dryslot Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Was the Jim Cantore Worcester thundersnow storm on that date? Close, 12/7/96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Over the years, That date has yielded some good ones. That was a big date in the 1950s as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 I'll be shocked if the interior ends up favored this winter....I'm pretty confident that that will not be the case. If el nino were moderate and/or more canonical in nature....different ball game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 8 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Hope no 78 spring though. I see March rockin I think March will end up about normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll be shocked if the interior ends up favored this winter....I'm pretty confident that that will not be the case. If el nino were moderate and/or more canonical in nature....different ball game. To support that prognostication, Im likely to be spending much more of my time bak in Pit1 come December 21. My mother-in-law is moving into Pit2. The plan was she'd be doing that in January. I was just hit with an update.that she'd be coming in before Christmas. I don't think I'll be able to take it!! So, I'll live in our semi-abandoned Pit1 while it's still available. I can always escape to there if the QPF gods compel me to. So, give me a Maine December and a rocking GC for JFM. Happy Thanksgiving, Weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 We hit snooze for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 This sounds optimistic. From your very own WPC humper. Sunday will see one system off the NY Bight with a potentially short-lived but impactful precipitation event - coastal rain but elevation/inland snow for southern/southeastern New England into Maine. Over Missouri, organizing low pressure will lift toward Lake Erie by Monday with rain along/ahead of the front but snow to its north -- perhaps several inches from Iowa east-northeastward. Triple point low should wrap across southeastern New England and into the Gulf of Maine by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: This sounds optimistic. From your very own WPC humper. Sunday will see one system off the NY Bight with a potentially short-lived but impactful precipitation event - coastal rain but elevation/inland snow for southern/southeastern New England into Maine. Over Missouri, organizing low pressure will lift toward Lake Erie by Monday with rain along/ahead of the front but snow to its north -- perhaps several inches from Iowa east-northeastward. Triple point low should wrap across southeastern New England and into the Gulf of Maine by Nope. Wake me in the 2nd week of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We hit snooze for awhile. The pope failed us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll be shocked if the interior ends up favored this winter....I'm pretty confident that that will not be the case. If el nino were moderate and/or more canonical in nature....different ball game. Your outlook def got me leaning in that direction. Could still be decent here, but proportionally the coastal plain should clean up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 12 hours ago, dryslot said: Over the years, That date has yielded some good ones. Elsewhere. I've had good storms before and after (like 24" on 6-7/2003 and 10.7" on 3-4/2007) but my largest 12/5 snow 1976 forward is 2.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 I like the period between December 1st and 5th for a major winter storm. Teleconnections support a coastal nor'easter with cold air present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 If the GFs is right it seems as if a series of storms hits the pacific NW which generally doesn't bode well for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Your outlook def got me leaning in that direction. Could still be decent here, but proportionally the coastal plain should clean up. Yes. It doesn't have to mean that western zones get screwed like 2015...but eastern areas should have better anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Several threats seen on the 6z GEFS means this morning, several coastal nor'easters potentially. -NAO block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes. It doesn't have to mean that western zones get screwed like 2015...but eastern areas should have better anomalies. So eastern areas jackpot in fast flow Ninas and blocky slow flow Ninos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: So eastern areas jackpot in fast flow Ninas and blocky slow flow Ninos? I would say latitude is a lot more important in Niñas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I would say latitude is a lot more important in Niñas. Yeah that makes sense. I'm just trying to figure out which ENSO state would actually favor west of the river. Maybe none of them lol. Also, we've had big coastals in Ninas lately so it seems the latitudinal rule isn't so applicable this decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 3 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah that makes sense. I'm just trying to figure out which ENSO state would actually favor west of the river. Maybe none of them lol. Also, we've had big coastals in Ninas lately so it seems the latitudinal rule isn't so applicable this decade. Stronger and more east based el nino events have more huggers...like 2006,2002 and 1986. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 4 hours ago, moneypitmike said: To support that prognostication, Im likely to be spending much more of my time bak in Pit1 come December 21. My mother-in-law is moving into Pit2. The plan was she'd be doing that in January. I was just hit with an update.that she'd be coming in before Christmas. I don't think I'll be able to take it!! So, I'll live in our semi-abandoned Pit1 while it's still available. I can always escape to there if the QPF gods compel me to. So, give me a Maine December and a rocking GC for JFM. Happy Thanksgiving, Weenies. Sorry about the Mom in law been there myself. One thing my man, she died this year and guess what I miss that cranky old lady a lot. Its Thanksgiving give thanks to what you have. Happy Thanksgiving to you and all my weather peeps 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think March will end up about normal. You still thinking Dec is a meh month? So 2 months of winter, I will have to pass on your outlook this year. I think its Dec to mid March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Stronger and more east based el nino events have more huggers...like 2006,2002 and 1986. Hmm, interesting. 06-07 was a waste though. I was playing baseball with it 70F in January and it didn't snow until the 2nd week of February. I know it was a huge second half north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 11 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah that makes sense. I'm just trying to figure out which ENSO state would actually favor west of the river. Maybe none of them lol. Also, we've had big coastals in Ninas lately so it seems the latitudinal rule isn't so applicable this decade. Every outlook favors the east, the west just pick up whatever scraps are left. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You still thinking Dec is a meh month? So 2 months of winter, I will have to pass on your outlook this year. I think its Dec to mid March However you want to engineer semantics, I have 80-90" in Boston. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: However you want to engineer semantics, I have 80-90" in Boston. Best of luck Ray, mean this sincerely just disagree respectfully this year on your distributions. The Nino correlation is pretty small compared to our EPO PNA correlations. My own opinion is those 2 areas in the Pac and West coast will produce from now until Mid March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Dam close to a blue bomb even at the coast on the 12z GFS on Monday-Tues, Looks like Northern VT, NH and Maine would all cash again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Dam close to a blue bomb even at the coast on the 12z GFS on Monday-Tues, Looks like Northern VT, NH and Maine would all cash again. I would not be surprised at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I would not be surprised at all. Nope, Those areas are off to one of the best early season starts ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 This is how you run a Miller B in Maine, damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Dendrite jackpot again? Winners ‘gonna win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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