Hoth Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 I see the KFS flipped to its negative phase. Winter coming on quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: What were they measuring 110mph with in Boston in 1804? Ask WeathaFella - he's the one who submitted the report Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I want to witness this before it’s ovah for me That looks like a track that would have kevin asking Will if dynamics might send him back to snow while Pike north got pummeled. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: That looks like a track that would have kevin asking Will if dynamics might send him back to snow while Pike north got pummeled. Doesn't appear you would've had a QPF problem either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 3 hours ago, dryslot said: You were pimping Pina Colada's and know its frozen Daiquiri's? That was this week. Now we flip per guidance. At least for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That was this week. Now we flip per guidance. At least for now. Well at some point, The rest of the Northeast has to flip, Welcome to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Well at some point, The rest of the Northeast has too flip, Welcome to the party. We were furnaced minus some back door days. But it's a true pattern change now. #Scooterknows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 2 hours ago, dendrite said: What were they measuring 110mph with in Boston in 1804? I can't find documentation of that, but I did see it mentioned that the direction was SW (odd for a tropical landfall). So maybe suggests warm seclusion/sting jet evolution was responsible for winds around eastern Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 78/75, beautiful seasonal Fall day in progress. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 That was a pretty cold run of the 12z GFS/FV3 GFS....has lows in the 20s even down here by the 20th. That was a pretty quick flip. It definitely has the look of the past few years where most of the country bakes relative to average and we stay locked in the "cooler" pattern. EPO driven I would assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We were furnaced minus some back door days. But it's a true pattern change now. #Scooterknows Yup. NNE has furnaced just like everyone else . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup. NNE has furnaced just like everyone else . Eh. Took awhile at home. It was cloudy with 60s until an hour ago. Now it's low 70s with BKN skies. It's just nice out. Not a torch up here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup. NNE has furnaced just like everyone else . You can just auto post this about 16 times this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 30 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: That was a pretty cold run of the 12z GFS/FV3 GFS....has lows in the 20s even down here by the 20th. That was a pretty quick flip. It definitely has the look of the past few years where most of the country bakes relative to average and we stay locked in the "cooler" pattern. EPO driven I would assume? No... PNA... I discussed that earlier... The EPO is collapsing and the PNA is rising, heralding in a ridge expression at mid latitudes over western N/A ... which subsequently ensues trough in the east. -EPO vs +EPO can more directly effect the wave spacing across N/A (more so than transitive/indirectly...), but that usually happens in the mid winter when the wave lengths are much longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: I can't find documentation of that, but I did see it mentioned that the direction was SW (odd for a tropical landfall). So maybe suggests warm seclusion/sting jet evolution was responsible for winds around eastern Mass. I even wonder if that's based upon a real reanalysis science ... ...if so, how - Seems it'd have to built/assessed almost entirely upon anecdotal accounts. It wouldn't shock me if there was no real tropical system here over SNE, and say that track is just not right. In Dec 2005 we had something similar to what you described entirely from an unusually potent mid level jet structure and attending bombogen running along SE RI ... It was exceptionally well handled by the ETA in its twilight years - since retired to this NAM: "Not A Model" That one brought wind speeds of ... 110 mph in gust to the Cape and Islands from a singer... I don't doubt that a TC was in the vicinity? But "vicinity" in Met terms can be Va Capes to SE of CC... where as if an early season Dec 2005 type compact nuke was bombing and perhaps thefting diabatic streamer ...or perhaps outright absorbing, that's not the same as "Snow hurricane" per se ...But, given to the shimmering clear state of the art recorded satellite imagery, radar, as well as infrastructure for ground truth data networking that was miraculously in place 180 years before its time, I'm sure they nailed all the culprit players on that thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 81/65, feels like late August outside. Strange blue sky with orange disk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Up to 73* at the Pit with the muggies. It was 78* at the Greenfield rotary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Some reading materials for the knickers storm of 1804 https://historicipswich.org/2015/10/09/the-great-snow-hurricane-of-1804/ http://www.newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/great-snow-hurricane-1804/ and my favorite historical NE book is now on line. https://archive.org/details/bub_gb_ar8TAAAAYAAJ/page/n177 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: No... PNA... I discussed that earlier... The EPO is collapsing and the PNA is rising, heralding in a ridge expression at mid latitudes over western N/A ... which subsequently ensues trough in the east. -EPO vs +EPO can more directly effect the wave spacing across N/A (more so than transitive/indirectly...), but that usually happens in the mid winter when the wave lengths are much longer. I should always read the last couple pages before I post...Thanks for the clarification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 12z guidance at a glance looks pretty chilly beyond this week. Not surprising as we will be moving into the third week of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Yup. Looks like the heat comes on for good on Friday. AC compressor get covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Michael akin to Opal? Will he turn the NAO for the winter like Opal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Nice clear evening here approaching sunset. 74F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup. NNE has furnaced just like everyone else . Today was amazing. Sunshine and torch. Spent 6 hours outside hiking around the mountains enjoying the foliage. 77-78F straight across the northern tier on the mesomap including BTV, MVL, 1V4, HIE, BML, LEW, AUG, etc... NNE Torch with dews in the 60s to boot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 The usual warm spots east of HFD will try to tickle 80 one last time tomorrow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The usual warm spots east of HFD will try to tickle 80 one last time tomorrow.... Yep. I hit 80 today. Going for 82 or so here in Furnaceville USA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Michael akin to Opal? Will he turn the NAO for the winter like Opal? Hmm very interesting question there...Opal was 1995 correct? Maybe things are lining up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Hmm very interesting question there...Opal was 1995 correct? Maybe things are lining up... Yup. Some say it made that winter or at least provided the jump start to epicosity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Yup. Some say it made that winter or at least provided the jump start to epicosity. Pretty pretty please. I have very fond memories of that winter...specifically of never having a full week of school from November to March and of jumping off my roof into a drift after January '96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Michael will be the little critter that bites for the panhandle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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