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November/December Medium/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr
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2 hours ago, rmcwahoo said:

"We could be screaming about Richmond."

 

I mean Richmond is part of this subforum...

Snow is an IMBY game my friend. 

18Z GFS has another storm down in the gulf at the end of the run. It would be squashed as is I think. But we are going to have an active tracking period for the next couple of weeks.

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Track of next weekends storm is dependent on how the southern shortwave interacts with the northern stream. FV3 is an apps runner/cutter because it phases the two short waves. Runs that are suppressed have more confluence in the northern jet. What we want for a euro like solution is for the northern stream to mostly stay out of the way except for maintaining some cold air and confluence to support the high pressure. 

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1 hour ago, Chris78 said:

GEFS still showing a southern slider. At this range I'm good with that. It's just following the op. Id rather have this than it showing a Detroit blizzard. 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_37-1.png

Don't worry it will come north 60 hrs out like 2009. That's only 26 runs away.

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