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October Discobs Thread


George BM
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Anybody else catch this tidbit from the afternoon LWX disco?

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure from the central U.S. will migrate eastward and
build in over the region on Friday and into Saturday, bringing
more October like temperatures to the region. A sharp shortwave
trough and upper jet will move over the area Friday night and
into Saturday morning, giving us another shot at showers.
Higher elevations along the Potomac Highlands may even be
greeted with some wet snowflakes given 850 temperatures do drop
below freezing. Conditions will trend drier the second half of
Saturday and into Saturday night with mainly clear conditions
and slightly below normal temperatures. We may finally get some
frost in some of our western zones Saturday night.

 

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2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Anybody else catch this tidbit from the afternoon LWX disco?


SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure from the central U.S. will migrate eastward and
build in over the region on Friday and into Saturday, bringing
more October like temperatures to the region. A sharp shortwave
trough and upper jet will move over the area Friday night and
into Saturday morning, giving us another shot at showers.
Higher elevations along the Potomac Highlands may even be
greeted with some wet snowflakes given 850 temperatures do drop
below freezing. Conditions will trend drier the second half of
Saturday and into Saturday night with mainly clear conditions
and slightly below normal temperatures. We may finally get some
frost in some of our western zones Saturday night.

 

I read that earlier today.  I was there a week ago and it was 80F.  I chose the wrong week.  SMH.

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2 minutes ago, Keelala said:

4.5" of rain here in VA over the last 7 hours, forecast to go for another 3 hours.

I just moved here a few months ago. I grew up in San Diego and this is the most rain I have ever seen in my life.

Welcome to VA! :)

hopefully you will get to see some snow this winter as well

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3 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

I think you might dagger our see-saw precip battle with this one.

3.97 at 10:50 and still rain overhead. I did not think any of us around here would get close to 4 in. Especially not me. I am the Giancarlo Stanton of tacking on useless stats. It never rains or snows when I need it to but I come through when there's not much on the line.

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26 minutes ago, Keelala said:

4.5" of rain here in VA over the last 7 hours, forecast to go for another 3 hours.

I just moved here a few months ago. I grew up in San Diego and this is the most rain I have ever seen in my life.

I see over 200K people are without power in Central VA. NOT good! Hope you have a generator!

 

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20 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Thanks for sharing your observations! Good luck getting power back!

Welcome. Who knows when that will be. All it took was the second gust and boom, power went out. Lots of power outages across the state. VA Power map shows 234,380. I am with PGE coop, they do not have a map, so I have no idea when it will come back on. i'll turn on the generator when it settles down. Schools in the area are closed tomorrow because of storm damage and with it being Friday, probably will not be in that big of a hurry. 

EDIT: VA Power updates every 15 minutes and is now up to 245,704. That went up quite fast!

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23 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

I see over 200K people are without power in Central VA. NOT good! Hope you have a generator!

 

I do not!

The lights were flickering for a few hours but power has stayed on. The winds stayed mostly to the south. Every county around mine was under tornado watch, but no major impacts except a ton of rain, lightning, and dead leaves all over the lawn.

Still getting some gusts but I think the worst has passed. Fingers crossed. Still raining.

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Sounds like things are rough down in the Northern Neck.  PDS warning for "flash flood emergency"

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
952 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR MIDDLESEX, KING AND QUEEN,
NORTHUMBERLAND, RICHMOND, WESTMORELAND, KING WILLIAM, LANCASTER,
AND ESSEX COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Middlesex County in eastern Virginia...
  King and Queen County in east central Virginia...
  Northwestern Northumberland County in eastern Virginia...
  Richmond County in east central Virginia...
  Westmoreland County in east central Virginia...
  Central King William County in east central Virginia...
  Northwestern Lancaster County in eastern Virginia...
  Essex County in east central Virginia...

* Until 345 AM EDT.

* At 947 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated gauges indicated heavy
  rain across the warned area. Three to five inches of rain have
  fallen, and an additional two to four inches are possible. Flash
  flooding is occurring with water rescues reported in Richmond
  County.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR Middlesex, King and Queen,
Northumberland, Richmond, Westmoreland, King William, Lancaster, and
Essex Counties. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK
HIGHER GROUND NOW!

* Some locations that will experience dangerous flooding include...
  King William, West Point, Tappahannock, Warsaw, Montross,
  Champlain, Saint Stephens Church, Robley, King And Queen Court
  House, Callao, Center Cross, Kinsale, Morattico, Heathsville,
  Farnham, Haynesville, Jamaica, Millers Tavern, Newland and Coles
  Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Please report flooding by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the NWS
Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA.

 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
937 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR AMELIA, POWHATAN, WESTERN NOTTOWAY, AND
NORTHEASTERN LUNENBURG COUNTIES...

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Lunenburg County in south central Virginia...
  Western Nottoway County in south central Virginia...
  Amelia County in central Virginia...
  Powhatan County in central Virginia...

* Until 1245 AM EDT.

