CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 Euro still has the flakes in high terrain idea, just not as far north as gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2018 Author Share Posted October 20, 2018 NAM would drop a quick inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 I wouldn’t set the bar high. Maybe a very narrow area above 1k gets a surprise inch or so, but I’m talking more in the way of first flakes. It’s more of a nowcast deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 Is Ginx OK? I spy some TTs of 60 for 9z tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Is Ginx OK? I spy some TTs of 60 for 9z tomorrow! We had seen an interesting Twitter post from Mr Windsexy himself this AM . I would pick the higher terrain from Berks to Dendritic land, maybe ORH county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 18z GFS a little closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2018 Author Share Posted October 20, 2018 26 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z GFS a little closer This is even closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is even closer Posted in the wrong thread that was for the storm a week or so away... tonight looks meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is even closer The tip almost touching? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Anything in the hill towns? It got together a little east of there, but not sure if the Wawa area saw anything. I don't see much on the webcam. Some thunder by the islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Looks like a retorch in early November with ridging in the east again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anything in the hill towns? It got together a little east of there, but not sure if the Wawa area saw anything. I don't see much on the webcam. Some thunder by the islands. Cold rain. 39F. Drip drop. 15 min from Wachusett Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like a retorch in early November with ridging in the east again. Bring it on. No need for cold in Oct/Nov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Bring it on. No need for cold in Oct/Nov Yeah...yesterday was awesome. Today naso much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like a retorch in early November with ridging in the east again. According to which models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Just now, LurkerBoy said: According to which models? All guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 1 minute ago, LurkerBoy said: According to which models? Enjoy the thaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: All guidance. Okay. Sigh. The reason I post is to learn. Curt answers like this make me really debate staying on for the long run. I am wondering what the mechanisms are that will lead to the ridge reappearing, how long until it happens, and how torched it looks right now. I checked out the GFS and it doesnt seem TOO bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 We seesaw. Steady as she goes. ACATT can wait a few more weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: Okay. Sigh. The reason I post is to learn. Curt answers like this make me really debate staying on for the long run. I am wondering what the mechanisms are that will lead to the ridge reappearing, how long until it happens, and how torched it looks right now. I checked out the GFS and it doesnt seem TOO bad. Short answers? I wasn't being a dink. Just meaning all guidance. Sure maybe torch is hyperbole, but it's AN for sure with ridging. It's probably typical ebb and flow. I wouldn't sweat it. The cold shifts west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 23 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: Okay. Sigh. The reason I post is to learn. Curt answers like this make me really debate staying on for the long run. I am wondering what the mechanisms are that will lead to the ridge reappearing, how long until it happens, and how torched it looks right now. I checked out the GFS and it doesnt seem TOO bad. We enjoy you boy so stick around. Most don’t have the time or mental bandwidth to make Tip like posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 1 hour ago, LurkerBoy said: Okay. Sigh. The reason I post is to learn. Curt answers like this make me really debate staying on for the long run. I am wondering what the mechanisms are that will lead to the ridge reappearing, how long until it happens, and how torched it looks right now. I checked out the GFS and it doesnt seem TOO bad. Your posts here have historically been one step below feces and you expect someone to give you a long answer explanation as to why models are trending toward ridging a couple of weeks away? Get over yourself dude. There's a reason why the hot dog is still under your avatar. 5 1 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 21, 2018 Author Share Posted October 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 21, 2018 Author Share Posted October 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Your posts here have historically been one step below feces and you expect someone to give you a long answer explanation as to why models are trending toward ridging a couple of weeks away? Get over yourself dude. There's a reason why the hot dog is still under your avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Man storms on gfs and Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Meh... you guys were also pokin' the hornest nest a little on that, too ... The GEFs ...yeah, theirs some subtle positive anomaly there but the flow looks relatively flat all things compared from the Pacific to the west Atlantic. Barring semantic arguments, "retorch" mmm might be construed as a bit strong imho - That said, (now the hypocrisy) ... there was some hint as of two days - not sure if others were aware as the faux early winter-gasm was still flooding dopamine and therefore probably missed... It may be a bit more coherent/obtrustive now, but obviously, continuity would be preferred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Meh... you guys were also pokin' the hornest nest a little on that, too ... The GEFs ...yeah, theirs some subtle positive anomaly there but the flow looks relatively flat all things compared from the Pacific to the west Atlantic. Barring semantic arguments, "retorch" mmm might be construed as a bit strong imho - That said, (now the hypocrisy) ... there was some hint as of two days - not sure if others were aware as the faux early winter-gasm was still flooding dopamine and therefore probably missed... It may be a bit more coherent/obtrustive now, but obviously, continuity would be preferred. Yeah it's just the typical ebb and flow. However, I think some thought it was the start of months BN. Not so fast. Some are thinking December to be AN as well before the hammer drops in Jan. Nino Decembers can be mild, so I suppose that isn't exactly out of the box thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it's just the typical ebb and flow. However, I think some thought it was the start of months BN. Not so fast. Some are thinking December to be AN as well before the hammer drops in Jan. Nino Decembers can be mild, so I suppose that isn't exactly out of the box thinking. We are about 2.5-3 months away from sustained winter. I can't believe the degree of investment right now. I don't see anything interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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