Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Central PA Fall 2018


pasnownut
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

Sitting here near Rolla, MO at the Road Ranger truckstop on I-44 about 80 miles safely south of the blizzard. Ran into a bit of rain getting here, and now some wind blown drizzle, but that was it.

Thank God!!! 

With the ice delayed here Saturday and this you’re living the blessed life!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, canderson said:

Harrisburg, State College and Williamsport are now all in the 2nd wettest year on record. State College will become number 1 this week probably. HBG and Williamsport probably don’t make it to 1 but damn it’s been wet.

 

LNS is less than 3" away from the all time record as well. 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 11/26/2018 at 2:54 PM, Superstorm said:

Reading through Horst’s discussion today, the mild/wet and cold/dry continues (with negative departures) through mid month. Then a warmer patterns sets up after mid month.


.

A little worried about the chances of a fast start to winter.  Early December once looked promising but now mid to upper 40's.  Looking at the Accuweather long range forecast, which I believe is just verbatim graphic output of the GFS, winter does not start until the end of January.

 

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, bubbler86 said:

A little worried about the chances of a fast start to winter.  Early December once looked promising but now mid to upper 40's.  Looking at the Accuweather long range forecast, which I believe is just verbatim graphic output of the GFS, winter does not start until the end of January.

 

 

 

 

Yeah and I fear we get into a dry cycle by the time temps drop below average. We lucked out with our big early storm and might be sitting on the sidelines in the LSV for a while.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Next week looks very interesting for the possibility of 2 snow events.

The first one could bring a low end snow event around Tuesday or Wednesday.

There is the chance of a moderate to high end snow event next weekend.

The 0z Euro & EPS are becoming more interested in these events with each run!

looked a bit last night and yes, next week has my interest.  Left cabin yesterday w/ 8-10 still on the ground and had 2" between monday night and yesterday (snowing lightly when we left before lunch).  Hoping we get some more before we may thaw.

Nut

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is Eric's sense for late next week. He doesn't sound very enthused...

Late next week is nebulous...but Arctic air will be building to the north as another Pacific storm crosses the country. Given a bit of a downstream blocking pattern, you could make the case for a possible snow event around December 8th. However, without any blocking....a track up the OH Valley is more likely, meaning rain or a wintry mix changing to rain. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Just letting the dog out for his last time out and what did I see but strange white things falling slowly from the sky.  This is a bit of a surprise since NWS had nothing but rain mentioned for the overnight period.

Good catch.  It is snowing here as well and I never would have noticed if I did not see your post. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, paweather said:

well dang it the high slid off to slow for that LP. It is definitely still a signal for next weekend. 

Watch the rest of the GFS run.  That storm track would absolutely crush most of this subforum.  HP is big and is there, and likely would be undermodeled for CAD signal if it is at 1041mb.  Yes moves unfavorably (not sure i buy that move) to more of an easterly fetch, but at 700 we are fine, and only lower levels are in trouble.  500 evolution is not a great look, but plenty of time for this to change. 

FWIW GEFS looks notably different (better) at 500 so, i'd hang my little hat on it for now...

However the outcome, this looks like one to watch.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z GFS for next weekend’s potential snow storm looks a lot like the great 2009 December storm that hit a week or so before Christmas!

This is the Kuchera ratio snow map from the 6z GFS.

This should be a great week of tracking!

 

0215BEB8-7899-46EE-B244-D0CD20C43D0B.png

as soon as i saw that map....i had a feeling you'd be "sharing".....:)

Stock up on the coffee....gonna be a long week as the consensus has been growing for this storm to be a legit threat....and sizable as well.

Heeerrrreeweeegooooooo 

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...