Brian5671 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 42 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Good time to be in autobody repair. white gold they call the snow... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Outside 7 WTC. What season is it? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, Metasequoia said: A clear win for the EURO. What else is new. I thought the GFS was getting an "overhaul." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 wow, the snowfall pretty much has stayed the same intensity this whole time. Can't see far outside my window. Everything is covered, cars having rough time driving around side roads. The temperature has steadily DROPPED as well. Started at 33 and now down to 29. Hoping to dryslot before the rain comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave0176 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Stuck in downtown Newark definitely got 6” seems to be changing over sleet as of 5:15. Roads are just about gridlocked so I’ll be here for a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Yikes - so glad i never have to drive on the LIE anymore... It's pretty obvious nobody prepped roads for this. I'm seeing 1 to 2 hr traffic delays in all directions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 The city is a disaster!!! Busses stuck everywhere ripping right now with about 5” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 According to Google Maps it would take 1 hour and 52 minutes to drive from the southern tip of Manhattan to the northern tip of Manhattan, along the fastest route. Judging the condition of the roads now it makes sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Rt 17 is a parking lot. Jackknifed tractor trailers everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: The city is a disaster!!! Busses stuck everywhere ripping right now with about 5” 5 inches in the city? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: 5 inches in the city? Wow closing in on 6 inches here on the south shore, looks it might dryslot rather than going from heavy snow to heavy rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Took me an hour to get home It normally takes me 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: closing in on 6 inches here on the south shore, looks it might dryslot rather than going from heavy snow to heavy rain That’s what I’m thinking and that would be highly preferable for me doing snow removal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I'm impressed. Crazy work day that has never gone by faster. The latest iterations of the HRRR and RPM bring convective precip farther south tomorrow morning, directly affecting NYC around 12Z/7ET. This one could go out with a bang, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Finally got home to Long Beach. I’d estimate 5” here. Snow mixed with sleet and a little rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Normally 10 minute ride from Copiague Harbor to the Southern state took over half hour a while ago....NUTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 29 minutes ago, RDRY said: What else is new. I thought the GFS was getting an "overhaul." The new gfs nailed this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: The new gfs nailed this. I hope the new GFS has more storms in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Finally got home to Long Beach. I’d estimate 5” here. Snow mixed with sleet and a little rain now. About the same here, close to 6", how do you compare this to the storm after Sandy? About the same amount of snow at your home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4.8”-5.1” here in Whitestone, Queens. Measured on 2 snow boards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 37 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: The city is a disaster!!! Busses stuck everywhere ripping right now with about 5” Travel by car bus train is a disaster. Just got out the tunnel into the bronx to an amazingly snowy nov landscape. Thought it might change over to rain by the time i got back outside but still snowing at a good clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 wow and the temp keeps dropping -- down to 28 now in LIC. Lighter snow moving in now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 13 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: About the same here, close to 6", how do you compare this to the storm after Sandy? About the same amount of snow at your home? My home was wrecked by Sandy so I wasn’t in LB, but people who were here said something like half a foot. Still snowing a little here with some sleet, but accums are done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 2:19 PM, forkyfork said: the timing is so critical with this. it could either be a sleet bomb or several hours of heavy accumulating snow (mostly from the city west). the worst of it happens during rush hour which makes this even more annoying On 11/14/2018 at 6:28 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The near straight south to north approach is ideal for the city to over perform on these sort of events but the problem is the time of year with insanely warm water temps. Generally if you are above 44-46 it’s extremely hard to stay frozen for long unless you have a wind on the north side of 040-050. We used to use a rule that if your water temps were 45 or higher your 850s had to be -10 or colder or you usually switched over quickly with an onshore flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Wind flipped to southerly a little while ago and it's a mix of big flakes and heavy sleet now. 7" down and it's getting ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Full list of spotter reports, anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 5:45 PM, Snow88 said: The new gfs nailed this. More models nailed it than we realized. It was just hard to believe this time of year with ESE flow in the mid levels and the surface supposedly going east as well that we’d see anything at best better than a ton of sleet. I wasn’t so much surprised by the fact the surface winds stayed NE as the last 5 years or so we’ve seen highs seemingly able to anchor better CAD into the metro than we ever did before but how the mid levels didn’t get overwhelmed I’ll never know. The lesson might be that SE flow in the mid levels doesn’t get underdone by models as severely as SW flow does. Most showed a near isothermal layer or -1 and I thought that would verify +1-2. Another interesting factor yesterday was how most stations went 080-090 as the snow moved in and then went right back to 030-050 soon after. That almost seemed to be some sort of frontogenetical inflow into the leading edge of the snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 20 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: More models nailed it than we realized. It was just hard to believe this time of year with ESE flow in the mid levels and the surface supposedly going east as well that we’d see anything at best better than a ton of sleet. I wasn’t so much surprised by the fact the surface winds stayed NE as the last 5 years or so we’ve seen highs seemingly able to anchor better CAD into the metro than we ever did before but how the mid levels didn’t get overwhelmed I’ll never know. The lesson might be that SE flow in the mid levels doesn’t get underdone by models as severely as SW flow does. Most showed a near isothermal layer or -1 and I thought that would verify +1-2. Another interesting factor yesterday was how most stations went 080-090 as the snow moved in and then went right back to 030-050 soon after. That almost seemed to be some sort of frontogenetical inflow into the leading edge of the snow I hate to say it, but I didn't pay one lick of attention to this until yesterday when the WWA was posted circa noon. Being from Baltimore, I've never seen that much snow before December 1 in my life. Not even close. I even posted on Facebook that this would be a 'very unserious event' just before that advisory went up -- without having done my due diligence -- precisely because, well, mid-Nov. and climo. And it wasn't until around 3-4PM, with temps DROPPING to 28-29, that I truly began to question whether that CAD would get eroded before rush hour. It absolutely dumped up here in Harlem until around 8-9PM. I didn't measure, and not sure what was 'reported' at Central Park, but we easily got 5-6 inches up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 46 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: More models nailed it than we realized. It was just hard to believe this time of year with ESE flow in the mid levels and the surface supposedly going east as well that we’d see anything at best better than a ton of sleet. I wasn’t so much surprised by the fact the surface winds stayed NE as the last 5 years or so we’ve seen highs seemingly able to anchor better CAD into the metro than we ever did before but how the mid levels didn’t get overwhelmed I’ll never know. The lesson might be that SE flow in the mid levels doesn’t get underdone by models as severely as SW flow does. Most showed a near isothermal layer or -1 and I thought that would verify +1-2. Another interesting factor yesterday was how most stations went 080-090 as the snow moved in and then went right back to 030-050 soon after. That almost seemed to be some sort of frontogenetical inflow into the leading edge of the snow I wonder if this is a red flag for what will happen later in the season too. I can remember another season where this kept happening over and over again and the models kept correcting snowier with the night time model runs.................. 1993-94. If we see this kind of track and high placement a lot this winter this may end up being like that winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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