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WxWatcher007

Major Hurricane Michael

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Wonder how bad the surge damage might be on the barrier islands SW of Panama City from the bay. The wind part must be incredible. I wonder where the 150 mph wind would be in that eyewall? 

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Just now, Subtropics said:

Is there any chance he survives? Where was the higher ground near his location?

They broke into the home they parked next to. Beyond that, no way of knowing.

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Just now, Subtropics said:

Is there any chance he survives? Where was the higher ground near his location?

They were next to houses and I'm pretty sure they got inside one. Last shot I have when the feed went out is the white siding of the house so it was still standing as of 2 minutes ago.

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10 minutes ago, hickory said:

Watching Adair live feed now ocean waves crashing over car. I hope they made it into a house. Praying!

even if he made it into a "house" he is likely in a lot of trouble.  he needs elevation, and a house isnt going to do it and can easily be washed away

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2 minutes ago, Subtropics said:

Is there any chance he survives? Where was the higher ground near his location?

They must have gone into one of the homes there. looked to be raised on piles and you could still see the house standing when the feed went out

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Tyndall hasn't reported since 12:20 pm Central...I gather the site is offline now.

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We have official landfall of an almost Cat 5 storm with 155 mph winds (need 157 mph for Cat 5) and a pressure of 919 mbar.
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
 
...MICHAEL INTENSIFIES AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MEXICO BEACH
FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURING OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 85.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NW OF MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.41 INCHES
 

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I'm getting an IKE at landfall with the new update of 45 TJ.

Edit: Typo...it's 45 TJ and not 73 TJ. Fixed.

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2 minutes ago, RU848789 said:
We have official landfall of an almost Cat 5 storm with 155 mph winds (need 157 mph for Cat 5) and a pressure of 919 mbar.
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
 
...MICHAEL INTENSIFIES AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MEXICO BEACH
FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURING OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 85.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NW OF MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.41 INCHES
 

im certain this will be retroactively upgraded to cat 5. this storm is pure madness 

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Seems like a good time to point out that the severe wind damage will go well inland. Katrina produced some severe damage all the way up through northern MS and TS force winds all the way to KMEM. Michael looks to put her to shame in that department. With strong baroclinic forcing coming in tomorrow, I fully expect this thing to be producing TS force winds all the way to the mid-Atlantic coast. Going to be a ridiculous amount of power outages along the way.

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1 minute ago, csnavywx said:

Seems like a good time to point out that the severe wind damage will go well inland. Katrina produced some severe damage all the way up through northern MS and TS force winds all the way to KMEM. Michael looks to put her to shame in that department. With strong baroclinic forcing coming in tomorrow, I fully expect this thing to be producing TS force winds all the way to the mid-Atlantic coast. Going to be a ridiculous amount of power outages along the way.

As you were typing this, the hurricane warning was expanded in Georgia.  Spot on as always.

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13 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

even if he made it into a "house" he is likely in a lot of trouble.  he needs elevation, and a house isnt going to do it and can easily be washed away

The house was elevated on pylons.  They had pulled the truck into some sort of un-covered 3-car (?) pull-in carport with brick/cinderblock walls on 3 sides next to the house, with someone's truck already parked there but with enough room for them to u-turn inside to face the highway.

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