STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Final Call. I can’t argue w dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I can’t argue w dat I'd prob double amounts in N VT near jay peak/Stowe though. ML magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Final Call And your using the Sam Lilo design software i see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I'd prob double amounts in N VT near jay peak/Stowe though. ML magic. I'm still working on learning VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: And your using the Sam Lilo design software i see. Paint baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Now that he's in Maine I'll be the only one regularly posting from the NW territory of MA. Lurker only checks in occasionally. We need a Brattleboro weenie! The Enfield of Vermont. What a snow pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Latest HRRR went back on the weenie train after being a bit meh the previous two runs. We'll see what the RGEM does in a few min for a last glance at guidance....though we're getting into the nowcast mode. We'll eagerly await your interpretations of your real-time experience to help set our expectations for when it gets here. S-L-O-W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Paint baby lol, I use paint.net. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I am decidedly not happy with our performance so far. I just got in for my first shift in 4 days, so I've been on the sidelines mostly, but saw the PWM forecast go from 4" to 7" to 3" to 8" in 36 hours. I thought you went AWOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: The Enfield of Vermont. What a snow pit. Bennington and North Adams are pretty bad also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 18z RGEM looks about same as 12z... 4z timeframe maybe even a tick heavier and colder... sleet advances through Boston metro by 5z-6z, to pike in general by 6z, to NH border by 7-8z I think no evidence for drastic last-minute changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: 18z RGEM looks about same as 12z... 4z timeframe maybe even a tick heavier and colder... sleet advances through Boston metro by 5z-6z, to pike in general by 6z, to NH border by 7-8z I think no evidence for drastic last-minute changes Does the RGEM ever merit last-minute changes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I thought you went AWOL. Children will do that. 9 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: We'll eagerly await your interpretations of your real-time experience to help set our expectations for when it gets here. S-L-O-W. Yeah, it can be agonizing waiting for our turn while Kevin is doing naked snow angels. I was just in your neighborhood a couple hours ago renewing my gov't ID at BIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Children will do that. Yeah, it can be agonizing waiting for our turn while Kevin is doing naked snow angels. I was just in your neighborhood a couple hours ago renewing my gov't ID at BIW. I'm two miles north up-river from there. Would have been nice to meet you! Let me know next time you're in this next of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Latest RAP model run shows 12-15" of snow for Utica, New York, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 NWS with 4-8. On board with the trend, or the BOX kiss of death? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Children will do that. Yeah, it can be agonizing waiting for our turn while Kevin is doing naked snow angels. I was just in your neighborhood a couple hours ago renewing my gov't ID at BIW. Newborn, That's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Starting as pingers. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Does the RGEM ever merit last-minute changes? There was some concern the frontogenesis might be weakening as it enters SNE (see Box AFD) regardless of upstream obs, and 12z suite uniformly trended more dry... had 18z RGEM continued that trend, I'd worry about the widespread 4-8"... "last-minute adjustments" is a better way to put it, but no evidence for any changes from what I've seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Starting as pingers. Oh well. same here.. doesn't matter, it will change to snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You sound a bit angry. nah, he's just a bit punchy from getting up at 4am and running 5mi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: same here.. doesn't matter, it will change to snow In Easton sleeted hard for 20 minutes then over to snow. In any event snowing south into Jersey so have a good bit on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: Starting as pingers. Oh well. Really? All snow down here. It looks like the dry slot is racing in our direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 hours ago, sbos_wx said: Seeing sowflakes there would make me happy Good point. Given the date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Well just getting up to speed after my days off, but this looks like it really maxes out now and over SNE. WAA weakens as it lifts across NNE, so rates will drop off but still a good thump (say 1/2/hr rather than 1/hr). As usual up here the WAA lift is tough to get to linger beyond 6 hours, really like 3-5 hour window. I have some deep concerns about how much snow we're forecasting when the DGZ dries out around 06z and the remainder of the column is pretty warm (relatively speaking). Could be a lot of snizzle and not much accumulation until the deformation band swings through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: You could tell yesterday this would be a special air mass. Yesterday's climate report had an average temp of 13F here at MVL. -23 departure. But for the cheap 33° max prior to serious CAA, mine would've been 14 (17/11), which is 20° BN here. That 17 would've tied Thanksgiving 1989 (in Gardiner, as the cold pushed the snow OTS) for my lowest Novie max since living in Ft. Kent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 25 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: NWS with 4-8. On board with the trend, or the BOX kiss of death? Ask the met in Tolland, he knows all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Looks like all rain entering Rhode Island. Will that ever change to snow? Guessing it will at some point??? https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/connecticut/weather-radar?play=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 12 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well just getting up to speed after my days off, but this looks like it really maxes out now and over SNE. WAA weakens as it lifts across NNE, so rates will drop off but still a good thump (say 1/2/hr rather than 1/hr). As usual up here the WAA lift is tough to get to linger beyond 6 hours, really like 3-5 hour window. I have some deep concerns about how much snow we're forecasting when the DGZ dries out around 06z and the remainder of the column is pretty warm (relatively speaking). Could be a lot of snizzle and not much accumulation until the deformation band swings through. Thumpless up here, Just overrunning SWFE like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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