nw baltimore wx Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 I hope that I end up in 25th place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Since ENSO events began to be tracked during the winter of 1949-50, weak El Ninos have averaged 2.6 inches of snow at DCA during March and April, with the range being a trace on three occasions to 8.3 inches in 1978 (12 prior weak El Ninos). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 8 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I hope that I end up in 25th place. I think I need a Blizzard of 78 repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 21 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: my path to victory has been determined and it will occur So has mine and not so much on part b. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 40 of 59 forecasters still have not reached their forecast snowfalls at any of four locations. An additional four have only passed RIC. In addition, only one tiebreaker forecast has been surpassed, none of the three for LYH so it's one at SBY. However, recent snow remains "msg" if there was any, another tiebreaker forecast is within 0.4" of being overtaken without that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/21/2019 at 11:18 AM, showmethesnow said: Think I would much rather have my KU then yours. Yours would be a foot/foot and a half through Balt/DC whereas mine would be upwards of 3 feet. I know which I would prefer. And I need about 3-5" more than yours, so lets have MY scenario play out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 A minor 1-2" event at BWI/DCA/IAD tomorrow will probably put Olaf in the lead I think. It will also bring me in closer for the final kill shot in the next week. Get your tomatoes ready to throw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 I'll wait until the Daily Climate report this afternoon to post the spreadsheet but using the latest numbers LWX has up currently, we would have a tie between our two previous champions, @Stormpc and @olafminesaw Gonna have to look at the SBY data now for the tiebreaker! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Hmmm... I think I have a chance at the IAD slammer storm while all the other airports don't do so hot. Look out, I'm coming up the leaderboard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Daily Climate Report numbers are out, they are the same as this morning, so here's the updated spreadsheet. Indeed, we have a tie. As for the tiebreaker: @Stormpc forecast 16.8" and @olafminesaw forecast 8.7", both at SBY. The total currently at SBY is 5.0", so Olaf wins in a tiebreaker. @nw baltimore wx has now been mathematically eliminated (sorry man...). @Bob Chill is in a very good spot now IMHO despite busting on DCA. See @RodneyS, BWI can jackpot over IAD! These were the thread-the-needle totals that are still keeping you in the game! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: See @RodneyS, BWI can jackpot over IAD! These were the thread-the-needle totals that are still keeping you in the game! Today's storm was a thread-the-needle masterpiece for me. I still need at least 2.2 inches at BWI and no more than 2.9 inches at IAD, but that's more doable than what I needed prior to today, which was at least 4.4 inches at BWI and no more than 3.5 inches at IAD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 FYI, yesterday's BWI snow total has been revised from 2.3 to 2.2 inches. For most of us, our overall departure is now 0.1 higher, and so there is no relative change, but MN Transplant now has BWI on the nose. See https://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=lwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Is it still possible to get a podium finish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Is it still possible to get a podium finish? If Sterling revises the totals enough, you can still win it. Otherwise, it looks as if you could finish 2nd, behind Weather53 by only 0.3, if you nail BWI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Dang. I’m screwed. Me too. I'm currently drowning my sorrows by eating half a tube of Pillsbury cinnamon rolls. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 As @RodneyS noted, BWI has been revised down by 0.1" and SBY up by 0.3". This doesn't change anything on the leaderboard though. Olaf is listed second just because it sorts by departure, then by name alphabetically- he still wins by tiebreaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 20 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: Is it still possible to get a podium finish? Second place is a set of steak knives. Third place is you're fired. @MN Transplant and @GramaxRefugee get the honorable mention Dead-on-Balls accurate award for BWI and DCA, respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I will update my tables back in the thread when any additions are made tomorrow, think it's possible this storm could intensify, draw in some colder air overnight, and surprise a few people by morning. But I am not counting on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I have now updated