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11/27 - Everything and the Kitchen Sink Obs


Lava Rock
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3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I was not all warm and fuzzy watching the last several model cycles until 12z today, Things started trending colder, Especially the 18z runs.

Yeah the lowest 50 mb wet bulb temps showed some serious potential. I think the high holding tough today helped too. It at least maintained the colder air mass vs. scouring it out.

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Just now, OceanStWx said:

Yeah the lowest 50 mb wet bulb temps showed some serious potential. I think the high holding tough today helped too. It at least maintained the colder air mass vs. scouring it out.

When Brian posted that goes16 earlier, I knew then we had some potential, Dews were only 33°F at that time so just -1/2F off of that would be a game changer.

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Still think the Euro is a bust, you and Will should know better

Yes...it's quite clear it is. Not sure why you are belaboring that point. We're talking those runs from around 54-72 hours in case you were forgetting. That doesn't mean it wasn't going to snow in the interior. It was a bigger deal for areas around CON and SE. Euro had a pretty well developed ML center out over the water. That's not going to happen. We also knew the GFS is really bad at holding the boundary layer CAD...so nobody should take its ptype verbatim either.

 

 

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yes...it's quite clear it is. Not sure why you are belaboring that point. We're talking those runs from around 54-72 hours in case you were forgetting. That doesn't mean it wasn't going to snow in the interior. It was a bigger deal for areas around CON and SE. Euro had a pretty well developed ML center out over the water. That's not going to happen. We also knew the GFS is really bad at holding the boundary layer CAD...so nobody should take its ptype verbatim either.

 

 

Lol,ok

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