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NCSNOW

Hurricane Florence

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SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...34.1N 77.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM E OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SW OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES

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SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...34.2N 77.4W

ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM E OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA

ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SW OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

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As the eye contracts and collapses, Florence rolls along the coast and does appear to have a slight southward motion in the westward track. Eye wall onshore. Looks like landfall near Masonboro Island, between Wrightsville Beach and Carolina Beach is immanent.

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It wilp be interesting to see what the rain shield does now that Florence has made landfall. It appears at the moment that we'll be right on the northern edge of heavier bands and the concentrated rain.

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1 minute ago, GunBlade said:

Latest graphic on current wind field, tropical wind percentage and arrival time.  Looks to get quite windy here tonight.  Already getting gusts to low 30’s here. 

 

4AB70B04-DEC3-495E-81C7-44A36B01E2ED.png

Thats pretty accurate we gusted 50-60 all night nothing to bad.....takes more than that to drop trees around here lol.....there are a few Bradford Pears mangled etc but over all we have do ok its probably on par with Matthew and considerably less than Irene wind wise....

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Yea our neighborhood just cut down a dozen or so Bradford pears proactively this past year after the snow we got last winter took out a few.  They’re not built for the weather we get here. Otherwise lots of pine and hardwood trees that will be fine if the soil doesn’t give out.  

Precip totals also look to be down a couple inches around here and little less overall compared to prior runs.  Showed getting close to 15 here on some prior runs.  More like 7-9 now on most models which seems reasonable. 

F6A40C6E-720A-4D99-BB21-9D13B0B868FD.png

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Likewise in Charleston. I could see us getting 6 inches or hardly anything at all. Just depends on how much to the south this thing is able to make it. Right now it's sunny and breezy. The only things coming down are loose leaves, sticks, and pine straw but the clouds are really moving quick.

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1 hour ago, NCSNOW said:

Official highest gust at Wilmington is 105mph. Off to the southwest she goes, probably get back over water in Brunswick county.  Bad news for Holden Beach, my family vacation spot for 25 years straight.

We've had a home there for the past 40 years. I so hope that it makes it through this.

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1 hour ago, GunBlade said:

Yea our neighborhood just cut down a dozen or so Bradford pears proactively this past year after the snow we got last winter took out a few.  They’re not built for the weather we get here. Otherwise lots of pine and hardwood trees that will be fine if the soil doesn’t give out.  

Precip totals also look to be down a couple inches around here and little less overall compared to prior runs.  Showed getting close to 15 here on some prior runs.  More like 7-9 now on most models which seems reasonable. 

F6A40C6E-720A-4D99-BB21-9D13B0B868FD.png

The NWS in GSP says 10-15 inches across the CLT metro. Either way that's a lot of rain. They seem to be going pretty conservative with winds though. 

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