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November discussion


weathafella
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34 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

From NWS updates winter forecast.

Is the Low pressure in the GOA the dreaded one eye pig?

http://www.weathernationtv.com/news/updated-winter-outlook-from-noaas-climate-prediction-center/

 

That’s not a depiction of the pig.  Otherwise AK would be much colder and they have it warm.  Basically it’s standard nino climo without nuance.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So based on Mets here. This BOX map is way wrong ?

gXgW4Tv.png

Looks too south to me but it's not implausible. I'd prob lift everything about 25 miles north on that. It's possible that guidance is a little too aggressive with the BL warmth but you'd like to see some colder solutions. It will prob start as some light snow in N CT late Sunday PM/evening but then by overnight it's too warm. 

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5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Yes, it does, the surface low is further southeast off the coast, while it may be too far southeast at this time, there is plenty of runs left for it to move favorably.

Going in the wrong direction on the euro James.   We have a little time but not much.  That said, the euro is he outlier se so toss?

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Just now, weathafella said:

Going in the wrong direction on the euro James.   We have a little time but not much.  That said, the euro is he outlier se so toss?

Even the NAM is way northwest, but that is outside its range, Jerry the OES event potential looks high for Thanksgiving, again that is only a Cape Cod event.

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