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Tropical Depression Gordon


AbsolutZero
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Think there could be some precip surprises with this storm.  Even though it's having issues at the surface there's plenty of energy at the midlevels to provide forcing to wring out the moisture.  Wouldn't be surprised to see some locally 15 to 20 inch totals if it slows as forecasted.

 

Matters little now but imagining the late week/weekend ECMWF solutions of a slowdown and crawl W-WSW would have been horrible for LA/E TX with this setup. Fortunately this should make its way north into the Mississippi Valley, though the flooding threat could be severe there as well.

 

 

 

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

 

Matters little now but imagining the weekend ECMWF solutions of a slowdown and crawl W-WSW would have been horrible for LA/E TX with this setup. Fortunately this should make its way north into the Mississippi Valley, though the flooding threat could be severe there as well.

 

 

 

Agreed there, and not trying to Harvey hype lol.  Think  east central Louisiana/Mississippi up into SE Arkansas could possibly see some 2-3 inch an hour rates isolated in spots as it begins to round the SE periphery of the ridge.  It's got a lot of energy built up that is going to have to go somewhere when it begins to lose the tropical fuel.  

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Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
ALC003-FLC033-113-050715-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FF.W.0019.180905T0124Z-180905T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
824 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southern Baldwin County in southwestern Alabama...
Central Santa Rosa County in northwestern Florida...
Southern Escambia County in northwestern Florida...

* Until 215 AM CDT.

* At 822 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Two to four inches of rain have
fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

Additional rainfall amounts of three to six inches are possible in
the warned area over the next six hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.



.

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Hey, it was something interesting to track. 50-60 mph winds over a good area. Hopefully residential and commercial damage will be at a minimum. Still, flooding is always the worst aspect of landfalling tropical storms with an enhanced moisture feed off the GOM. The event is far from over as Gordon should continue to pull heavy rain into the MS Valley the next few days.

 

 

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