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Hurricane Florence


TalcottWx
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21 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

The 18Z GFS was interesting since it has Flo looping around in the Carolinas long enough for the trough coming down from Canada yanking it NE through us as a 985mb low, around day 8.  Any chance of that happening?

Ride every other piece of guidance in the world. It’s going into NC man 

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2 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

The ensemble sensitivity is pointing towards influence on Florence being "local." Local on the north side though. It's the ridge building over the top that really forces the northern/eastern or southern/western solutions.

We're just missing the climo OV dip...  Otherwise the Atlantic did its part - it's just relaying it into no man's land.  

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If you’re looking for close to OBX Elizabeth City is just inland closer to the Northern Banks, has access to the banks and it’s one of the few areas with hotels. It still might be too close to the getting stuck part tho as that whole stretch tends to be flood prone. 

OBX is already experiencing some over washing in parts at high tide. They tend to flood after a good hard rain in many parts due to horrid drainage.  Their ground is saturated from some heavier than normal rains the last 2 months. This isn’t looking good for them if the track remains.

It’s an impressive area for hurricane or storm coverage. The sound side tends to get the water “sucked” out to where it’s near puddles and then it rushes back in.

Be safe!!! 

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6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I believe we’re at cat 5 now which should be reflected in the next update.  

Have not been on the internet or looked at the storm until just now.  First thing was looking at the satellite and now reading this thread.  Flo didn't look super on the vis, surprised its near Cat 5.

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