DomNH Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: How many levels is the sounding? You need nucleation below the dry slot too. -1C or -2C won't cut it. My meteorology is rusty as hell. This is 06z. Looks kind of ugly but I figured it'd be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, DomNH said: My meteorology is rusty as hell. This is 06z. Looks kind of ugly but I figured it'd be snow. Not bad, but it looks sparse on data given the coarseness. Looks like data points at H6 and H7 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Do you have 12z Dom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Do you have 12z Dom? Looks a bit snizzly to me. Definitely dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Yeah that’s more iffy. Probably ZL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I went by seeing h7 line into southern NH with cold below that I could see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 This is a weird forecast from my Point n Click "Freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all freezing rain after 2am. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 33 by 5am. East wind 7 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Updated call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Boldly going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Def a sick arimass.... ORH is 25F at peak insolation of the day and their record low max for this date is 30F in 1996. They are also threatening the coldest maximum on record prior to 11/20...the current record is 27F set on 11/16/67. You could tell yesterday this would be a special air mass. Yesterday's climate report had an average temp of 13F here at MVL. -23 departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Updated call. We update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Is there a freezing rain risk here in Enfield. The NWS has the snow going straight to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1” here in Brooklyn, NY with heavy snow so you guys know what’s coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah that’s more iffy. Probably ZL. I like 5-6'' here. Guessing we dry out and snizzle instead of a real scalping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 This is gonna be sneaky good on south coast but inland I think. I know we talked about it, but sure seems it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 18z NAM looks too slow with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: This is gonna be sneaky good on south coast but inland I think. I know we talked about it, but sure seems it. Yeah. Maximizing the WAA thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 BTV just added my county to the Winter Storm Warning area. 5"- 9" in my point and click Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Not much change, but GYX issued a new map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM looks too slow with precip funny you mention that... i was just looking at the radar and thinking how painfully slowly it was advancing. heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Hoping to squeeze out 2-4 here before we flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Stop looking at National weather service forecasts and make own 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stop looking at National weather service forecasts and make own You sound a bit angry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 hours ago, weathafella said: I remember that one! I met wxsniss and we walked up to Trader Joe’s in Coolidge Corner. While in the store it was transitioning to rain but thumping on the way over. I’m at the registers paying for a bottle of wine and wxsniss has a stressed look at the window. We walked a little and I was so distraught I dropped the wine on the sidewalk and the bottle broke . We walked home in a driving rainstorm. An hour later it flipped back and we did ok but west of the BU Bridge got 8+ which would include my current location. A nice memory Jerry You're missed back here, and every drive to Chestnut Hill captures just how much better your climo is. You're more comfortably in the 2-4" range than me, but I think that range will work out for most areas away from water. I also think you and out to Rt128 have a shot at > 4" if we can stave off the coastal front. Glanced at 12z Euro... it does hiccup on occasion, but NAM / RGEM also trended a bit more dry. Upstream obs and radar appear more gungho to me, so overall no reason to make any drastic changes. 18z NAM coming in, looks pretty similar to 12z. 700-800mb switchover occurs near 6z. The big question for us is where a coastal front sets up and how quickly it invades. This will be a good event to hone skills in interpreting wind directions. Currently Fenway 34/22 vs. Brookline Village 30/18 vs. ORH 25/7... this event could similarly vacillate around the BU Bridge for some time. I see no reason to change from 2-4" Boston metro, 4-8" most of the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 ALB issued warning a while back, we'll see. Safe guess I'm not raking up the last leaves Saturday, though. Several of my neighbors will be bumming. Their yards are covered, they haven't raked at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Latest HRRR went back on the weenie train after being a bit meh the previous two runs. We'll see what the RGEM does in a few min for a last glance at guidance....though we're getting into the nowcast mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 hours ago, tunafish said: Sounds right to me. I really don't understand the flip flopping from them. Perhaps @OceanStWx will enlighten us at some point. I am decidedly not happy with our performance so far. I just got in for my first shift in 4 days, so I've been on the sidelines mostly, but saw the PWM forecast go from 4" to 7" to 3" to 8" in 36 hours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Now you will get to join the 10 or so NNE folk to share there obs to themselves. Now that he's in Maine I'll be the only one regularly posting from the NW territory of MA. Lurker only checks in occasionally. We need a Brattleboro weenie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Already 2-3” in Newark area . Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Final Call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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