Great Snow 1717 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 We all know he's going to keep posting until all of us agree with him. #FAKEINFERNO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Waiting on a Ventrice and Noll tweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 Didn’t Will scold these ACATT posters the other day about keeping their banter in banter threads? Looks very warm next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Well I'm technically in the southern half. It'll be near normal for the first 7 days up here. CON-south maybe a little warmer. Nothing too cold or too hot for this time of year. Hopefully next week is warmer and sunnier. MEX is kinda meh for up here. Get that sfc boundary way up into QB please. GFSX MOS (MEX) KLCI GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 10/05/2018 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 62| 40 66| 52 71| 54 63| 52 64| 60 70| 54 66| 55 67 40 59 TMP 49| 43 58| 58 62| 55 56| 56 59| 63 62| 57 58| 57 57 DPT 35| 38 47| 56 60| 50 49| 51 55| 58 56| 54 52| 50 48 CLD CL| CL PC| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| CL CL WND 7| 2 8| 6 6| 5 5| 5 6| 4 7| 8 6| 4 8 P12 0| 2 8| 15 33| 23 25| 55 50| 42 40| 45 36| 20 18999999 P24 | 8| 37| 25| 77| 56| 68| 27 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 1| 1 1| 1 | Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 2| 1| | T12 5| 1 2| 4 5| 0 0| 3 2| 11 12| 4 6| 2 1 T24 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 PZP 1| 0 0| 2 0| 0 1| 0 0| 2 2| 4 0| 0 0 PSN 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 PRS 1| 0 0| 1 0| 1 1| 1 1| 0 1| 2 1| 1 0 TYP R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | Looking like one day as well next week up here in the 70's outside of Sunday and that would be on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Didn’t Will scold these ACATT posters the other day about keeping their banter in banter threads? Looks very warm next week Does that include your "TORCH" posts????…..or do you consider all of your posts to be above the level of banter???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Waiting on a Ventrice and Noll tweet You can bet your last penny that he has been searching the net all day to find tweets or posts that semi supports his "thoughts" on next week. Maybe he will even find one that supports his 1816 claims..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 5 hours ago, weatherbo said: Third time seeing flakes this season, and the first measurable snow here in the UP. Around 2" so far. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Well I'm technically in the southern half. It'll be near normal for the first 7 days up here. CON-south maybe a little warmer. Nothing too cold or too hot for this time of year. Hopefully next week is warmer and sunnier. MEX is kinda meh for up here. Get that sfc boundary way up into QB please. GFSX MOS (MEX) KLCI GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 10/05/2018 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 62| 40 66| 52 71| 54 63| 52 64| 60 70| 54 66| 55 67 40 59 TMP 49| 43 58| 58 62| 55 56| 56 59| 63 62| 57 58| 57 57 DPT 35| 38 47| 56 60| 50 49| 51 55| 58 56| 54 52| 50 48 CLD CL| CL PC| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| CL CL WND 7| 2 8| 6 6| 5 5| 5 6| 4 7| 8 6| 4 8 P12 0| 2 8| 15 33| 23 25| 55 50| 42 40| 45 36| 20 18999999 P24 | 8| 37| 25| 77| 56| 68| 27 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 1| 1 1| 1 | Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 2| 1| | T12 5| 1 2| 4 5| 0 0| 3 2| 11 12| 4 6| 2 1 T24 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 PZP 1| 0 0| 2 0| 0 1| 0 0| 2 2| 4 0| 0 0 PSN 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 PRS 1| 0 0| 1 0| 1 1| 1 1| 0 1| 2 1| 1 0 TYP R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | Maybe I'm reading that wrong, but it says the climo avg is 59/40, and that looks like a solid +15 avg on the lows and +7 on the highs which would put the next seven days at around a +11 wouldn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 20 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Maybe I'm reading that wrong, but it says the climo avg is 59/40, and that looks like a solid +15 avg on the lows and +7 on the highs which would put the next seven days at around a +11 wouldn't it? Are we talking the first 7 days of the month or the next 7 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Are we talking the first 7 days of the month or the next 7 days? I misread your post and thought you were talking about near normal for the period shown in that forecast grid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 It’s warm for a couple next week, but ending after that. ACATT will enjoy normal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Just saw Ryan’s Forecast for next week...it’s cooler again from the inferno calls of Yore next week. Basically Sunday is 75-80, and Wednesday upper Seventies to near 80; then it cools off nicely. Mild/warm temps sure...but nothing extreme or out of the ordinary, and everybody who uninstalled will be just fine. #infernocancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Flooding rain in about 6 days on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 31 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Mild/warm temps sure...but nothing extreme or out of the ordinary, and everybody who uninstalled will be just fine. #infernocancel That's some hyperbole too. It is out of the ordinary if it gets to 80F there next week. You can argue semantics but it won't be ordinary October fare if that happens. Not record highs but I wouldn't try too hard to make it seem normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Pretty