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Hurricane Florence


NCSNOW
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If ever we need a wx thread to bust,let's hope this is the one. We've all been taking a deep breath with the steering pattern that's setup shop over the SE coast during peak Hurricane Season. As it stands now Florence is being forecasted to do the unthinkable after getting so far north out in the Atlantic and make an unprecedented b-line right into the SE coast. Every model is showing a Carolina Coastal hit as of right now. The things to keep and eye on are the intensity, landfall point obviously and forward speed as well as motion after landfall. Does it drag stall like Floyd or is it on afterburners like Hugo and Hazel. This has potential to affect alot of inland communities more so than just the normal coastal plain swipe, we often see with northerly moving storms that landfall on our coast. 

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pretty concerning as i wouldn't be shocked to see the ridge even stronger than modeled.  recurvature sure seems less and less likely at this point.  

also, with the expected forward speed over the warm gulf stream as it approaches the coast, would not be surprised to see minimal weakening prior to any possible landfall.

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Euro at 72hr: Cant get pics to post. See thumbnail & Yea Shaggy I agree. Of course back here , way inland a SC coastal hit is how we expierence the most from landfalling Canes or the leftovers. I caution everyone to take notice of the forward speed at landfall. Its been pretty fast in my opinion on the models today. That compounds the problems not only at the coast, but inland as well.

 

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One major concern I have with #Florence is that where ever it ends up making landfall there is potential for the storm to slow down significantly. Steering currents will be weak. Heavy rain may be a big concern where it makes landfall, assuming it does. Just one aspect to watch

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I'd expect all 3 to be hurricanes by next week ... Florence, Helene and Isaac. Something in the Gulf may be brewing as well -- and even if it is not named -- could be a heavy, tropical rain event for Texas. (ECMWF simulated water vapor satellite (https://weathermodels.com )

Dmg01aLV4AERcU_.jpg

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9 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

I'd expect all 3 to be hurricanes by next week ... Florence, Helene and Isaac. Something in the Gulf may be brewing as well -- and even if it is not named -- could be a heavy, tropical rain event for Texas. (ECMWF simulated water vapor satellite (https://weathermodels.com )

Dmg01aLV4AERcU_.jpg

Right on time for my grass sowing project. Course the seed is liable to end up on a riverbank down east somewhere.

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2 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

We better hope that the two possible systems trailing Florence don't develop and follow a similar path. One of my earliest weather memories was in 1955 when hurricane Connie went through and was quickly followed by hurricane Dianne. The flooding was horrendous

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Just now, jburns said:

We better hope that the two possible systems trailing Florence don't develop and follow a similar path. One of my earliest weather memories was in 1955 when hurricane Connie went through and was quickly followed by hurricane Dianne. The flooding was horrendous

You're right! A lot on the table here!! 

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4 minutes ago, jburns said:

We better hope that the two possible systems trailing Florence don't develop and follow a similar path. One of my earliest weather memories was in 1955 when hurricane Connie went through and was quickly followed by hurricane Dianne. The flooding was horrendous

Or more recently, Dennis/Floyd in 99

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