Sn0waddict Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Looks better to me... keeps snow around longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Hi res nam still has a few inches for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Nam looks great for NW sections. Dews are noticeably dry (teens) and highs today only hit 40-41 despite a ton of sunshine early (indicators of strong, cold high pressure). I do think surface temps will be on the colder side, and it'll be pretty close call honestly near the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 This is why this thread is unreadable. Two minutes ago you have a guy yelling the NAM is a flamethrower. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: This is why this thread is unreadable. Two minutes ago you have a guy yelling the NAM is a flamethrower. The NAM verbatim is a degree or 2 warmer for the city and immediate burbs at the surface and precip shifted NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: This is why this thread is unreadable. Two minutes ago you have a guy yelling the NAM is a flamethrower. NAM is total fine. Honking a solid event 20 miles n & w of the city. Almost ice box worthy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Sooooooo... as an amateur, what's going on? Trying to discern; TIA. Hypothetically speaking, if you were to live by MMU and need to commute tomorrow, what should we be expecting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, mikem81 said: The NAM verbatim is a degree or 2 warmer for the city and immediate burbs at the surface and precip shifted NW 3k Nam has several inches for the city Nam is fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Winter Weather Advisory just issued for my area from 10 am-9 pm tomorrow for 1-3" of snow and a light glaze of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, North and West said: Sooooooo... as an amateur, what's going on? Trying to discern; TIA. Hypothetically speaking, if you were to live by MMU and need to commute tomorrow, what should we be expecting? Tomorrow night's commute might be ugly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 This event basically all comes down to how early it begins and how heavy. I do like the angle of approach of the WAA as well as the lift. It should result in coastal areas seeing plenty of precip. Often in something resembling a SWFE the angle by which the system approaches and the sharpest WAA puts most of the precip too far west and north early on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 3k Nam has several inches for the city Nam is fine An inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: An inch. Try the 12k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: An inch. Better than the previous run for sure though. It actually tries to bring in backside snow too, especially in NW NJ and the Hudson valley. Not sure I would put much faith in it, but something to watch at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: Try the 12k. Inch and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Why are people bickering so much? This isn't a big snowstorm for NYC no matter how much people wish it would be. We have to be realistic here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said: Why are people bickering so much? This isn't a big snowstorm for NYC no matter how much people wish it would be. We have to be realistic here. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 29 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: An inch. It shows several inches Wrong map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Exactly. Like I said it will come down to the amount of precip and how much cold air is still around. These types of storms like to come earlier than modeled. We might either be looking at several inches or just an inch Temps will hover around freezing all day so it will be close. Alot of sleet will happen in the city. Question will be if it will stick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockerfellerSnow Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 These CAD setups tend to over perform. I just hope I win my bet vs psv88 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, RockerfellerSnow said: These CAD setups tend to over perform. I just hope I win my bet win psv88 Yep We will not know about the precip until the storm is occuring. We have seen these storms overperform and also underperform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It shows several inches Wrong map There's no arguing with him. He's gonna show you clown maps that show the Catskills and Berks with 3 inches to make his flamethrower argument. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Like I said it will come down to the amount of precip and how much cold air is still around. These types of storms like to come earlier than modeled. We might either be looking at several inches or just an inch Temps will hover around freezing all day so it will be close. Alot of sleet will happen in the city. Question will be if it will stick. On weather bell when you zoom into NYC, the snow moves in by 2pm. By 4pm the sleet and rain moves in and temperatures are 32/33 the entire time although you can't take any model verbatim. I agree it can certainly over perform if the storm moves in earlier but there's more of a probability of getting less than more. Either way it will be nice to see our first winter storm. Hopefully it's a sign of whats to come this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 With the low dew points modeled, everyone excluding eastern LI should start off as snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 CUrrent obs in western Nassau County; 36/17. Nice cooling already. Down from 39 an hour ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, NycStormChaser said: On weather bell when you zoom into NYC, the snow moves in by 2pm. By 4pm the sleet and rain moves in and temperatures are 32/33 the entire time although you can't take any model verbatim. I agree it can certainly over perform if the storm moves in earlier but there's more of a probability of getting less than more. Either way it will be nice to see our first winter storm. Hopefully it's a sign of whats to come this season. Exactly Bickering is already starting. This will be a fun winter =) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: There's no arguing with him. He's gonna show you clown maps that show the Catskills and Berks with 3 inches to make his flamethrower argument. That map is too low for interior areas anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Definitely FEELS like its going to snow outside. Currently 37 in LIC. 18z RGEM is rolling... looks like T-1" at 25hr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Well, it could be worse for the coast. Looks like T to 2" in NYC. By the way, wow did this turn into a big one for inland areas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 KNYC down to 37 from high of 39, DP of 15. Already 34 at HPN. Expecting an icy inch or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now