TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 33 minutes ago, Shea said: One system gave us 8 inches of snow but we didn’t have the blower yet. That was actually the storm that convinced us to buy one. Since then nothing of note, at least on Drum. I think Watertown has been luckier. Looking forward to hearing reports...especially when you get some SW flow events! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 The NAM is pretty unimpressive with the LES, not really buying anything more than a few inches. Bring on the next torch, yesterday was awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 The "rocking December" many were excited about a week or so ago is quickly looking yawnilicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Great tool if your looking to resize images, videos, gif etc.. Also turn videos into GIF as you can see by my sig.. Been playing around with it for about a week, really enjoying it so far.. https://ezgif.com/resize 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: The NAM is pretty unimpressive with the LES, not really buying anything more than a few inches. Bring on the next torch, yesterday was awesome. Wasn't november also originally forecast to be AN as well??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Wasn't november also originally forecast to be AN as well??? No, December was though. Most analogs showed December being a warm month with the best part of winter being Jan/Feb. With a strengthening El Nino I can see an early spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 I’ll wait and see what the SR models have to say, meso models dominated last event..That’s what they are here for.. The NAM is a “shorter range “ model but it’s also not a “high” Rez model at 12km, the euro is 9km lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I’ll wait and see what the SR models have to say, meso models dominated last event..That’s what they are here for.. The NAM is a “shorter range “ model but it’s also not a “high” Rez model at 12km, the euro is 9km lol True. They did excellent with the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 I'm not just talking about composite reflectivity. The overall upper level pattern is not conducive to anything of magnitude off of Erie, looks a little better off the tug. You can pick out the right conditions for a LES event well in advance. I remember posting about this one over a week ago. The results of a raging Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 The 850 temps are marginal, moisture is not great, the cap is garbage until we get some lift from the clipper and once we get that winds quickly change and we get some pretty bad shear. We will have weak meandering bands that won't amount too much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 The noon runs actually look a little better. LES Advs off Erie and maybe a watch off Ontario? I do agree with you wolfie in waiting for Mesoscale models for a Mesoscale event. The globals only paint a broad brush, need the mesos for the finer details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Great tool if your looking to resize images, videos, gif etc.. Also turn videos into GIF as you can see by my sig.. Been playing around with it for about a week, really enjoying it so far.. https://ezgif.com/resize That gif is so pleasing to my eyes, nothing is better than a long duration LES event. If that happens off Ontario this year i'll be there. What event is in your GIF? I'm going to do one for the Nov 2014 event when I get home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 What else would it be HAHA I had to cut some time off, for sure lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: What else would it be HAHA I had to cut some time off, for sure lol I was living in Cheektowaga at the time of this event and my Eden friends got stuck at my house for a few days. We had nothing on the ground. If Erie wasn't mostly frozen we would of had triple the snow they got down there. Think the max was 42" off Erie. 142" off Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 That event map makes my mouth water....this area was socked. Locals have mentioned several events that have dropped 100 to 150 inches in a week during their lifetimes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 13 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: It already snowed? Do I have to go find the post, lol? Your definitely not a man of your word, no integrity bro, but that's ok. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I said first big one. Cool your jets bro. You are so manic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shea Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Snow is trying to accumulate on the grass and roof tops up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Snow starting here as well. Remaining Snow pack...and driveway is an icy, rugged mess. Looks like April. Ready for some volleyball, Buffaloweather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 19 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Snow starting here as well. Remaining Snow pack...and driveway is an icy, rugged mess. Looks like April. Ready for some volleyball, Buffaloweather? I would definitely still play. =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: That event map makes my mouth water....this area was socked. Locals have mentioned several events that have dropped 100 to 150 inches in a week during their lifetimes. I have a book of the last 150 years of Buffalos biggest snowstorms, I wonder if they have one for Ontario. Buffalo has had 5-6 70"+ snow storms in its history, pretty impressive. 2014 definitely should have had some 100"+ totals with the liquid equivalent of 6-7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I would definitely still play. =) Wish you were closer...my wife and I love to play. We played on an intramural team back in Michigan. 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I have a book of the last 150 years of Buffalos biggest snowstorms, I wonder if they have one for Ontario. Buffalo has had 5-6 70"+ snow storms in its history, pretty impressive. 2014 definitely should have had some 100"+ totals with the liquid equivalent of 6-7". It is amazing to me that people put a great amount of time and money into the development of such specific books. Love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Wish you were closer...my wife and I love to play. We played on an intramural team back in Michigan. It is amazing to me that people put a great amount of time and money into the development of such specific books. Love it. My wife is terrible, but I'm a mid/high intermediate player. It's a fascinating book, there are some storms in there that have very little to no documentation. Would love to see one of the events off of Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Euro looking a little better at 12z.. Similar to the gfs in a 4"-6" event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 That would be about 5.5 inches for me with 10:1. Came down to Pulaski and it looks like a completely different world down here. Only snow is teeny tiny snow piles. As soon as you get past Orwell, that changes. Snow showers were already accumulating up in Redfield as we left. Here....nada. Ready to get back to my snowy landscape already. Pulaski in picture: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 They have had only piles for a few days now lol My girl is the assistant manager at RAC, so i'm in pulaski quiet often for one thing or another.. I'm barely hanging on thanks to the fog machine someone set off last night.. Thought i was gonna get a way with a few inches, not so lucky.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Still a solid covering especially in the wooded area's of my property, no grass showing, yet.. As of this morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 I have a book of the last 150 years of Buffalos biggest snowstorms, I wonder if they have one for Ontario. Buffalo has had 5-6 70"+ snow storms in its history, pretty impressive. 2014 definitely should have had some 100"+ totals with the liquid equivalent of 6-7". My favorite book! I’m always flipping through it referencing old storms. Said he and some helpers spent months sifting through thousands of old newspapers at the library and history museum to chronicle all the storms. Kinda makes you think how with all of today’s technology we are losing our link to the past. Google wouldn’t be able to return any search results on probably 95% of the storms mentioned in the book. Only way to find any info would be good old fashion library hunting. Just try to google Buffalo’s biggest 24 hour snowfall 1995 and you can maybe find 1-2 articles on the storm. Quite honestly historical events prior to 2000 don’t have much record any more in the internet age... On a side note the author of the book also had some pretty interesting research topics published in the late 80s while he attended Oswego. Did a lot of work on lightning in lake effect storms and later helped to establish an improved national lightning detection network. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 It will be a quick hitter but could pack a punch.. Clear cave by the euro as the gfs has been showing this for a couple days now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Thank God it started sticking immediately! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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