buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Angrysummons said: Nope you can argue semantics about caving or not.... but the fact is the track moved closer to the 12z euro track. The trough is more progressive and the heights are lower out front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: Nope. Its the same system, less phased which means nothing. The RGEM, gives you another story. Its all about how amped now. The ECMWF was wrong on several levels of organization. the rgem's amped!! shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The GFS definitely is looking to cave to the Euro. It doesn't have the details worked out (just look at the low pressure center jump in hours 48 to 54), but it was a pretty significant step toward the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, JayPSU said: The GFS definitely is looking to cave to the Euro. It doesn't have the details worked out (just look at the low pressure center jump in hours 48 to 54), but it was a pretty significant step toward the Euro. suddenly the euro is a P.O.S. and the rgem is meteorological mastery 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, buckeye said: suddenly the euro is a P.O.S. and the rgem is meteorological mastery Takes the low through Central Ohio. Must be best for his backyard. Literally the ONLY model showing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I wouldn't call a 50 mile shift "set"? NWS will most likely pull some WSW's Northern counties because of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: My point is, the system is set. The Euro is having feedback issues and those actually begin you know, correcting today. Yes, the RGEM is top potential, but the general dynamics of this are pretty much set in stone. I-70 area has issues with this system. As will the East Coast. Don't take this the wrong way... ...but you are so full of sh*t (regardless of how this turns out) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, buckeye said: Don't take this the wrong way... ...but you are so full of sh*t (regardless of how this turns out) LOL!!! Ah yes, the thing that all of us, the entire board, secretly thinks when reading his posts but are just too kind to actually write. Had to be written though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, buckeye said: Don't take this the wrong way... ...but you are so full of sh*t (regardless of how this turns out) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Not sure if it means anything for our next storm on Saturday but it's still snowing here not a sign of turning to rain!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, Steve said: Not sure if it means anything for our next storm on Saturday but it's still snowing here not a sign of turning to rain!! It means the GFS didnt handle it properly because it was supposed to mix with rain. Same with even the 12z RGEM lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, dilly84 said: It means the GFS didnt handle it properly because it was supposed to mix with rain. Same with even the 12z RGEM lol Just sat down grabbed a beer and almost spit it out lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 My forecast in Delaware County (Lewis Center) went from 8-12 to 3-8. Who knows? I've been surprised before both ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Been away all day and catching up on the chat and the models. Man, did I miss a lot! Nice to see some baby steps going our way (18z GFS & NAM), even if ILN lost it's nerve in regards to the bullish snow predictions from this morning. Gonna be a long night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Hmmm ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Hmmm ... Interesting - they show me, for example, at 8-12", but ILN says 3-8". Let the games begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Crowbar said: Interesting - they show me, for example, at 8-12", but ILN says 3-8". Let the games begin. Yea, that's why I thought it pretty curious. Posted at 5pm today too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 40 minutes ago, dilly84 said: It means the GFS didnt handle it properly because it was supposed to mix with rain. Same with even the 12z RGEM lol To be fair, every setup is different, this one will have a sub 1000 mb low approaching from the sw with a strong LLJ trying to pump in warmth. Being that I don't live anywhere near Columbus and I really don't care how it turns out, my honest opinion is that there will be mixing issues there... maybe more than what the ECMWF suggests. Doesn't preclude the possibility of significant snow, but I'd be nervous. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aallen Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 What did the 12 z ukie show? I work nights and missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: To be fair, every setup is different, this one will have a sub 1000 mb low approaching from the sw with a strong LLJ trying to pump in warmth. Being that I don't live anywhere near Columbus and I really don't care how it turns out, my honest opinion is that there will be mixing issues there... maybe more than what the ECMWF suggests. Doesn't preclude the possibility of significant snow, but I'd be nervous. Good luck. Thanks for the valuable information and insight. We had,no idea we might mix or change to rain. Dang it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, buckeye said: Thanks for the valuable information and insight. We had,no idea we might mix or change to rain. Dang it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, Aallen said: What did the 12 z ukie show? I work nights and missed it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Still the Europeans vs. the North American models. shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 21 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Hmmm ... Has me 12-18. Makes little sense unless they think higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, dilly84 said: Has me 12-18. Makes little sense unless they think higher ratios. Yea, good thing is though at this point it is a possibility. This cake hasn't set yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, dilly84 said: Has me 12-18. Makes little sense unless they think higher ratios. I'm loving that area in E/SE IN where the 8-12 borders the 3-4 inch area. Do offices not coordinate with each other ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: I'm loving that area in E/SE IN where the 8-12 borders the 3-4 inch area. Do offices not coordinate with each other ? This isnt from individual offices. My office cle has me 9-12. I mean it may be. But makes little sense if it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Gotten 2" so far from todays. Still snowing at a pretty good clip too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 18z GEFS snowfall mean nudged south from the 12z. Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aallen Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Anyone think the 0z models shift south and put I 70 in bullseye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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