* At 931 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
  that heavy rain has fallen across the warned area. Five to eight
  inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring
  and numerous roadways are impassable and extremely dangerous.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for AMELIA, POWHATAN, WESTERN
NOTTOWAY, AND NORTHEASTERN LUNENBURG COUNTIES!. This is a
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Powhatan, Crewe, Victoria, Amelia Courthouse, Nottoway,
  Jetersville, Tobaccoville, Morven, Chula, Macon, Ballsville,
  Nutbush, Winterham, The Falls, Maplewood, Fergusonville,
  Deatonville, Holly Hills, Lodore and Lake Powhatan.
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This isn't good either for S MD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1128 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

MDZ017-018-121130-
/O.UPG.KLWX.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181012T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0002.181012T0328Z-181012T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0008.181012T1000Z-181012T1600Z/
St. Marys-Calvert-
Including the cities of Lexington Park, California,
Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby,
and Prince Frederick
1128 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has
issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect until 6 AM EDT
Friday. A Wind Advisory has also been issued. This Wind Advisory
is in effect from 6 AM to noon EDT Friday. The Wind Advisory is
remains in effect for Friday morning.

* TIMING...Tonight and Friday morning. The strongest winds will
  be late this evening and overnight.

* WINDS...Northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph tonight,
  then 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...The combination of gusty winds and saturated ground
  will result in numerous downed trees and scattered power
  outages.
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THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KING AND QUEEN...NORTHWESTERN CHARLES CITY...
NORTHWESTERN NEW KENT...HENRICO...KING WILLIAM AND SOUTHEASTERN
HANOVER COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF RICHMOND...

At 841 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
that heavy rain was falling over the area. Nearly 3 inches of rain
has fallen at the Richmond International Airport. Over the warning
area, an average of 3 to 5 inches has fallen with locally higher
amounts. Numerous roads are closed and water rescues are ongoing
within the City of Richmond.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Richmond, King William, Virginia Commonwealth University,
Talleysville, Highland Springs, Downtown Richmond, Virginia Union
University, University Of Richmond, Saint Stephens Church, Roxbury,
Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Tuckahoe, Tunstall, Manquin, Beulahville,
Laurel, Mangohick, Bensley and East Highland Park.
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


NCZ012>014-030>032-VAZ075-076-081>083-087>090-092-093-096-512-
516>522-120800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Westmoreland-
Richmond-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex-
Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-
Eastern Hanover-Eastern Henrico-Western King William-
Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton,
Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham,
Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park,
Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg,
Franklin, Mechanicsville, Sandston, Aylett, King William,
West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock,
and Dunnsville
1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* AREAS AFFECTED: Much of southern and eastern Virginia and
  portions of interior northeast North Carolina.

* HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts.

* WINDS: Winds shifting to the north to northwest at 30 to 40 mph
  with gusts to 60 mph into early Friday morning.

* TIMING: Into early Friday morning. Winds will gradually
  diminish after 4 am.

* IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause
  downed trees and scattered power outages.
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Just now, ATreglown said:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


NCZ012>014-030>032-VAZ075-076-081>083-087>090-092-093-096-512-
516>522-120800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Westmoreland-
Richmond-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex-
Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-
Eastern Hanover-Eastern Henrico-Western King William-
Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton,
Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham,
Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park,
Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg,
Franklin, Mechanicsville, Sandston, Aylett, King William,
West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock,
and Dunnsville
1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* AREAS AFFECTED: Much of southern and eastern Virginia and
  portions of interior northeast North Carolina.

* HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts.

* WINDS: Winds shifting to the north to northwest at 30 to 40 mph
  with gusts to 60 mph into early Friday morning.

* TIMING: Into early Friday morning. Winds will gradually
  diminish after 4 am.

* IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause
  downed trees and scattered power outages.

I know it says southern Va, but some areas listed are not southern Va. Some are central Va.

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Just went outside to collect some flying empty planters I forgot I had outside. Summer is officially over. What a refreshing air mass. It's actually chilly. Winds are probably gusting around 30 right now. I'm sure they will be some tree issues areas along 95 south and east.

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1 minute ago, alexderiemer said:

Lewes Delaware

Sent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk
 

My bad. I thought I read that you moved from Cali to Va. I figured it was east though with your winds finally ramping up. Here, it was just rain and I was seeing reports very near by with high wind gust, but nothing at my location. But a few minutes later it was like a switch was flipped and the winds started roaring and my power went out immediately. Going to wait and turn the generator on when I get up around 6:30, pretty sure there still will be no power. It's already late, so I figure why bother. Frig will last till then. 

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11 minutes ago, ATreglown said:

My bad. I thought I read that you moved from Cali to Va. I figured it was east though with your winds finally ramping up. Here, it was just rain and I was seeing reports very near by with high wind gust, but nothing at my location. But a few minutes later it was like a switch was flipped and the winds started roaring and my power went out immediately. Going to wait and turn the generator on when I get up around 6:30, pretty sure there still will be no power. It's already late, so I figure why bother. Frig will last till then. 

Thats the poster Keelala ;)

 

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