Syrmax Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My wife’s other office is on Long Island. Her co worker left the office at 4:30 and got home at 8. My brother had a rough ride home this eve in western NJ. About 5-6" there. About same as we will end up with here in most of CNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 19 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Alright... weekend lake effect potential for KBUF... over/under 1”? . I'll take the under please. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Must be a warm layer coming off Erie. You can see the bulge of troublesome air on the meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 5 or so inches down here so far. Can definitely see a foot here when all said and done tomorrow morning. Those meso bands are nice if you get under one, massive flakes at a steady rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Few pingers mixing in as of few minutes ago. Probably 80-90% snow still however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Practically stopped snowing here. Looks like eastern Oswego county is under a reforming dry slot. Ugh. Downsloping from the higher elevation of the Tug?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Probably about 1/2" or so..The NAM only had .10" LE by 3z, so everything is on track as of now ..Really hits us up overnight.. Hopefully we can stay away from rain tomorrow morning, 0z Nam has temps stay below freezing to 21z.. Not sure if it's the lake starting up or some other entity lol Anyway could be some "bonus" snow .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 46 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Alright... weekend lake effect potential for KBUF... over/under 1”? . Grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 haha Its payback for all those years lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Looks like all snow now in roc. Looks to snow really hard from 12 to 4 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Some more "bonus" snow tomorrow afternoon.. Being shown on 3 or 4 SR models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2018 Author Share Posted November 16, 2018 We like to call that some bonus 33 degree rain in Buffalo Wolfie. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Very heavy returns in S Onondaga County moving North! We're gonna get absolutely crushed. I have that feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Snow has just about shutoff. About 1" here. Hard to see this WSW verifying...bustogenisis in progress? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Snowing hard in Rochester now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 radar scope showing a mix over ksyr, not sure how legit that is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: About 1" here. Hard to see this WSW verifying...bustogenisis in progress? No way, no how as I'll bet my life on this one verifying and theres definitely more than an 1" out there, at least in Liverpool where I just was and definitely here but its real hard to measure and its only 10pm. Returns are still moving North, Snow ends from West to East so theres a long way to go but you may be right but we'll for sure know in the AM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 3/4-1” rates now. No sign of that mother f’ing sleet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2018 Author Share Posted November 16, 2018 12 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Snow has just about shutoff. About 1" here. Hard to see this WSW verifying...bustogenisis in progress? Still raining here. 33 degs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2018 Author Share Posted November 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 23 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: No way, no how as I'll bet my life on this one verifying and theres definitely more than an 1" out there, at least in Liverpool where I just was and definitely here but its real hard to measure and its only 10pm. Returns are still moving North, Snow ends from West to East so theres a long way to go but you may be right but we'll for sure know in the AM! I'm telling ya...1-1/4" at the official measuring spot. This one is toast. 5 hrs of snow and 1.25"...On to December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Rgem by 10 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I'm telling ya...1-1/4" at the official measuring spot. This one is toast. 5 hrs of snow and 1 25"...On to December? Didn't start at my crib till 7:30 so it hasn't been snowing for 5 hrs? That means it started around rush hr and that's just wrong, sorry bro. You all can be concerned, I'm not. My 8" I got forecasted should work out, but I may bust big time, so we'll see." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Rgem by 10 pm RLMAO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Rgem by 10 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Point is the coastal is just getting going.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 I have super heavy SN falling with a temp of 26F, blowing a drifting will be an issue as it always is here cause I'm totally open no trees at all. Super Drifts happen out here by me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2018 Author Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Point is the coastal is just getting going.. Yeah going to call BS on that one spot in east/central NY getting 3-4" per hour rates lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Point is the coastal is just getting going.. Great pt Wolfie as I don't know where some of these posts are coming from, seriously though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Mesoscale Discussion 1651 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0906 PM CST Thu Nov 15 2018 Areas affected...Northern Pennsylvania...New York and much of the New England states Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 160306Z - 160900Z SUMMARY...Corridor of moderate to heavy snow with rates locally in excess of 1 inch per hour will continue developing northward through much of New York State into Vermont, New Hampshire and southern and central Maine through early morning. The snow will change over to a period of occasional freezing rain and drizzle from northeast Pennsylvania into a portion of southeast New York and southern New England with all rain across far southern New England. DISCUSSION...As of mid evening the corridor of moderate to heavy snow extends from the southern half of NY state eastward into a portion of southern and central New England. This activity is associated with a band of ascent within a deformation zone north and east of a progressive shortwave trough currently moving through the OH Valley. A surface low has deepened off the DelMarVa coast. As this feature continues northward, the zone of strongest frontogenetic forcing within the 800-700 mb layer will develop into eastern NY and much of the remainder of New England, contributing to increasing ascent within the dendritic growth zone. Moreover, mid-level lapse rates will gradually steepen from the south, and might eventually extend far enough northward for some convective enhancement to the snowfall rates. Farther south, WV imagery shows a mid-level dry-slot spreading eastward through PA and will eventually affect southern New England. The drying will extend low enough into the favored snow growth zone for precipitation type to change over to freezing drizzle with occasional heavier convective showers. Moreover, a substantial warm layer aloft will also evolve from the south as the surface low and southerly low level jet continues northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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