CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I don't think lower elevations across my area, especially the Cuse, receives more than a slushy inch or perhaps less through the day into tomorrow evening then things may change as we get to about 31F when the most accumulations are expected. Wednesday into Thursday looks ok, as well, temp wise, so all in all, we have to get through tomorrow to get rid of mixing issues then it may accumulate efficiently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Euro didn't look that great neither lol Unless you live in the hills south of syracuse, where over a foot falls.. KFZY scores 5" in like 30 hours .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Looks like the Coastal is taking over pretty quickly! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 This isn't bad at all, unless we're expecting 18" with every event then I guess it is, lol, but to me, I'll take this any day but that's just me! I know your itchin to get that band that sits over you for 8-10 straight hrs when it coming down 2-3"/hr bro, cause I would feel the same way, but its inevitable for you but for us, we gotta take what we can get when we can get it. You know all about it. Erie PA, the new snow capitol of the East, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2018 Author Share Posted November 27, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Earlier forecast had the changeover tomorrow after 11 am.. Not that it's going to amount to much.. Tonight Snow showers. Low around 34. East wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday Snow showers. Areas of blowing snow after 1pm. High near 35. Breezy, with a north wind 6 to 11 mph becoming northwest 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow. Low around 32. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Wednesday Snow before 4pm, then snow showers after 4pm. High near 34. Northwest wind 11 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow showers. Low around 32. Northwest wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 This infrared shot looks like things are getting going quickly wrt the Coastal! You can see returns coming out of the S&E once again with the cold front approaching from the West with the colder pocket of air we need for the changeover! Too bad it won't let me show it. I think this system has some tricks up its sleeve and KBGM alluded to this earlier. Definitely elevation driven, but when is LE elevation driven? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Spectrum news this evening had us changed over before 7AM as she said rush hr could be quite messy but what does she know, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: WOW, this map hits everyone, lol! Man what a map this is, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2018 Author Share Posted November 27, 2018 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: WOW, this map hits everyone, lol! Man what a map this is, lol! Yeah I forgot the hotdog emote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 It even pegs NYC with their second Snowfall at 2" in November, which would be the first time ever, but I seriously doubt anything falls in and around NYC but one never knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Yeah. Canadian came in a bit cooler. It’s a pretty solid model. It’d be great if everyone could get in on this. Especially BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Thats a horrific snowfall map, and I wouldn't even look at it for meso stuff as it has thee worst resolution than every other model including the NAV-GEM, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I guess i'll be that guy lol The ggem map is out to 240, not all from this storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Lets not forget the JMA! just sits and spins, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 This has potential to over preform. I say 6 to isolated 12 inches south of lake highest total 10 miles inland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Hi Rez canadian been going nuts all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 00Z WRF is juiced too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 We gotta start believing something, No, lol? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: 00Z WRF is juiced too! Look at the difference between the Chataqua Ridge and the Valleys in the Finger Lakes. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I seriously don't think anyone knows WTF is gonna happen, dead serious! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 So the Nmm changes us over (away from the lake shore) at around 6 am.. Top image is rain, 2nd image is total precip up to hr 45..(still snowing).. No clown maps on WB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I couldn’t agree more. Maybe higher rates will help the cooling? IDK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Same goes for ARW. Rain Total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 well at least the meso's are somewhat nsync! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 WB's the home of Clownmaps. lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 What about arw2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 It took them long enough to give in to the fact that this is may not be a TUG HILL event, exclusively, like some of the models were showing earlier in the week! That retrograding LP got everyone thinking, including me for a time, but thats not coming close to even occurring now! KBUF A surface low will move across the region tonight with rain ending. A colder airmass will follow with bands lake effect developing overnight, first east and southeast of Lake Erie, and then later on Tuesday southeast of Lake Ontario. Snow amounts will be highest over higher terrain, with snow bands continuing through at least Wednesday. Drier weather should return, at least for a short time, for Thursday or Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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