wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Right in carol"s wheelhouse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Congrats interior Southeast.. Probably catch ksyr by mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 This is their year for sure as we stay frigid and dry, with a stray flurry here and there for the next 3 months.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Yeah, I'm sure we all expected this to last all yr right? It's a puddle of warmth in an Ocean of Cold so don't jump just yet, my Lord! It can also snow up here in the Northeast when were 1-2 degrees AN so please stop the whining. Oh I forgot, LE season will be over soon, NOT for us, so perhaps the blip of warmth for 2-3 days may warm Erie up a bit, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Long range is obviously a crap shoot.. But we don't wanna lose out on all of december lol Looking farther ahead, evidence is mounting in the extended range guidance that the cold pattern we have been in most of the time the past 6 weeks may be breaking down. A strong negative height anomaly will develop over the western Aleutians, supporting the strengthening and eastward extension of the East Asian Jet. This change in the Pacific is likely being driven, at least partially, by the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), which is forecast to orbit from phase 2 to phase 4 on the Wheeler phase/space plot. The pattern change over the North Pacific will de-amplify the pattern across North America, with westerly zonal flow allowing mild Pacific air to flood east across the nation by around December 11-12. At the same time, changes in blocking at high latitudes will force the true cold air to retreat all the way northward into the Canadian Archipelago and to the Asian side of the North Pole. These pattern changes may bring an extended period of warmer than normal temperatures through the middle of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2018 Author Share Posted December 2, 2018 Its 58 and sunny here. Absolutely beautiful out, went for a walk in the village. So many people out and about enjoying the day, feels great! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 On a positive note, we should all at least see some accumulation on wed/thurs.. Wednesday Snow showers likely, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night Snow showers. Low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 70%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2018 Author Share Posted December 2, 2018 If we're not getting heavy snow give me warm and sun. The absolute worst is cold and dry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 53 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Yeah, I'm sure we all expected this to last all yr right? It's a puddle of warmth in an Ocean of Cold so don't jump just yet, my Lord! It can also snow up here in the Northeast when were 1-2 degrees AN so please stop the whining. Oh I forgot, LE season will be over soon, NOT for us, so perhaps the blip of warmth for 2-3 days may warm Erie up a bit, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk My apologies if I came across as whining. We are allowed to be disappointed and discuss what December is looking like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I’m gonna sit and whine my butt off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Ppl on this forum take shit way too personal, seriously. That post I made was NOT directed at anyone. I post what I'm thinking for myself, not to offend anyone, seriously though.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I’m gonna sit and whine my butt off. That's all you do anyway, so that's NOT considered a change. Get rid of that Horrific Avatar for the second time, as we already got a storm, so get rid of it, damn, lol!!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Don’t see that often in December around here!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 This would be absolutely absurd, especially down there.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 New HWO from BUF...A few periods of lake effect snow are expected from Wednesdaythrough Thursday night east and northeast of Lake Erie. While someaccumulations are likely during this time period, it remains tooearly for finer details on amounts or band placement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 End of an era for me as i finally dumped WB Lol Went with freaks recommendation, weather models.com Half the price with more models/runs Just testing out the Ukmet GIF Not often we know what this model shows, usually top 2/3 in 500 mb verification.. Doesn't look so bad NE of the lake , for a higher rez model.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 3 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Ppl on this forum take shit way too personal, seriously. That post I made was NOT directed at anyone. I post what I'm thinking for myself, not to offend anyone, seriously though. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Chill out. Your temperament is all over the place. The only whining is coming from you. Let's enjoy talking weather with each other...Ok? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 How is everybody's snowpack surviving the thaw? Still a solid snowpack...Probably 6 inches?'...of DENSE snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 By WED evening .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Sounds like we are going to get more tomorrow than originally thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Snow is long gone here in southern Oswego county. Was a beautiful sunny afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Snow is long gone here in southern Oswego county. Was a beautiful sunny afternoon. Wow, crazy how different it is across the county. Complete overcast here all day with temp not making it much past 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Pass...too much SW'll flow.. Looks like the long range shows the northeast staying cool with a stubborn trough hanging in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: This looks good to me. Would get the band up to the city for several hours. Fingers crossed! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 5 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: That's all you do anyway, so that's NOT considered a change. Get rid of that Horrific Avatar for the second time, as we already got a storm, so get rid of it, damn, lol!! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk First real one. Lol. Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 53 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Wow, crazy how different it is across the county. Complete overcast here all day with temp not making it much past 40. Low 50's here today. I live in the extreme southwest corner of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Low 50's here today. I live in the extreme southwest corner of the county. Wow! Mid to Upper 30s most of the day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Some lightning strikes with that line forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, vortmax said: Some lightning strikes with that line forming. Definitely strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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