Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Good Morning. 29/19 at the base of South Mountain. Looks like snow is breaking out in Greencastle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, maytownpawx said: Yes sir. I thought about days like this all freaking summer. Double bonus to have it come to us earlier than normal. Couldn't ask for a better group to have fun doing this with. I swear Blizz of 93 tracks for about 21 hours a day this time of year. Yes, this is a bonus indeed! I enjoy our group & all of the personalities! CTP bumped up the Warning snow amounts to 3-5 inches in the Harrisburg area & surrounding counties. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, this is a bonus indeed! I enjoy our group & all of the personalities! CTP bumped up the Warning snow amounts to 3-5 inches in the Harrisburg area & surrounding counties. Lucky! I'm still at 1-3 down here in the lowlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Yes sir. I thought about days like this all freaking summer. Double bonus to have it come to us earlier than normal. Couldn't ask for a better group to have fun doing this with. I swear Blizz of 93 tracks for about 21 hours a day this time of year. glad he's on our team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 @Cashtown_Coop you got anything coming down yet? Radar has it on your doorstep... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, maytownpawx said: @Cashtown_Coop you got anything coming down yet? Radar has it on your doorstep... Not yet. Still have to saturate a little more. 29/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 28/19 NWS upped the forecast to 5-8 in there WSW text for here. Seems like anytime sleet is mentioned here it ruins the day (snow accums) but well see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Latest HRRR keep almost everyone frozen into dinnertime/6PMish at which point many southeastern areas start to get dry slotted. Most of the 11 hours between now and then is pure snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, bubbler86 said: Latest HRRR keep almost everyone frozen into dinnertime/6PMish at which point many southeastern areas start to get dry slotted. Most of the 11 hours between now and then is pure snow. looks like around that time the temps start to rise as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Horst: (Lanco area) @MUweather No changes this AM...as snow & sleet will spread across LanCo during the mid-morning hours. A few hours of heavy precipitation will fall here btwn ~11am - 4pm...but what type of precip will it be? If it's mostly snow, then we'll be plowing...but I believe it may be more so sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, sauss06 said: looks like around that time the temps start to rise as well. Yea the SLP is sitting in eastern Deleware at the time. Too close for the eastern half of the state especially in November. Dryslot and warm advection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 29 minutes ago, sauss06 said: glad he's on our team Thanks man ! It will be great to just get our first winter storm in the books today at such an early date in the season! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 First flakes are falling in far southern Franklin County. They are a little "graupely" right now. Temp dropped 2 -3 degrees as the column saturated 26.7 right now. Its coming for everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Virga overhead per radar. Interesting reading from the Mid Atlantic forum. The DC area is getting blasted with snow now, and a new term for this winter was alsocreated. The snow no longer sticks to the roads. The new way to describe it is that the roads "caved"...lmao! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Don’t forget to report obs on mPING today! I use RadarScope app to submit any that I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I’m at 33 degrees. I sense a lot of sleet and littje pure snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 47 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Lucky! I'm still at 1-3 down here in the lowlands. Easier for us to overachieve. Lol. That’s how we cash in when they don’t get their 8”. Ya know it now transitions to MBY forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Sleet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m at 33 degrees. I sense a lot of sleet and littje pure snow here. Dew point is 18. We will be fine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Not liking the surface temps this morning, unless we drop a few after the precip starts. I went up one to 29f now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Once I wet bulb I do think it will switch to snow but it’s def sleet to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Sleet lol I started out as sleet too but already a light and dry snow. Just needed to cool down the air a bit. 27 here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Total confidence i start as sleet. Even more confident I flip to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Initial bout of light precip started as a light sleet here and it’s around 30. It’s still working out the dry air and hasn’t really done much yet. I wouldn’t sweat things starting out as sleet or surface temps a little close to freezing. The issue will be aloft and as the precip starts it may start as sleet as the column cools from wet bulbing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Starting to see first flakes mixed in 29/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 And yet it's in the teens and raining at Snowshoe. Crazy stuff, lol, but they are on the wrong side of CAD.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 19 minutes ago, Voyager said: Not liking the surface temps this morning, unless we drop a few after the precip starts. I went up one to 29f now. dont fret about surface Steve. Look at dews and temp. You are currently at 31/16. surface will likely cool to about 26-27 aoa onset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 17 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Total confidence i start as sleet. Even more confident I flip to snow. yep. column will cool...we'll be ok....for a while anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 This looks good.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 The HRRR is still insisting on an additional 1-2" over night into Friday AM. What a way to start off the winter if we get REAL post change over to ZR turning back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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