dendrite Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: Correct. In the NH...we winter. New Haven? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 49 minutes ago, dendrite said: New Haven? No, North Haven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Author Share Posted November 13, 2018 Again-can a brother get the weeklies report? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: New Haven? Northern Hemisphere I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Northern Hemisphere I think... whoosh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Again-can a brother get the weeklies report? Week1 bn 2 n 3 bn 4 bn 5 bn Merry Christmas Happy Hanukkah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Lol how NCEP is frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Week1 bn 2 n 3 bn 4 bn 5 bn Merry Christmas Happy Hanukkah I'm already past a 1/4 cord of wood burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 I thought weeklies looked okay, but the signal overall was pretty weak outside of the normal two week ensemble period. Lots of whites on the maps, not much oranges or blues. Nothing really to be discouraged about or super excited about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Author Share Posted November 13, 2018 6 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Week1 bn 2 n 3 bn 4 bn 5 bn Merry Christmas Happy Hanukkah Thanks Steve! Lots of fun incoming! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Week 4 was getting iffy, but still a more Nina look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 59 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thanks Steve! Lots of fun incoming! December looks cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Week 5 and week 6 do have some lower heights in AK so that needs to be watched. They try for some ridging too out west. To me, any signal is week after week 3 so it seems a little up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Author Share Posted November 13, 2018 MJO tells the tale. GEFS is more solid coming out of cod to the left side. EPS is more meandering in cod albeit on the left side of it. Hence the weaker but not terrible signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Week 5 and week 6 do have some lower heights in AK so that needs to be watched. They try for some ridging too out west. To me, any signal is week after week 3 so it seems a little up in the air. EPS has been abysmal . They had coast to coast zonal flow and torch the last 2 weeks of Nov into Dec. They are gonna end up 100% wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Couple weeks ago they were trying for a post mid month warmup, so yea out to week 3 about as far as we should trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Couple weeks ago they were trying for a post mid month warmup, so yea out to week 3 about as far as we should trust. Very true, this season the risks may be weighted colder versus warmer. And the EPS have not been that great, a total flip a few days back too per Ventrice. Hopefully next time they show more solid indications. Maybe still asking too much this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 9 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I'm already past a 1/4 cord of wood burned. Better get the yeti back over............. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Bit of a competing signal betwixt the EPS and American cluster as we move through the last ten days of the month. As of yesterday (and it's really been trending longer than that as we know...) the American -based indexes are impressive in the AO and NAO... In fact, the Pacific isn't too bad (if you like cold) either as it's WPO/EPO are both neutral negative; which combined with a strong -AO, ... that lop-over in respective domain spaces on whole is a cooler signal for mid latitudes over North America. The EPS looks more zonal over mid latitudes admittedly ...but I have not seen a hemispheric layout from that mean. The operational Euro has a strong ...albeit slightly east based -NAO ridge up there in the N Atl... while the operational GFS has been plotting all over kingdom come but has it... Regardless of source... live by the NAO die by the NAO ...That index has more episodes of turn-coat than it does successfully achieving whatever is modeled, positive or negative. So we'll see. But the AO signal is coherent in the blend. I suspect the WPO/EPO negative tendencies combined with the AO ...those are pretty dominating loading pattern indicators so ... the NAO is an interesting after-thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 So much for a prolonged stretch of warm weather NAO AO and EPO are going to be negative along with a favorable PNA in the near future December is going to be a very interesting month with cold and snow chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: So much for a prolonged stretch of warm weather NAO AO and EPO are going to be negative along with a favorable PNA in the near future December is going to be a very interesting month with cold and snow chances I still think we may be on the edge of moderation though. We may see the Pacific or Atlantic for a few days at least relax a bit. Overall though it’s a good look for so early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 GEFS and EPS drop 1-2” Sunday night. Snows on snows . White ground all weekend 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 For all intents and purposes we are starting winter tonight . This is setting up wire to wire . Special one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: For all intents and purposes we are starting winter tonight . This is setting up wire to wire . Special one Yeah....I see no problem with locking in winter on 11/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah....I see no problem with locking in winter on 11/13. Your grass is gone until Morch . Dead chickens littering the snow banks we’re afraid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your grass is gone until Morch . Dead chickens littering the snow banks we’re afraid My chickens like the snow. Cold and wind...notsomuch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Looks like a near record breaker for cold Thursday morning in parts of NH. MAV/MEX have been in the low single digits for CON and the record is 7F. BML -4F...blech. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Looks like a near record breaker for cold Thursday morning in parts of NH. MAV/MEX have been in the low single digits for CON and the record is 7F. BML -4F...blech. 7 at OWD. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like a near record breaker for cold Thursday morning in parts of NH. MAV/MEX have been in the low single digits for CON and the record is 7F. BML -4F...blech. Not s good idea to lock in winter so early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not s good idea to lock in winter so early Only 1 nasty day of cold. GFSX MOS (MEX) KCON GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 11/13/2018 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 WED 14| THU 15| FRI 16| SAT 17| SUN 18| MON 19| TUE 20|WED CLIMO N/X 21 34| 3 35| 24 36| 24 47| 25 43| 27 40| 18 32| 11 27 46 TMP 23 22| 7 27| 29 31| 29 38| 28 37| 30 32| 21 22| 15 DPT 10 1| -2 12| 24 28| 23 27| 24 32| 26 23| 13 9| 8 CLD PC CL| CL PC| OV OV| PC CL| PC OV| OV PC| OV CL| CL WND 12 22| 11 4| 7 10| 7 10| 3 6| 4 7| 17 20| 15 P12 8 2| 1 8| 90 70| 16 13| 22 46| 34 29| 27 20| 12 24 22 P24 8| 8| 90| 20| 49| 43| 28| 33 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 3 2| 0 0| 0 1| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 4| 0| 1| 1| | T12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 T24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 PZP 0 0| 4 6| 35 33| 12 1| 13 7| 1 3| 4 5| 4 PSN 63 98| 96 94| 50 11| 22 11| 26 23| 17 31| 54 66| 67 PRS 17 0| 0 0| 15 24| 18 24| 23 27| 16 16| 10 3| 4 TYP S S| S S| Z Z| RS R| RS RS| R RS| S S| S SNW 0| 0| 4| 0| 0| 0| | Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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