RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Not sure why people want to blow their stuff on October cold anyways. Because it’s our first winter month, can’t waste precious time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Because it’s our first winter month, can’t waste precious time. Gonna be a warm first month. Snowman21 will enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lines are already being drawn. They've been drawn since the dawn of time, thy knickers get jealous when scrolls get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: They've been drawn since the dawn of time, thy knickers get jealous when scrolls get buried. That part sucks. I wish we could even it out more. We joke, but I don’t cheer for anyone to get screwed. Well maybe Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2018 Author Share Posted September 28, 2018 Dagger to ACATT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 Please keep an eye on Snowman21. I’m afraid of what may result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 I've noticed a a bit of an oscillatory behavior between the 00z and 12z cycles... it's more prevalent in the Euro camp but also the GGEM is doing it too... These guidance' (and the GFS to some lesser degree) keep popping the ridge bubble by 3 to 6 decameters worth at 12z, only to fill the balloon again on the 00z's That matters, because the 12z offers a mean frontal position a bit farther S... All with, more BD .. The Euro went from an historically warm next Thursday to BD that fists all the way to the Delmarva or more between the 00z and 12z respectively... If we go back another day's worth of runs, that sloshing is also noticeable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That part sucks. I wish we could even it out more. We joke, but I don’t cheer for anyone to get screwed. Well maybe Kevin. December 2003... that was 20" around BTV area, wasn't it 20" around BOS too? We need more of those types of system where you just go 1-2 feet over everyone east of Syracuse, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Please keep an eye on Snowman21. I’m afraid of what may result. I hope we can get him a record low this year. Even if it’s a vulnerable one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 3 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Because it’s our first winter month, can’t waste precious time. Sometimes it’s our only winter month! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: December 2003... that was 20" around BTV area, wasn't it 20" around BOS too? We need more of those types of system where you just go 1-2 feet over everyone east of Syracuse, lol. Yeah. Even SE MA around Taunton had 2 feet. That was a pretty unusual storm...esp so given the time of year. To cover that large of an area with major snows in early December is tough. Last year, we had our warmest October on record. Didn't hurt too much later on with well above normal snowfall and some pretty good cold periods during winter. The Feb torch sucked, but we got some nice payback right after it. The Feb torch would've felt 100x worse if it kind of ended winter and march was a dud. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah. Even SE MA around Taunton had 2 feet. That was a pretty unusual storm...esp so given the time of year. To cover that large of an area with major snows in early December is tough. Last year, we had our warmest October on record. Didn't hurt too much later on with well above normal snowfall and some pretty good cold periods during winter. The Feb torch sucked, but we got some nice payback right after it. The Feb torch would've felt 100x worse if it kind of ended winter and march was a dud. Nice write up on that one: http://cms.met.psu.edu/sref/severe/2003/5-6Dec2003.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 14 hours ago, CoastalWx said: If the ACATT crew were Scotsman, Ginx would be William Wallace. FREEEEEEEDOM!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 12 hours ago, powderfreak said: December 2003... that was 20" around BTV area, wasn't it 20" around BOS too? We need more of those types of system where you just go 1-2 feet over everyone east of Syracuse, lol. It was a great storm. Lots of damage south of Boston where it was wet. This area had a solid 20-22”. Much less just SE of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2018 Author Share Posted September 29, 2018 Lots of 70’s and 80’s now showing up on models in Torchtober Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lots of 70’s and 80’s now showing up on models in Torchtober Okay, you win. If this is what you want to pretend to enjoy, be my guest. It does appear as though there will be no break in the next 10 days from AAN weather. I was under the impression that the weak El Nino would lead to cooler temps, but I guess not. That SE ridge is no joke and definitely feels like it will be a huge factor in our climate for years to come. NYC has felt like Atlanta this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 I can't wait for Mowvember. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 41 minutes ago, dendrite said: I can't wait for Mowvember. Remember, he turns ACATT on Oct 31st. Halloween changes his colors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Remember, he turns ACATT on Oct 31st. Halloween changes his colors. The DIT may flip, but the neverending summer won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I can't wait for Mowvember. I hate mowing after Halloween... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 12/03 locally was kinda meh .. long duration was cool but it felt like ORH area was in subsidence hell for most of Saturday IIRC. I think I ended up with ~12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 4 hours ago, LurkerBoy said: Okay, you win. If this is what you want to pretend to enjoy, be my guest. It does appear as though there will be no break in the next 10 days from AAN weather. I was under the impression that the weak El Nino would lead to cooler temps, but I guess not. That SE ridge is no joke and definitely feels like it will be a huge factor in our climate for years to come. NYC has felt like Atlanta this year. Why is it a contest? No one can control the weather. Some of you act like it's a sporting event lol...and others act like salesmen trying to sell a given weather outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 Just now, powderfreak said: Why is it a contest? No one can control the weather. Some of you act like it's a sporting event lol. No one can control the outcome of sports either, doesn’t stop some people from getting emotionally involved. Except for me, with the weather, when it’s abnormally warm, it makes me think about the environmental situation humans are in all day. And therefore, emotional. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 21 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: No one can control the outcome of sports either, doesn’t stop some people from getting emotionally involved. Except for me, with the weather, when it’s abnormally warm, it makes me think about the environmental situation humans are in all day. And therefore, emotional. Umm, yes people can and have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2018 Author Share Posted September 29, 2018 I’m not sure what Boy is speaking of, but those that know me know I want seasons in seasons .. HHH summers, cool to chilly autumns as we progress and snowy cold winters. Unfortunately, autumn ain’t delivering.. so we just push thru and pray winter is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 I read a couple predictions about a pattern change around Thanksgiving. Would that really make sense in a Nino winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 14 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Nice write up on that one: http://cms.met.psu.edu/sref/severe/2003/5-6Dec2003.pdf That snowfall distribution is ptretty incredible. 14-20" values around ALB, BOS, BTV, CON... I wonder how often that's happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 3 hours ago, ma blizzard said: 12/03 locally was kinda meh .. long duration was cool but it felt like ORH area was in subsidence hell for most of Saturday IIRC. I think I ended up with ~12" I got 12", while 5-8mi se had 26", and 10-12 mi ese had 36"+. I hated that event....long, protracted and boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 On 9/28/2018 at 12:33 PM, CoastalWx said: Not sure why people want to blow their stuff on October cold anyways. Like that time CON got 50% of their season's snowfall before Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 12-5-03 and PD II are my biggest screw jobs....island of mediocrity amidst a sea of HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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