RockerfellerSnow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: DCA is still snowing though most guidance had them raining. Models usually underperform with dynamic cooling and evaporative cooling. Hopefully it doesn’t warm up too much today especially the fact that we got low clouds already. I’ll be back in 4-5 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 They're only forecasting a high of 37 where I am today. Yesterday they said 44. And that's right on the water. Currently 39 here. Forecast to stay at that then gradually cool in the first few hours of precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 They've also cancelled school in Frederick, MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 hours ago, RockerfellerSnow said: Billy’ is in ulster thats even a better spot what you think? just hit 32 here new Rochelle for the first time this year. And of course we get our first freeze and first snow the same day. So you joined on Monday but you know who Billy is up in Ulster County...uh huh.. Currently 26/18 here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 30 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: So you joined on Monday but you know who Billy is up in Ulster County...uh huh.. Currently 26/18 here. GOT EM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 28 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Lynbrook, LI 30.7 DP 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: So you joined on Monday but you know who Billy is up in Ulster County...uh huh.. Currently 26/18 here. Columbo and Mannix got nothin on you = professor Plum in the weather center with the doppler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: GOT EM! I’m just riding @BxEngines coat tails on this one, and yes I’m being nice to him since The Irish crushed FSU last weekend. Light wind out of the NE here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 23/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 D.C cam Congrats https://www.senate.gov/general/capcam.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Precip already in SNJ and Philly area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Precip already in SNJ and Philly area not reaching the ground yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 12z HRRR has heavy thump of snow in NYC at 19z ( 2pm) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Current temp 31/DP 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 51 minutes ago, RockerfellerSnow said: Models usually underperform with dynamic cooling and evaporative cooling. Hopefully it doesn’t warm up too much today especially the fact that we got low clouds already. I’ll be back in 4-5 hours Forget the models at this point expect to see where zero hour matches up to current conditions. Nowcasting time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 21 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: not reaching the ground yet Rain in Cape May. plan to leave around noon & head north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockerfellerSnow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 11 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said: Forget the models at this point expect to see where zero hour matches up to current conditions. Nowcasting time. DC is getting it good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, RockerfellerSnow said: DC is getting it good right now. They are much further west then us and away from the ocean. I remember an early season event in early December about 10 years ago where they snowed and we rained. I still like a coating for the coast and 2” for the far Uws where I work (120th and Broadway) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 5pm near Paramus, NJ. Looks like all snow to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockerfellerSnow Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: They are much further west then us and away from the ocean. I remember an early season event in early December about 10 years ago where they snowed and we rained. I still like a coating for the coast and 2” for the far Uws where I work (120th and Broadway) Dude we’re colder and more north this isn’t a coating for Central Park mark my words. I’m in Central Park today and I will personally go and measure and show you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Looks like the consensus is that the immediate NW burbs change over between 6 and 8PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 5pm near Paramus, NJ. Looks like all snow to me. No way with that south flow that the 700-850 layer does not verify 1-2C warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: No way with that south flow that the 700-850 layer does not verify 1-2C warmer HRRR is colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 12Z sounding near OKX already showed the beginnings of warm air between 700-850. Look how dry the 850mb layer is though. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/18111512_OBS/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, RockerfellerSnow said: Dude we’re colder and more north this isn’t a coating for Central Park mark my words. I’m in Central Park today and I will personally go and measure and show you guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Wet bulb temps look good with most areas still well below freezing. We're going to snow for a decent time if the precip comes in hot and heavy and the radar certainly indicates it could. Quite a dry layer near 850mb that is going to need to be overcome first though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, RockerfellerSnow said: Dude we’re colder and more north this isn’t a coating for Central Park mark my words. I’m in Central Park today and I will personally go and measure and show you guys It doesn’t matter how far north you are with an east flow in November, your missing the point. In this case west is best. And go back and re-read my post I said 2” at 120th and Broadway. I’m only about 2 miles from where they take the snow obs in Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 12k Nam has a nice thump for the coast later. 2-3 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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