SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 3 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Sounds about right to me. Have a seasonal total of 8.7" here so far but just 3 miles to my ESE on the WS/Elma border they've had over a foot so far this year. And go another 3 miles to your WNW and I’m here under 4” so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said: Why? ROR was an overrated centerman with a bad attitude. Team is infused with young talent with Middlestadt and Dahlin as well as Eichel, Okposo, Rinehart, Pominville all stepping up in a big way then add in the offseason additions of Skinner, Sheary, Bergland, Sobotka, and a very competent goalie with Hutton and it's no surprise they're playing as well as they are. This is a good team with people who actually want to be here now. Because we lost our best player from last year. Set the record in faceoff wins, a great defensive player, and a leader (I thought). He's playing incredible in St. Louis, well over a point per game. I think the biggest difference this year is the skill level of Skinner, Dahlin, and most importantly improving our goalie situation. Hutton has stopped so many odd man rushes and breakaways. Advance stats suggest we're getting more pts than we should and we should expect a regression to the mean, but man is this team fun to watch! 25th in expected goals (xG) 19th in corsi for % 19th in fenwick for % 24th in scoring chances for % 24th in high danger scoring chances for % Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 8 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How did Buffalo do with the snow this morning? I could see my own snowstorm here on the coast of Cape Cod, from Ocean Effect Snows, the equivalent to Lake Effect Snows you guys get. It could be a dangerous day to travel tomorrow here. I could mow my lawn tomorrow if that answers your question... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: And go another 3 miles to your WNW and I’m here under 4” so far... And drive 20 minutes SE from here and 33". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 What’s with the sports? Really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Just now, rochesterdave said: What’s with the sports? Really When the Sabres are on track to earn more points than Buffalo will see in inches of snowfall it’s kind of a big deal... lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: What’s with the sports? Really Every sub-forum talks about sports in their off-topic section. Our sub is so small we usually just combine everything. However, we are growing so maybe we should create an off-topic thread? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 Next weeks LES potential analogs. (Mean) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 24 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Next weeks LES potential analogs. (Mean) Wow, that’s a great look. Kind of a spread the wealth synoptic/lake enhancement setup. Localized snow screw jobs aside, this has been a pretty incredible stretch of late fall/early winter weather. Even IMBY where accumulations have been light, snow has been in the air more frequently than I can remember for any previous November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 The evolution/track of the synoptic system will obviously determine who gets what.. Probably take several more days to start having an idea.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 I’m predicting NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 If tonight's runs are any indication , Erie has more potential Ontario.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 Cold air is pretty marginal across all 3 models, they all have a NW flow now after having W/SW for the last 4-5 days. As the day gets closer, the less impressive it looks. Same with GEM Same with Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Yea i was just looking at that, gfs shows a decent amount of rain.. Not much cold to tap from the north.. Not that i necessarily believe the gfs when it comes to 2m temps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 One of those rare event were it's colder to the south then to the north.. You can see by the barbs its w/wsw on this particular run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: The evolution/track of the synoptic system will obviously determine who gets what.. Probably take several more days to start having an idea.. This is an instance of how Watertown can be jackpotted by a 240 flow off Ontario while Springville gets buried under a 270 flow off Erie (leaving Buffalo partly cloudy and bone dry). We’ve seen this at least a half dozen times in the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Some deeper cold on the euro..Pretty much remained unchanged from 12z, verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 The euro has also been trending colder with the synoptic system, really hammers the Dacks/Eastern Ny and interior New england.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 6 hours ago, WNash said: This is an instance of how Watertown can be jackpotted by a 240 flow off Ontario while Springville gets buried under a 270 flow off Erie (leaving Buffalo partly cloudy and bone dry). We’ve seen this at least a half dozen times in the last few years. 8 hours ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Wow, that’s a great look. Kind of a spread the wealth synoptic/lake enhancement setup. Localized snow screw jobs aside, this has been a pretty incredible stretch of late fall/early winter weather. Even IMBY where accumulations have been light, snow has been in the air more frequently than I can remember for any previous November. If you can get that thing to pivot all the way to Michigan, We will be in business my friend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Waking up on this Thanksgiving morning to fat fluffy dendrites falling with a temperature of 16F, and it seriously looks and feels like mid-January as opposed to late November!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Wishing everybody on the Forum a wonderful and joyous Thanksgiving!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Happy Thanksgiving to everyone! I woke up to a steady fall of fluffy dendrites. This would be a perfect Christmas morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 it doesn’t look like much on radar, very low topped in the frigid air. I’m sitting at 12 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Happy thanksgiving all !!! Full sunshine here , currently 7°.. Make it end lol Wpc Day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 11 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Because we lost our best player from last year. Set the record in faceoff wins, a great defensive player, and a leader (I thought). He's playing incredible in St. Louis, well over a point per game. I think the biggest difference this year is the skill level of Skinner, Dahlin, and most importantly improving our goalie situation. Hutton has stopped so many odd man rushes and breakaways. Advance stats suggest we're getting more pts than we should and we should expect a regression to the mean, but man is this team fun to watch! 25th in expected goals (xG) 19th in corsi for % 19th in fenwick for % 24th in scoring chances for % 24th in high danger scoring chances for % Leaders make teams better...every team ROR has left has been remarkably better the next year. Check it out for yourself...the avs got better, now the sabres got better, subsequently he came to us we got worse now they just fired their coach in St. Louis. Points and faceoff wins mean nothing just ask Connor mcdavid. We are MUCH better without him. Addition by subtraction. Same with Kane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 10 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Leaders make teams better...every team ROR has left has been remarkably better the next year. Check it out for yourself...the avs got better, now the sabres got better, subsequently he came to us we got worse now they just fired their coach in St. Louis. Points and faceoff wins mean nothing just ask Connor mcdavid. We are MUCH better without him. Addition by subtraction. Same with Kane. I agree, such a breath of fresh air this year with this team. Happy Thanksgiving everyone! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 As a N.Y. Ranger fan I have to pipe in. The Rangers are hot, 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. They are now tied for first in the Metropolitan division. 19 year old Filip Chytil scored a goal in his 5th straight game as the Rangers beat the Islanders 5-0 last night. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I agree, such a breath of fresh air this year with this team. Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Well said!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Well said!!! GFS looks a little bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Yeah, Gfs a little colder like last night's euro.. Unfortunately the system off the coast takes to long to get going, at least in terms of synoptic precip.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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