Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro still has light snow Friday night. Maybe an inch or so pike south Big dog coming sometime day 7 to 10. We smell it from miles away. Not dog poo either. Shall we Heather? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: There's an outside shot. 12/2 is a susceptible day. I'm not warm sectoring up here though. Cad city on the Euro even down the Ct valley. Enjoy your ice on your dirt driveway its the only ice you got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 Let's be careful of how much potential there is and just focus on the nearest potential, which seems to be on the Dec. 5 situation. Lot's of variables need to come together for this potential quick hitting Miller A storm to produce the goods. We'll see what this looks like come Sunday night weather models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Big dog coming sometime day 7 to 10. We smell it from miles away. Not dog poo either. Shall we Heather? Tit for tat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Big dog coming sometime day 7 to 10. We smell it from miles away. Not dog poo either. Shall we Heather? Isn't it always a big dog at 7-10 days out? I will pull myself in if it doesn't turn out to be a puppy at 3-5 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Monday could be a sneaky nice day....post-FROPA downslope dandy as the polar airmass is lagging the front by 24 hours or so. Back in days of yore sneaky was reserved for snow...now it is napes and downslope dandies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tit for tat? Mood snows Sat, cad rains then we Arctic Tues and watch the Sws and yes 1717 lots of California rains and feet of snow allows us to get a biggie. Jerrys LA women FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 Euro ensembles a little more enthusiastic for Dec 5 than the OP. Hopefully we can ramp that one up. I agree that it's always preferable to "cheer" on the closer event since it has a higher probability of occurring than a system 3 days later. That said, the Dec 8-9 system is there on the EPS as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Isn't it always a big dog at 7-10 days out? I will pull myself in if it doesn't turn out to be a puppy at 3-5 days. No its definitely not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro ensembles a little more enthusiastic for Dec 5 than the OP. Hopefully we can ramp that one up. I agree that it's always preferable to "cheer" on the closer event since it has a higher probability of occurring than a system 3 days later. That said, the Dec 8-9 system is there on the EPS as well. 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Big dog coming sometime day 7 to 10. We smell it from miles away. Not dog poo either. Shall we Heather? A lovely women she was to meet too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 8th, this is 24 hr precip appears to be a 36 hr event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro ensembles a little more enthusiastic for Dec 5 than the OP. Hopefully we can ramp that one up. I agree that it's always preferable to "cheer" on the closer event since it has a higher probability of occurring than a system 3 days later. That said, the Dec 8-9 system is there on the EPS as well. I think the OP for the 5th is a perfect spot for the lead time especially since the euro has been showing a bit of an east bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: A lovely women she was to meet too. My favorite conference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 8th, this is 24 hr precip appears to be a 36 hr event Try not to pay too much attention to the quantity yet as you know but focus on the track. That's when things start to fall into place from this early point. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Hazey said: I think the OP for the 5th is a perfect spot for the lead time especially since the euro has been showing a bit of an east bias. I've read that ...somewhere. Mm. might 'ave been via Extended range forecast discussion outta NCEP a few weeks back. I did find the 12z interestingly flat with that wave. Ironically, it tends to over amp troughs (and ridges for that matter) in mid ranges, so that east facet, as well as this one in question... sort of fly in the face of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 EPS says we cave to GEFS in the long range. This has been happening frequently lately. Snowy run again btw! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 I wouldn’t call it a cave, but some height rises. That can easily go the other way at 00z, so let’s see if it is a trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 11 pages in for a month that hasn't even begun yet! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 2 hours ago, LurkerBoy said: 60s coast Maybe for our grandkids in SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 53 minutes ago, Greg said: Let's be careful of how much potential there is and just focus on the nearest potential, which seems to be on the Dec. 5 situation. Lot's of variables need to come together for this potential quick hitting Miller A storm to produce the goods. We'll see what this looks like come Sunday night weather models. I'll be suprised if at least one of those doesn't work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 26 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS says we cave to GEFS in the long range. This has been happening frequently lately. Snowy run again btw! Yup . These mild: torch calls on here are on their last legs. Buh bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn’t call it a cave, but some height rises. That can easily go the other way at 00z, so let’s see if it is a trend. Definitely a step to other guidance no matter how one looks at it. We’ll see where it ends up but it seems epo is hanging tougher than earlier guidance had it. Also, hint of NAO blocking just enough to keep decent cold in Canada is helping. Finally, it’s all in the 11-15 where it’s been for a week. Nice snowy signal 12/5-12! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 We need some December snowfall to beef up the deep pack in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: We need some December snowfall to beef up the deep pack in SNE. Can you possibly give it a break ,post after post of sarcasm, let it go man. You ok? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 The -AO polar vortex, is in the perfect position, looking at both the Greenland ridging and the -AO polar vortex location, the Blizzard of 2005 could be a good analog, not sure on the PNA though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Can you possibly give it a break ,post after post of sarcasm, let it go man. You ok? I haven't posted here in several weeks, you okay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 Euro Control run shows two to three feet of snow in SE MA and the Cape and Islands in the next ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 Need to watch the interaction of the arctic jet next week with our storm, could have significant impacts on track and intensity, the 12z EURO shows it well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 28, 2018 Share Posted November 28, 2018 Last couple of euro runs just missing on a big phase. This from the 0z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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