all charts back on page five of the thread. They seem to match the latest spread sheet except that 0.2" more has fallen at BWI (3rd) so that resulted in one or two changes in the order as shown, almost everyone gaining 0.2" (losing 0.2" from total departures). I will move the last of the charts that I produced to the end of the thread when the contest seems to be done. Could be some more snow next week by the looks of some guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 3 hours ago, Roger Smith said: I have now updated all charts back on page five of the thread. They seem to match the latest spread sheet except that 0.2" more has fallen at BWI (3rd) so that resulted in one or two changes in the order as shown, almost everyone gaining 0.2" (losing 0.2" from total departures). I will move the last of the charts that I produced to the end of the thread when the contest seems to be done. Could be some more snow next week by the looks of some guidance. Yeah I gotta update the spreadsheet. This is getting really close, especially with BWI. Gonna have to figure out the "playoff scenarios" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just looking at BWI: Stormpc retakes the lead with another 1.5" Rodney takes the lead with another 2.1" Weather53 ties Rodney with another 2.9" and takes the lead with another 3.0" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: @showmethesnow what were you thinking? You act like you have never seen weeniecasting before. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 7 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: @showmethesnow what were you thinking? Hey, go big or go home!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 Here's what the SBY forecast looks like for the top four- Stormpc and Weather53 actually have the same forecast, although I haven't found a situation where they would both tie in the main game. Rodney would win a tie against Weather53 should that situation I mentioned last night occur with 2.9" at BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 3 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Here's what the SBY forecast looks like for the top four- Stormpc and Weather53 actually have the same forecast, although I haven't found a situation where they would both tie in the main game. Rodney would win a tie against Weather53 should that situation I mentioned last night occur with 2.9" at BWI. I'll settle for the 2.9" at BWI, provided that IAD and DCA get very little. (I'm assuming that Richmond is done.) For example, 2.9" at BWI combined with 2.3" at IAD and 0.1" at DCA allows me to take the lead. However, if it's 2.9" at BWI combined with 2.4" at IAD, I'm out, and Bob Chill would take the lead, provided that DCA gets less than 0.3". But if it's 2.9" at BWI combined with 2.4" at IAD and 0.3" or more at DCA, you take the lead. Needless to say, there are countless other far-fetched possibilities that keep most other contestants alive, such as a late March Mid-Atlantic storm similar to the March 29, 1942 (Palm Sunday that year) storm; see https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs-xpm-1992-03-23-1992083144-story.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 6, 2019 Author Share Posted March 6, 2019 6 hours ago, RodneyS said: I'll settle for the 2.9" at BWI, provided that IAD and DCA get very little. (I'm assuming that Richmond is done.) For example, 2.9" at BWI combined with 2.3" at IAD and 0.1" at DCA allows me to take the lead. However, if it's 2.9" at BWI combined with 2.4" at IAD, I'm out, and Bob Chill would take the lead, provided that DCA gets less than 0.3". But if it's 2.9" at BWI combined with 2.4" at IAD and 0.3" or more at DCA, you take the lead. Needless to say, there are countless other far-fetched possibilities that keep most other contestants alive, such as a late March Mid-Atlantic storm similar to the March 29, 1942 (Palm Sunday that year) storm; see https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs-xpm-1992-03-23-1992083144-story.html The latest major storm that covers the entire subforum that I know of is April 3, 1915: RIC had 10", BWI" had 4.5, and DCA had 3.5". Incidentally, PHL actually had 19.4" (miller B screw job for us?). So April 3 is the deadline I have for the weeniecasters to get their act together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 6, 2019 Author Share Posted March 6, 2019 Also we need a 2-minute-warning interview with coach @showmethesnow He’s down by 49 points in the 4th quarter, can he pull this one out? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 I did my net and -3.8 vs 4.8 equals 1.0. It’s an honor to be in 4th with such a stellar top 10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 7, 2019 Author Share Posted March 7, 2019 The latest non-major storm to cover all the airports was 4/28/1898 (which I'm guessing was some type of southern slider): 2.0" at RIC, 0.5" at DCA, 0.1" at BWI. Given 0.1" at RIC currently makes the difference between the winner and loser, this contest, as it is now, will probably stay open until the end of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now