Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z HRRR... hopefully it goes more to the coast line as Coastalwx was thinking earlier. It just wants to blast this thing up into the mountains. Why are you so concerned about the center track, best forcing inflow is North, humpity style. You will also eventually squeeze out every tenth of precip the Atmosphere has to offer once the ULL passes over. November and all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Lets hope the 18z Nam has a clue, That's a shift SE at the surface with the Secondary from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 33/32°F Temp and dew -1°F in the last hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Well strongest pressure falls are just about over Ryan's fanny, and you would think that trend should continue down the coastal front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 The County in for 8-12 inches...pile it up!! Already doing some grooming up there to pat down the powder and create a Nice Base. Heading up on the 26th of December for some riding...hope it can hold??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 48/39 under cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: The County in for 8-12 inches...pile it up!! Already doing some grooming up there to pat down the powder and create a Nice Base. Heading up on the 26th of December for some riding...hope it can hold??? You should be good, They will have about 3' on the ground there after this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: You should be good, They will have about 3' on the ground there after this one. lol I'm hoping....just don't need some huge warm ups and monster rain storm....I've seen it happen in the past when they get snow this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Why are you so concerned about the center track, best forcing inflow is North, humpity style. You will also eventually squeeze out every tenth of precip the Atmosphere has to offer once the ULL passes over. November and all I agree it’s not an issue for western locales. The midlevel track looks like there will be large area of warning snows for western MA and most of VT. And probably a smaller (but still quite broad area) of 12-24” within that where the banding sets up and sits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 47 minutes ago, dendrite said: I think your dew is a little off. The lowest METAR in NH is 32F right now. The 1300'-1500' stations in western Merrimack Co. are all near 100% RH with a temp of 31-32F. FIXED! Thank you 34/34F thick fog no precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well strongest pressure falls are just about over Ryan's fanny, and you would think that trend should continue down the coastal front. Where is ryan’s back yard again? I forgot—it’s been a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Where is ryan’s back yard again? I forgot—it’s been a while... He's in HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 26, 2018 Author Share Posted November 26, 2018 Temp and dew ticked back. 31.5Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Any calls for up high on wildcat 18”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Snizzle/light snow here. 33/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Started as rain at 750ft but snowing hard on web cams at the ski resort base. Some catpaws mixed in at 750ft with heavier echoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 50 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Why are you so concerned about the center track, best forcing inflow is North, humpity style. You will also eventually squeeze out every tenth of precip the Atmosphere has to offer once the ULL passes over. November and all I'm not concerned at all. I just think it's interesting, that's not a track you see often. Sorry for the confusion if talking about it came off as a concern or worry. It was merely just for discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 I guess nothing to discuss.............................. Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Portland, ME Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 -- Highlight Changed Discussion -- 000 FXUS61 KGYX 262021 AFDGYX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 321 PM EST Mon Nov 26 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure tracking near the New England coastline will spread precipitation across the area tonight. Expect significant snow accumulation in the mountains and foothills while southern and coastal areas stay mostly rain. The heavier precipitation moves out on Tuesday as the low lifts northeast. Some lingering snow showers are possible on Wednesday as the core of upper level low pressure drifts across the region. The next significant storm system will arrive this weekend and could bring more wintry precipitation or rain for Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Upper level low moves across the area on Wednesday and as such we can expect some more widespread light snow showers crossing the area. This will not be limited to just the mountains, though accumulations should be minor especially as the temperature will frequently be above freezing. Although we do get in the cooler northwest flow behind the departing low, the cold air with this system largely dissipates over the Midwest while the air moving into our area is more of wrap around cool/moist air. So expect high temperatures to be near or slightly below normal while low level moisture keeps low temperatures a bit above normal. High pressure drifts across on Friday with the possibility of a weak shortwave trough crossing Friday night. This could bring a round of light snow to the entire area, though there is not a lot of lift with this so accumulations will be minor. The next more significant storm system to affect our area will be a large and slow moving cut off low tracking through the southern jet stream and lifting into the Great Lakes this weekend. Surface low pressure will form out ahead of it and track northeast, though the timing and evolution of this is still in question. For us this looks like a warmer scenario being on the east side of the trough. However, it could evolve as a rain to freezing rain scenario depending on how cold the low level temperatures are. && .AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Short Term... Long Term...Expect improving conditions Wednesday and especially Thursday, with some snow showers Wednesday afternoon bringing more variable conditions. Friday should be VFR for most areas but could see some light snow arrive Friday night. && .MARINE... Short Term... Long Term...Northwest flow behind the departing system does not really kick in until Thursday with 25 to 35 KT gusts possible. This decreases as high pressure moves by on Friday. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ007>009-012>014. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ019>022. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ018. Wind Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ025>028. Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ023-024. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for MEZ023-024. NH...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday for NHZ001>006. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday for NHZ007>009. Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for NHZ014. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NHZ014. MARINE...Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to noon EST Tuesday for ANZ150>154. && $$ NEAR TERM...Legro SHORT TERM...Legro LONG TERM...Kimble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I guess nothing to discuss.............................. Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Portland, ME Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 -- Highlight Changed Discussion -- 000 FXUS61 KGYX 262021 AFDGYX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 321 PM EST Mon Nov 26 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure tracking near the New England coastline will spread precipitation across the area tonight. Expect significant snow accumulation in the mountains and foothills while southern and coastal areas stay mostly rain. The heavier precipitation moves out on Tuesday as the low lifts northeast. Some lingering snow showers are possible on Wednesday as the core of upper level low pressure drifts across the region. The next significant storm system will arrive this weekend and could bring more wintry precipitation or rain for Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Upper level low moves across the area on Wednesday and as such we can expect some more widespread light snow showers crossing the area. This will not be limited to just the mountains, though accumulations should be minor especially as the temperature will frequently be above freezing. Although we do get in the cooler northwest flow behind the departing low, the cold air with this system largely dissipates over the Midwest while the air moving into our area is more of wrap around cool/moist air. So expect high temperatures to be near or slightly below normal while low level moisture keeps low temperatures a bit above normal. High pressure drifts across on Friday with the possibility of a weak shortwave trough crossing Friday night. This could bring a round of light snow to the entire area, though there is not a lot of lift with this so accumulations will be minor. The next more significant storm system to affect our area will be a large and slow moving cut off low tracking through the southern jet stream and lifting into the Great Lakes this weekend. Surface low pressure will form out ahead of it and track northeast, though the timing and evolution of this is still in question. For us this looks like a warmer scenario being on the east side of the trough. However, it could evolve as a rain to freezing rain scenario depending on how cold the low level temperatures are. && .AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Short Term... Long Term...Expect improving conditions Wednesday and especially Thursday, with some snow showers Wednesday afternoon bringing more variable conditions. Friday should be VFR for most areas but could see some light snow arrive Friday night. && .MARINE... Short Term... Long Term...Northwest flow behind the departing system does not really kick in until Thursday with 25 to 35 KT gusts possible. This decreases as high pressure moves by on Friday. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ007>009-012>014. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ019>022. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ018. Wind Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ025>028. Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ023-024. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for MEZ023-024. NH...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday for NHZ001>006. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday for NHZ007>009. Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for NHZ014. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NHZ014. MARINE...Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to noon EST Tuesday for ANZ150>154. && $$ NEAR TERM...Legro SHORT TERM...Legro LONG TERM...Kimble Long term guy with a quick trigger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Someone hit send before Chris could submit? Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Long term guy with a quick trigger. Jack be Kimble Jack be quick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Someone hit send before Chris could submit? Ha. I see the 3:58 AFD has been updated with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Delmarva it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Light rain has begun here. 38F Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 I mean it’s not going to matter a whole lot if it tracks over CON into IZG or goes near coastline or just inland. It’s a broad area of low pressure with only a weenie center that we’re debating. Just think it goes near coastline more that’s all. Convection May play havoc too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm not concerned at all. I just think it's interesting, that's not a track you see often. Sorry for the confusion if talking about it came off as a concern or worry. It was merely just for discussion. Yeah that ain't happening James. New HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 26, 2018 Author Share Posted November 26, 2018 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: I guess nothing to discuss.............................. Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Portland, ME Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 -- Highlight Changed Discussion -- 000 FXUS61 KGYX 262021 AFDGYX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 321 PM EST Mon Nov 26 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure tracking near the New England coastline will spread precipitation across the area tonight. Expect significant snow accumulation in the mountains and foothills while southern and coastal areas stay mostly rain. The heavier precipitation moves out on Tuesday as the low lifts northeast. Some lingering snow showers are possible on Wednesday as the core of upper level low pressure drifts across the region. The next significant storm system will arrive this weekend and could bring more wintry precipitation or rain for Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Upper level low moves across the area on Wednesday and as such we can expect some more widespread light snow showers crossing the area. This will not be limited to just the mountains, though accumulations should be minor especially as the temperature will frequently be above freezing. Although we do get in the cooler northwest flow behind the departing low, the cold air with this system largely dissipates over the Midwest while the air moving into our area is more of wrap around cool/moist air. So expect high temperatures to be near or slightly below normal while low level moisture keeps low temperatures a bit above normal. High pressure drifts across on Friday with the possibility of a weak shortwave trough crossing Friday night. This could bring a round of light snow to the entire area, though there is not a lot of lift with this so accumulations will be minor. The next more significant storm system to affect our area will be a large and slow moving cut off low tracking through the southern jet stream and lifting into the Great Lakes this weekend. Surface low pressure will form out ahead of it and track northeast, though the timing and evolution of this is still in question. For us this looks like a warmer scenario being on the east side of the trough. However, it could evolve as a rain to freezing rain scenario depending on how cold the low level temperatures are. && .AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Short Term... Long Term...Expect improving conditions Wednesday and especially Thursday, with some snow showers Wednesday afternoon bringing more variable conditions. Friday should be VFR for most areas but could see some light snow arrive Friday night. && .MARINE... Short Term... Long Term...Northwest flow behind the departing system does not really kick in until Thursday with 25 to 35 KT gusts possible. This decreases as high pressure moves by on Friday. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ007>009-012>014. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ019>022. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday for MEZ018. Wind Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ025>028. Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ023-024. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for MEZ023-024. NH...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday for NHZ001>006. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday for NHZ007>009. Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for NHZ014. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NHZ014. MARINE...Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to noon EST Tuesday for ANZ150>154. && $$ NEAR TERM...Legro SHORT TERM...Legro LONG TERM...Kimble If it's going to rain this wknd, I just assume we get rn out of this. Less money spent on plowing for something that will get washed away anyway. oh well...next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 These quotes on entire page posts while on mobile suck 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 37 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Started as rain at 750ft but snowing hard on web cams at the ski resort base. Some catpaws mixed in at 750ft with heavier echoes. Looks to be sleet/snow mix on the Stratton mid mountain cam at 2500’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 33.8F After on and off brief SN-/RN- most of the day steady light snow has begun. Temps all day have been steady but now have begun to drift down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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