys aren’t getting it, but let me make this clear. We are now seeing all models in the 11 to 15 days show this relaxation. The weeklies show this relaxation. The tropics Are moving into a state that is conducive to this relaxation. It’s also Climo for this type of pattern. So for some of you who simply cannot understand that a two week respite is unfathomable, I do not know what to tell you. So you have been saying for a week that a relaxation is coming day 11 to 15? I dont get it. Based on the EPS it gets mild day 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think we’ll endure a few days of 40’s.. but nothing long lasting or too warm save for some wound up screamer for 12 hours And when it's not raining, everyone can get out and clean up the leaves they had missed earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 26 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: And when it's not raining, everyone can get out and clean up the leaves they had missed earlier. Guy came and did mine today . still snowbanks everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 We do yard cleanup Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Guy came and did mine today . still snowbanks everywhere Old man paying for leaf cleanup in Tolland, wow what is next, neighborhood kids doing the sculpting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 44 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So you have been saying for a week that a relaxation is coming day 11 to 15? I dont get it. Based on the EPS it gets mild day 14 No I said it’s coming around that time, post 12/10. That was based on all the above that I mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No I said it’s coming around that time, post 12/10. That was based on all the above that I mentioned. Ok I read that wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Ok I read that wrong I always give my honest opinion. Do I like to joke, sure....but I think even a week ago we had some signs it was coming. While we don’t know how long it will last or how bad....I would expect a period of milder wx post 12/10. Maybe it will be like week 3 on the weeklies and still offer chances. We just don’t know. Let’s all hope we can get something next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Old man paying for leaf cleanup in Tolland, wow what is next, neighborhood kids doing the sculpting? All bones and skin. Not enough muscle in the body to do more than run in the mornings and then sit in front of the computer telemarketing all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Epic active period for CNE elevations/NNE in Novie just wow gonna do another hike Saturday up Kersearge Saturday. Goal is to go to 3K and take a measurement my friend got up to about 2500’ on Monadnock today but he didn’t measure just said “deep” lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: All bones and skin. Not enough muscle in the body to do more than run in the mornings and then sit in front of the computer telemarketing all day. Doubt that, I only wish I had that stamina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Epic active period for CNE elevations/NNE in Novie just wow gonna do another hike Saturday up Kersearge Saturday. Goal is to go to 3K and take a measurement my friend got up to about 2500’ on Monadnock today but he didn’t measure just said “deep” lol. I'd be curious to see what a measurement from Monadnock would do for our map. Currently we only have a few reports of 2-5" in the area, but almost all of those are low elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I’ve been saying this for a week and some of you guys aren’t getting it, but let me make this clear. We are now seeing all models in the 11 to 15 days show this relaxation. The weeklies show this relaxation. The tropics Are moving into a state that is conducive to this relaxation. It’s also Climo for this type of pattern. So for some of you who simply cannot understand that a two week respite is unfathomable, I do not know what to tell you. I mean we've been at this certainly since the second half of October, so 6 weeks now. Hard to expect a pattern to continue much longer than that without a reload or change altogether. Hey, let's repeat this pattern to start January and see what we can do with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 GFS looked a lot healthier for 12/5 threat tonight...close miss. Still time to breath life back into that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS looked a lot healthier for 12/5 threat tonight...close miss. Still time to breath life back into that one. I agree, but not getting invested anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS looked a lot healthier for 12/5 threat tonight...close miss. Still time to breath life back into that one. Yea, def. still fair game until the SW comes ashore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 43 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean we've been at this certainly since the second half of October, so 6 weeks now. Hard to expect a pattern to continue much longer than that without a reload or change altogether. Hey, let's repeat this pattern to start January and see what we can do with it. I might be able to give you some pointers to people who could help with your data needs. What's a high enough elevation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, monadnocks said: I might be able to give you some pointers to people who could help with your data needs. What's a high enough elevation? Any elevation is helpful honestly. I don't know exactly how the script works, but there is a sphere of influence around each report, so an ob from MWN won't really affect something around Monadnock and vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS looked a lot healthier for 12/5 threat tonight...close miss. Still time to breath life back into that one. The circuit is now complete as the IKON finally gave up and went OTS, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Any elevation is helpful honestly. I don't know exactly how the script works, but there is a sphere of influence around each report, so an ob from MWN won't really affect something around Monadnock and vice versa. If I squint I think I can see a 8-12" contour on the summit with our elevation interpolation turned on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 As the energy gets better sampled today and especially tonight..I think we'll start to see our famous NW trends with the Tuesday night snow. She should be coming. at least for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: As the energy gets better sampled today and especially tonight..I think we'll start to see our famous NW trends with the Tuesday night snow. She should be coming. at least for SNE LOL that you say that. Better sampling allows for one of three things: 1) they lead to better phasing and something to watch 2) they come in as currently modeled and we watch our somewhat near miss 3) they come in worse and the last couple pages of this have been for naught. To guess what the sampling results would be in advance is entirely conjecture--it hasn't been sampled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: LOL that you say that. Better sampling allows for one of three things: 1) they lead to better phasing and something to watch 2) they come in as currently modeled and we watch our somewhat near miss 3) they come in worse and the last couple pages of this have been for naught. To guess what the sampling results would be in advance is entirely conjecture--it hasn't been sampled! Out over the NE Pac until tonight at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: LOL that you say that. Better sampling allows for one of three things: 1) they lead to better phasing and something to watch 2) they come in as currently modeled and we watch our somewhat near miss 3) they come in worse and the last couple pages of this have been for naught. To guess what the sampling results would be in advance is entirely conjecture--it hasn't been sampled! We’ve seen it over and over and over again over the years with these. Models have them, lose them, then slowly bring them back and then it ends up coming and people can’t believe it. I stand by my thoughts of a light to possibly moderate event in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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