ice1972 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Anybody checking dual pol yet? Lolz..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: She was screwed anyway...so can't feel bad about cutting her loose so the rest of us can gain. Neighbors wondering why car idling in garage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Wierd mix of ice pellets along the shoreline in the New Haven area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Quote 000 FXUS61 KBOX 151942 AFDBOX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 242 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A high impact but short duration snowstorm is on tap for areas away from the very immediate coast this evening. Precipitation transitions to mainly ice and then rain overnight, except perhaps portions of the high terrain in Massachusetts. Dry weather with chilly temperatures move in Friday afternoon through most of the weekend as high pressure builds across. A weak low may bring patchy light rain and/or snow late Sunday into Monday. Another shot of colder air moves in by the middle of next week, though it should be mainly dry. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 235 pm update... * High impact/short duration snowstorm this evening for many * Winter Storm Warnings posted for northwest of I-95 A high impact/short duration winter storm is on tap across much of the region this evening. Potent closed mid level energy across the Ohio Valley was inducing an 80+ knot winds at 700 mb. The result has been for heavy snow to break out across portions of the mid Atlantic States this afternoon. 1) Heavy Snow Away From The Very Immediate Coast This Evening: This potent speed max/convergence zone at 700 mb will continue to lift northward resulting in very strong frontogenetic forcing this evening across southern New England. Heavy snow should develop after 4 or 5 pm across our northern CT zones and spread northeastward into northeast MA after 7 or 8 pm. Highest impact expected in our CT zones...given the heavy snow with 1 to 2 inch per hour rates will impact a large portion of the evening rush hour. The latter half of the evening rush hour will likely be impacted in the Springfield...to Worcester to Providence areas. The biggest question with this forecast is how well this band of strong frontogenesis will maintain itself as it lifts northeast. Confidence is highest across our CT/RI and interior southeast MA zones. Further north...the guidance is somewhat split on that potent speed max at 700 mb. The RGEM/NAM maintain it across northern MA...while the ECMWF/GFS tend to weaken it and shunt it further east. Regardless...it will snow heavy across much of the region for a time but this will impact accumulations. We still feel that 4 to 7 inches of snow looks good for much of the region. Given the short duration/high impact event and considering some light icing will persist after the main event...feel warnings are warranted for much of the region. Snow amounts will likely be much lighter on the very immediate coast. SST around 50 with an easterly wind will result in making it difficult to get more than an inch in these locations before a quick change to rain. 2) Warming Aloft/Mid Level Dry Air Late This Evening: Much of the region appears cold enough for mainly snow through 02z or 03z. However...the very potent 700 mb southerly jet will transport mid level warmth northward across the region. Ptype should transition from snow to ice/rain from 02z through 06z across southern New England. At the same time...mid level dry air will be cutting off our snowgrowth. Regardless...it appears that the damage will be done across the region but some lighter rain/ice will linger. Ptype will mainly be rain across eastern MA/RI...but some light sleet/freezing rain may persist for a time across the interior. It does appear that temperatures by daybreak Friday will be above freezing for most of the region for the morning rush hour. The exception will be some of the high terrain...especially interior northern MA where some light sleet/freezing rain may still result in slippery travel 3) Strong to Damaging Winds: A strong easterly low level jet of 55 to 65 knots is expected to develop at 925 mb during the overnight hours along with impressive pressure falls. Low level lapse rates are fairly steep along the coast. This will result in a period of easterly wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph along the eastern MA coast and up to 60 mph across the Cape/Islands. High wind warnings have been issued for the Cape/Islands with wind advisories along the eastern MA coast. Will have to watch for some downed trees and isolated to scattered power outages. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/... Friday... The surface low pressure system looks to track near the southeast New England coast Friday morning. Its associated closed 700 mb level will also track across the southeast portion of our region. The result will be periods of rain through Friday morning...before coming to an end by afternoon. However...colder air wrapping in behind the system may allow for portions of interior MA /especially the high terrain/ to transition back to a period of snow. It is possible that some of these areas see an additional 1 to 3 inches of snow in this region. However...for the rest of the region temps should remain above freezing with perhaps just some wet snow flakes mixing in at the end. Precipitation petty much ends by Friday afternoon and we may see some peeks of sun late in the day. Afternoon temps should be in the 30s to the lower 40s with gusty northwest winds. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Flakes just starting to fly in Orange, CT 30/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It’s funny my biggest flag w the omega moving north is Box’s as well lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 36F here, dew points in the lower 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 wet bulbing should be in progress at this time with precip shield over the area, although light precip. Dewpoint of 22F in Chatham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Been snowing real winter snow in Brooklyn for the last couple hours. Magical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 27 minutes ago, BrianW said: Wierd mix of ice pellets along the shoreline in the New Haven area. Yep. We ping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Getting darker here now..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Snowing good in Easton CT. 27 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Sleet. North Haven, CT 4:10PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 As the lift moves in it will turn to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 First radar image....picked the upton radar because it more accurately shows where precip is reaching the ground in S CT than the BOX radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 First flakes starting to come down. 29F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: She just flushed her hamsters. Guineaa pigs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 31 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 36F here, dew points in the lower 20s Good luck with that my dewpoint is already up near freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, #NoPoles said: Good luck with that my dewpoint is already up near freezing Means the temp can come down a lot more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Heavy darkness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Good luck with that my dewpoint is already up near freezing Wow I am sitting at 31/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Light snow now. Roads wet, but grass is whitening. Glad to see winter making its first appearance. Hope it's one worthy of remembrance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Good luck with that my dewpoint is already up near freezing Wow, you gotta tell Kevin to stop watering the mulch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 The cloud deck is still pretty high and bright in the twilight here so me thinks it will still be a while before flakes fly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Light dusting here in Ansonia CT gwb is a mess https://mobile.twitter.com/NEWeatherWx/status/1063164868767965185 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 31/26 here. NE winds slowly increasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 44 minutes ago, Brewbeer said: Getting darker here now..... Same here. It actually did this yesterday around this time, too. Very strange... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Cirrus on the increase. Its 20/14 off a low of 2F. This may be the coldest mid-November snowfall in a long time. It's mid-January out there and we'll be snowing in the teens tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Borderline heavy snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 heavy band almost hitting Oaks Bluff, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now