sure record highs at bdl next week range in the mid 80s, depending on the day so anything tickling 80 is way AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: That's some hyperbole too. It is out of the ordinary if it gets to 80F there next week. You can argue semantics but it won't be ordinary October fare if that happens. Not record highs but I wouldn't try too hard to make it seem normal. Try to Remember what the calls were for. Nobody said normal...but it surely isn’t a furnace. Lately(last 10-15 years) it isn’t out of the ordinary...78-80 is warm for sure, but you can think what you want, but that’s nothing extraordinary for SNE in early October imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nobody said normal...but it surely isn’t a furnace. Lately(last 10-15 years) it isn’t out of the ordinary...78-80 is warm for sure, but you can think what you want, but that’s nothing extraordinary for SNE in early October imo. Ryan's forecast is a +8 over his 10 day period. Maybe it gets tempered a bit, but still, that's a pretty solid furnace for this part of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Just now, snowman21 said: Ryan's forecast is a +8 over his 10 day period. Maybe it gets tempered a bit, but still, that's a pretty solid furnace for this part of the country. 1 minute ago, snowman21 said: Ryan's forecast is a +8 over his 10 day period. Maybe it gets tempered a bit, but still, that's a pretty solid furnace for this part of the country. Tempered like this week?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Tempered like this week?? BDL is +5.8 through today, and if Ryan's forecast holds would be +6.6 through the middle of the month. Like I said, that's a pretty solid furnace for this part of the country. Maybe if we were living in a place like MSP, DSM, TOP, or RAP it would be relatively unimpressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Again as was said...most of that is overnight low driven...if you think October so far has been a furnace...well you’re entitled to your opinion for sure....but I’m not impressed with the heat of October so far. Today high was BN(just gorgeous though). Tomorrow’s high will be too...a couple days highs early this week we’re too. Tonight will be BN Too. But to each their own. You make a valid point. It’s all good Snowman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Try to Remember what the calls were for. Nobody said normal...but it surely isn’t a furnace. Lately(last 10-15 years) it isn’t out of the ordinary...78-80 is warm for sure, but you can think what you want, but that’s nothing extraordinary for SNE in early October imo. How can you say that without backing it up with some facts? It's well above normal. So you ordinarily expect the first third of October to include temps of that nature? It is what it is. But again, I'm only saying that if it happens as currently modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Thoughts on Oct 11/12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 33 minutes ago, powderfreak said: How can you say that without backing it up with some facts? It's well above normal. So you ordinarily expect the first third of October to include temps of that nature? It is what it is. But again, I'm only saying that if it happens as currently modeled. This first week of October has not been all that hot imo. Overnight lows skewing the AN look imo. We’ve had a lot of warm October’s of late Freak, (and no I don’t have dates and temps..but October’s have been very warm lately), and this October is not all that impressively warm so far imo. AN sure, but I’m not feeling it’s extraordinary so far. As I said to Snowman, it’s all good, you can think it’s extraordinary if you want. But I live here, and most folks that live here would not say the first 6 days of October have been hot. Maybe next week goes 83-86 for 3 or 4 days...but I’ll take the under on that at this point, just as I did for this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 ACATT having problems accepting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Well above normal is well above normal. You can sugarcoat it all you want but “normal” takes everything into account and above is above. Just because it happens when your sleeping doesn’t mean it didn’t happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 6, 2018 Author Share Posted October 6, 2018 6 hours ago, CoastalWx said: ACATT having problems accepting. It’s amazing how much that group fights warmth. We’ve furnaced thru almost +6 thru the first 5 days of the month relative to time of year. And next week will probably get us up up +8 for the month. But because a few sheltered valleys in Maine had a frost at 33, and a sleet pellet fell on the Canadian border it hasn’t been endless summer. This crew is something else . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 So much for the low to mid 40's my NWS forecast was printing out yesterday. 52.8 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Got down to mid 40s, but either wind or clouds cane in because temp slowly crept up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 27 minutes ago, metagraphica said: So much for the low to mid 40's my NWS forecast was printing out yesterday. 52.8 right now. They had me in the mid 40s with clear skies. I think they missed the cloudcover that came in overnight...55 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 6, 2018 Author Share Posted October 6, 2018 Today’s wx sure went downhill the last 24 hours. From sunny and 70 to cloudy and 60. They’ve blown these short term forecasts all summer and fall so far . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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