weatherbo Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 17 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Neat map although its a bit low in this area. I notice models have trouble with early season snow right on the water & for whatever reason that snow total map is also low along the water in eastern MI. Now we have been lower totals right along the water, not as low as the map shows. I'm at 2.8" so far here but that map indicates 1.5 to 2. DTW is 3.6" but the map indicates 2 to 2.5. It will be interesting to see the accuracy level as the Winter progresses. Probably not 100% accurate but pretty close I think for most areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 17, 2018 Share Posted November 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, weatherbo said: Probably not 100% accurate but pretty close I think for most areas. It probably is pretty accurate overall. Like i said will be interesting to see what transpires once we really get into winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Weak Ninos are the best. Cannot believe it's only Nov. 17th. I know it's early but central IN starting off where we left off. I hope the recent pattern can carry on into the colder months, keeps the potential up but I'm, gonna be glass half empty this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Clouds and snow showers have cleared, down to 8 degrees. Excellent conditions to view the meteor shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 5 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Neat map although its a bit low in this area. I notice models have trouble with early season snow right on the water & for whatever reason that snow total map is also low along the water in eastern MI. Now we have been lower totals right along the water, not as low as the map shows. I'm at 2.8" so far here but that map indicates 1.5 to 2. DTW is 3.6" but the map indicates 2 to 2.5. It will be interesting to see the accuracy level as the Winter progresses. 5 hours ago, weatherbo said: Probably not 100% accurate but pretty close I think for most areas. It's very accurate here. That "7" that is right over mby compared to 7.4" I have measured so far. Fwiw, all of these snow total maps tend to miss the tenth here, or tenth there that lands on my deck so I make allowances for that. Still damned impressive technology at our finger tips in this era. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Welp, light to moderate snow has returned to the Quad Cities this evening. After that F-Gen band stalled near the Missouri/ Iowa border earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 27 minutes ago, ams30721us said: Welp, light to moderate snow has returned to the Quad Cities this evening. After that F-Gen band stalled near the Missouri/ Iowa border earlier. Yeah snowing again here as well. Didn't expect it to make it back this far north, but here it is lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 1 hour ago, RogueWaves said: It's very accurate here. That "7" that is right over mby compared to 7.4" I have measured so far. Fwiw, all of these snow total maps tend to miss the tenth here, or tenth there that lands on my deck so I make allowances for that. Still damned impressive technology at our finger tips in this era. Definitely good technology. Its really 1-2" off in eastern Wayne county but at the same time to be technical the graph cuts off a sliver tracing the entire outline of MI. When you live right on the edge as i do i guess you notice it more. Also the dtx snow map was bad for the event the other day. Downtown Detroit had 2" but melting commenced by afternoon so another report came in during evening of 0.6" lol. Like I said above it'll be very interesting to see the map as the Winter season progresses because one thing that's for certain is that the sub is getting measurable snow way earlier than normal this year, Winter has not even begun! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Models have trended North with the band of snow so we may be in for some snow in the morning, add a few more nickels to the pot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Rain has changed to snow here. Temps are a few degrees above freezing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah snowing again here as well. Didn't expect it to make it back this far north, but here it is lol. Models have definitely been a bit off with the placement of this. Better returns are actually just to my NORTH right now, which looked like there was no way that would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 That sneaky band of snow across southern Iowa today has dropped 4-7" from Ottumwa to a couple counties west of there. This morning the nws was only talking about less than an inch falling in that area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Light dusting on colder surfaces now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Models have definitely been a bit off with the placement of this. Better returns are actually just to my NORTH right now, which looked like there was no way that would happen. A few days ago it looked like the NAM was taking the Euro and GFS to school again, but the NAM ended up being less accurate with the first wave. Don't think any model handled tonight's secondary wave very well. Snow continues to come down at a decent rate here. Paved areas have whitened up in the last half hour or so. EDIT: Subzero temps for the first time this season in Iowa tonight. -2 at Estherville currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 First below zero temp of the season. -1 was the low, up to 4 now... 5-7” in my point for later tonight into tomorrow for a narrow area here in the higher terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Several ob sites in north-central IA bottomed out at -6 early this morning. That's pretty impressive to be sure. Last night's bonus wave dropped an additional 0.7" here, which brings the total for the two waves to 1.7". Up to 2.7" for November. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Wow, nice overachieving cold in IA and MI! Same for northern WI as well, as my favorite town of Minocqua dropped to -4. Clear and calm with snow cover and long nights. We have about an inch of snow on the ground here in the concrete jungle of Chicago’s northern suburbs...and if skies clear tonight, we may drop to 12 or 14. Lowest temp so far this season has been 16. Normal low is around 27. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILwxchr Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Picked up around 2.3" of snow this morning in Western Illinois south of Galesburg. Another decent early season snowfall (decent for November standards). I'm not complaining. Here are some photography that I shot this morning. A few areas to my north in Mercer County (New Windsor) got close to 4-5" from what I saw, kinda jealous of that lol. Especially after missing last week's 7" snowfall by 45-50 miles. But I take what I can get. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Up to 7.5" of snow fell west of Ottumwa. That means there have been two 7+" snowstorms to my south in November. I assume that's pretty rare. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 While we’ve had some snow in the loop so far this season, nothing sticking unfortunately. Has definitely set the mood the past week, but would have liked at least some accumulation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 Last night's snow has already melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 I think the late week warmup is likely to produce 50 at ORD, but not 60. I mention this because the last 60 degree temp was on October 31, and there have only been 7 years in which the last 60 degree day occurred in October (most recently 1997). I don't see a chance for 60 the rest of the month, so assuming that's the case, it would come down to December, which of course is less favorable from a climo perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 This mornings snowfall was so scenic, and now its melting fast. Picked up 1.5", at 4.3" on the season 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Nobody interested in this for tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Put it down pretty good this morning. Few school delays for slushy roads. It was a sharp cut off. To my south it was pouring rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Weak clipper passing south has turned winds to the ne and pushed a heavy band of snow onshore into far northern Marquette County. Should easily see several inches today... temp 17 degrees this morning with a foot of snow on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 56 minutes ago, CoachLB said: Put it down pretty good this morning. Few school delays for slushy roads. It was a sharp cut off. To my south it was pouring rain. Sharp cutoff as imaged on your prior post. 39F and pouring rain 80-90 miles to your E/ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Down in Negaunee for some errands, crazy heavy snow all the way. 5-6" has already fallen up at my place since last night. At least 2" per hour rates I'm pretty confident. First pic up by my house: Negaunee: 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 ^Wow it looks like deeeeep winter there! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Looks like there could be a burst of lake effect here overnight. This may be far enough west to include the IL shore as well. Should be pretty transient though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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