40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Flipped to all snow in northborough on the drive. Road stickage up on winter hill: I figured that ORH would have a bit more...latitude hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 HRRR did nice with the band around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 This storm sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR did nice with the band around here. I just took a quick look at the latest HRRR like you did. If it is correct and you look closely, you see a heavier echo developes from Worcester through Bedford to the Northshore. If that developes, We can catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Just now, Greg said: I just took a quick look at the HRRR like you did. If it is correct and you look closely, you see a heavier echo developes from Worcester through Bedford to the Northshore. If that developes, we can catch up. Problem is, the snow is wet/ You can see drops on the edge of branches, so it won't stack up quick. Will need to come down rather steadily at the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, Whineminster said: This storm sucks Not for November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Not for November. You're right, this storm blows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Approaching to 2" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Just now, WxBlue said: Approaching to 2" here. I probably have similar back at home...maybe a bit less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Folks bitching about snow in november when some avg zippo and have seen anywhere form 2-8" so far...........smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 just talked to my mom back in shrewsbury - seems like a rain/snow mix with no accum so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I figured that ORH would have a bit more...latitude hurt. Didn't flip to snow until after 8am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 34 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm nervous the 1-3" call for my area may bust...I had you at 2-5"....should have gone 2-5" more widespread. Looks a little low, but not terrible. Eying it I think I’m already approaching 3”. 4-8” will probably verify broadly, away from the coast, with most areas at 5-6” sans Portland ME - east. Poor Ratios due to marginal temps are helping your forecast but the local precip max looks to be in our area. Appears to be good lift in the SGZ—seeing healthy looking aggregates. 1000 mb low doesn’t really get anyone excited but this little guy has more moisture to work with, with November SST’s, which may be contributing to the healthier looking radar returns despite the relatively feeble dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Kind of struggling to accumulate unless it comes down heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 36 minutes ago, dryslot said: -SN, Closing in on 2" here, These are some pretty large parachutes that are coming down. 25 miles to your NE, we're somewhere between 1/4" and 1/2". Despite upper 20s temp, snow rate is so light that nothing is accumulating on pavement, or even on the cars in the parking lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 5 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Looks a little low, but not terrible. Eying it I think I’m already approaching 3”. 4-8” will probably verify broadly, away from the coast, with most areas at 5-6” sans Portland ME - east. Poor Ratios due to marginal temps are helping your forecast but the local precip max looks to be in our area. Appears to be good lift in the SGZ—seeing healthy looking aggregates. 1000 mb low doesn’t really get anyone excited but this little guy has more moisture to work with, with November SST’s, which may be contributing to the healthier looking radar returns despite the relatively feeble dynamics. Not in N Mass, though....I think 4-8" is high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Just now, tamarack said: 25 miles to your NE, we're somewhere between 1/4" and 1/2". Despite upper 20s temp, snow rate is so light that nothing is accumulating on pavement, or even on the cars in the parking lot. Roads are wet and bare here and the called off classes today which was absolutely unnecessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 14 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: just talked to my mom back in shrewsbury - seems like a rain/snow mix with no accum so far Recently flipped here. Coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not in N Mass, though....I think 4-8" is high. They may pull 4 in tyngsboro/westford also Methuen is getting hit hard. That weenie hill should see good Accums been snowing there since 315am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Looks a little low, but not terrible. Eying it I think I’m already approaching 3”. 4-8” will probably verify broadly, away from the coast, with most areas at 5-6” sans Portland ME - east. Poor Ratios due to marginal temps are helping your forecast but the local precip max looks to be in our area. Appears to be good lift in the SGZ—seeing healthy looking aggregates. 1000 mb low doesn’t really get anyone excited but this little guy has more moisture to work with, with November SST’s, which may be contributing to the healthier looking radar returns despite the relatively feeble dynamics. I think 3-6" will verify somewhat more broadly. The 7-8" looks hard to get to. The heaviest precip will mostly be south around the MA/NH/ southeast NH boarder. Not saying break off banding can't occur where you are but looking at radar and latest HRRR seem to be on track for this right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not in N Mass, though....I think 4-8" is high. Yeah, 2-3" will probably be the max...maybe Weenie Ridge gets 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not for November. Typical November rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Spotter report of 2.5" in Methuen!!! Jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 latest HRRR pretty bullish on 2"-4" band from ORH to LWM .. not sure I buy it but gotta watch for some good bands as this exits stage right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I probably have similar back at home...maybe a bit less. Measured just over 1.5" before I left for work at 9:40 AM. Despite it snowing at a good clip out there it's not really stacking up here at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Lift has been kind of disorganized. It's what Chris and I were discussing last night. Kind of two competing areas. Makes it hard to get good rates sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Its not an all out blizzard so its very disappointing for many on here that had such high hopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its not an all out blizzard so its very disappointing for many on here that had such high hopes. You complain about the complainers more than the complainers complain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Yeah guidance showed an area of more defined lift (albeit narrow) and stuff not so smooth and sustained on either side. Also, if the airmass was colder, you'd probably have more smooth and sustained echoes from dendrite production. Still, I think some forget what November should be like....and it's not like this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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