pasnownut Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 1 hour ago, sauss06 said: ive read several winter forecasts stating almost the same, 150-200% of our normal. #believeitwheniseeit I've not seen any of recent, but at this juncture a consensus of the smart folk saying it is all we can ask right. Being that the signals continue to grow at we approach mid November is great. High end low to low end moderate nino is looking likely and for these parts a snow lovers delight pattern wise. CPC's 11/4 update supports this http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf (pg 25 CFS v2 graph for you cliffnote folks ) Now we just need AO/NAO/EPO and a couple other tellies to line up to help... and if momma nature doesn't run outta water from all she's been using lately......were set. Nutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 16 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I've not seen any of recent, but at this juncture a consensus of the smart folk saying it is all we can ask right. Being that the signals continue to grow at we approach mid November is great. High end low to low end moderate nino is looking likely and for these parts a snow lovers delight pattern wise. CPC's 11/4 update supports this http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf (pg 25 CFS v2 graph for you cliffnote folks ) Now we just need AO/NAO/EPO and a couple other tellies to line up to help... and if momma nature doesn't run outta water from all she's been using lately......were set. Nutter i can't remember the last time it rained 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 56 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i can't remember the last time it rained i cant remember the last time it HASNT. Cant wish it away now, cause rain soon will turn to white gold........ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 1.31" from this latest event which puts my yearly total (so far) at 65.46". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 Overnight run from our friends up north. Obviously this is mere fantasy, but at least we've reached the time of year where fantasy happens. Besides...when is the LSV ever in the bullseye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 #consensus its gonna snow midweek cabin trip snowchasin. Anyone wanna go. hehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 my heart skipped at beat when i saw that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 1 hour ago, sauss06 said: my heart skipped at beat when i saw that dont look now but the 12z gfs shows a high elevation slushfest for NC pa this weekend. Hybrid Miller B similarities w/ LP transfer. Wouldnt be suprised to see some whitening of the ground during intense rates being advertised. anticipation still looms for the next few panels for next Tues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 Money shot incoming on the GFS. CLASSIC early season track for next Tuesday....wowzers. verbatim, SE Pa on sideline, but the rest of the forum...enjoy. I'll be watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Money shot incoming on the GFS. CLASSIC early season track for next Tuesday....wowzers. verbatim, SE Pa on sideline, but the rest of the forum...enjoy. I'll be watching. Can we keep the cold air in place? That's the billion snowshovel question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Money shot incoming on the GFS. CLASSIC early season track for next Tuesday....wowzers. verbatim, SE Pa on sideline, but the rest of the forum...enjoy. I'll be watching. you're talking dirty today 1 minute ago, canderson said: Can we keep the cold air in place? That's the billion snowshovel question. i was thinking the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 23 minutes ago, sauss06 said: you're talking dirty today i was thinking the same. just call me potty mouth..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 1 hour ago, canderson said: Can we keep the cold air in place? That's the billion snowshovel question. dynamic cooling during max qpf is how "we" snow with this one.....if we snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 FWIW, the NAM shows it way west and more of a frontal boundary with no transfer, so pick your poison. I shared snow maps just for fun as its been a while. Dont want any to think its a forecast. Carry on..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 13 hours ago, maytownpawx said: Overnight run from our friends up north. Obviously this is mere fantasy, but at least we've reached the time of year where fantasy happens. Besides...when is the LSV ever in the bullseye? WTF??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 12 hours ago, Voyager said: WTF??? As I said...it was pure fantasy. For most if not all of us it's gone already. I probably shouldn't have posted it, but like Nut said it's just nice to be at the point where purty maps are starting to show up on modeling again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 Rainy Friday ahead...some could be heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 8, 2018 Author Share Posted November 8, 2018 Holding the line says GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 8, 2018 Author Share Posted November 8, 2018 FWIW 12k says yes to above for Saturday. Boiled down, first appreciable flakes likely to fly for folks at elevation. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 I just got a picture from my friend who is at his hunting camp outside of lock haven. The ground is covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 9, 2018 Author Share Posted November 9, 2018 32 minutes ago, sauss06 said: I just got a picture from my friend who is at his hunting camp outside of lock haven. The ground is covered http://www.swedenhillsnocam.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 I'm in State College currently. Temp is 36. So close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: I'm in State College currently. Temp is 36. So close. i heard there was pingers earlier in State College. Are you up for tomorrows game? Could be some flurries there at game time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 Earlier today up north. Sent to me from a friend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 We had snow and sleet like 80 mins here but no accum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 Looking like another soaking early next week...lol just what doctor ordered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 9, 2018 Author Share Posted November 9, 2018 2 hours ago, pawatch said: Earlier today up north. Sent to me from a friend. hey.....he's sittin in my tree cams showing Sweden hill and germania w/ what looks like 1-2". Nice to see it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 As of 4:16 pm, Scranton had received 0.70" rain. That brings total precipitation for 2018 to 53.78". As a result, 2018 has moved ahead of 1945 to become Scranton's 2nd wettest year on record. A total of 53.71" precipitation was recorded during 1945. Scranton's wettest year on record is 2011 when 59.99" precipitation fell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 18 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: As of 4:16 pm, Scranton had received 0.70" rain. That brings total precipitation for 2018 to 53.78". As a result, 2018 has moved ahead of 1945 to become Scranton's 2nd wettest year on record. A total of 53.71" precipitation was recorded during 1945. Scranton's wettest year on record is 2011 when 59.99" precipitation fell. Don Do you have any information what the snowfall was for the year? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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