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November discussion


weathafella
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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don't know if I'd call it a huge change. It was just a large change in sensible wx for a lot of MA so it probably seems larger than it was. We're talking maybe 30 miles and 1C. But it is definitely a bit surprising that it got basically owned on that front. It trended more toward the mesos than the other way around. 

I was just gonna post that

wasnt some big change just more weenies affected per square mile of change 

l like my odds for 1.5-2” here. (5 miles north of Ma border)  Nice refresher in Novie. lol This is the new climo i need 

looks like MHT could squeeze advisory 

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20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I never realized how much elevation variance there is in Methuen....just to my east by the river it goes down to like 40'...then a few miles ssw of me it gets up to 335'. I'm at 154'.

Much different from the uniform swamp of Wilmington, and should be interesting this winter.

Ray,

 Living on the east side can be frustrating in marginal events such as tomorrow's storm. West Methuen, especially close to Pelham usually does better in marginal setups. Just be cautious driving up those hills during snow/ice storms. Often times the hills turn into an Olympic style bobsled run and the drive back down the hill can be a challenge.

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22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I never realized how much elevation variance there is in Methuen....just to my east by the river it goes down to like 40'...then a few miles ssw of me it gets up to 335'. I'm at 154'.

Much different from the uniform swamp of Wilmington, and should be interesting this winter.

Go hike up around old Methuen ski area which sits behind Forest Lake. It gains some elevation pretty quick and you can see were the toe ropes once were. The tree damage up there after last years paste job was phenomenal. I go and hike the dog up there after snowstorms all the time. Hoping we can cash in on a few inches tonight up here.

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Just now, jbenedet said:

Unusual to have back to back events jackpot the same area. My hunch is we see this come south back towards yesterday’s 12z euro. 

Wasn't CT jacked in the last one? That sounds like voodoo anyway. That 07-09 period I was jacked in almost every SWFE. lol

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4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Ray,

 Living on the east side can be frustrating in marginal events such as tomorrow's storm. West Methuen, especially close to Pelham usually does better in marginal setups. Just be cautious driving up those hills during snow/ice storms. Often times the hills turn into an Olympic style bobsled run and the drive back down the hill can be a challenge.

I'm northeast, though........not just east. There is much more latitude to be gained in Methuen from where I am.

I'll probably catch more coastal front enhancement, too.

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8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

How do soundings look for ORH?   TT is still having issues it appears

It's literally as close as it gets for ORH. They have like 0.1C at 850 in the max warm layer during heaviest precip. We'll see if other guidance tries to tick a little cooler too or if this is just typical model chaos. 

 

IMG_2062.GIF

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58 minutes ago, dendrite said:

2m temps on most models are in the u10s here by 6z Thu. Maybe teens for highs up here? 2m temps remain in the 10s all day and MEX at CON is only 21°. The first 10s on record at CON is a 15° on 11/27/1873 in a November of yore. GFS hs -24C 850s up here late morning Thanksgiving...just unreal for this time of year.

Where is Ginxy with my 850mb temp records by day/month?

Download it my brother

https://www.weather.gov/unr/uac

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5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Download it my brother

https://www.weather.gov/unr/uac

GYX/PWM Rank H8temp Year Month Day Hour(Z) WMO
1 ‐20.1 1958 11 30 12 72606
2 ‐18.3 1994 11 24 0 74389
3 ‐18.1 2013 11 25 0 74389
4 ‐17.8 1976 11 30 12 72606
5 ‐17.6 1986 11 14 0 72606
6 ‐17.6 1986 11 14 12 72606
7 ‐17.5 2013 11 24 12 74389
8 ‐17.3 1994 11 24 12 74389
9 ‐17.3 2008 11 23 0 74389
10 ‐17.1 1987 11 22 0 72606

GFS blows that away 12z Thu.

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2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

GYX/PWM Rank H8temp Year Month Day Hour(Z) WMO
1 ‐20.1 1958 11 30 12 72606
2 ‐18.3 1994 11 24 0 74389
3 ‐18.1 2013 11 25 0 74389
4 ‐17.8 1976 11 30 12 72606
5 ‐17.6 1986 11 14 0 72606
6 ‐17.6 1986 11 14 12 72606
7 ‐17.5 2013 11 24 12 74389
8 ‐17.3 1994 11 24 12 74389
9 ‐17.3 2008 11 23 0 74389
10 ‐17.1 1987 11 22 0 72606

GFS blows that away 12z Thu.

I had a high of 22F on the afternoon of 11/24/2013 with that -18C. A -20C to -23C definitely gets me 10s. I'll pass on the Thanksgiving flag football game.

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Just now, dendrite said:

I had a high of 22F on the afternoon of 11/24/2013 with that -18C. A -20C to -23C definitely gets me 10s. I'll pass on the Thanksgiving flag football game.

In the ip event of 1985, the slide of my trombone froze solid during our halftime show in Foxboro...such a cold and miserable experience.  Not that marching band was ever a positive...  it was probably only 32F or so, but i was scarred.

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29 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Ray,

 Living on the east side can be frustrating in marginal events such as tomorrow's storm. West Methuen, especially close to Pelham usually does better in marginal setups. Just be cautious driving up those hills during snow/ice storms. Often times the hills turn into an Olympic style bobsled run and the drive back down the hill can be a challenge.

When living in N Andover by exit 42, it was often part of Methuen (Meth lab) that was dividing line. Sometimes I was on colder side but Methuen was always a little colder.

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When living in N Andover by exit 42, it was often part of Methuen (Meth lab) that was dividing line. Sometimes I was on colder side but Methuen was always a little colder.

Yea, there are better spots in Methuen...but I'm not in a bad spot imo. ....if I were near the se edge, then it would be more of an issue. I have a lot of latitude, and the elevation isn't good, but not abysmal like near the river...at least I'm 32' higher than I was in Wilmington :lol:

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