NJwx85 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 11 hours ago, rclab said: A 90 in NYC at the end of November, Imagine similar temperatures all the way to Maine. The Moderators for the New England forum and ours would have to hire mercenaries to keep us under control. I wish it only snowed on Christmas and then went back to 80's and sunny for the rest of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: I wish it only snowed on Christmas and then went back to 80's and sunny for the rest of the year. Fly to Florida on 12/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 On 9/14/2018 at 8:51 AM, forkyfork said: the sun has died cold and snowy winter incoming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 sick of this nonstop summer weather.. looking forward to fall weather staying for good.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 48 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Fly to Florida on 12/26 No reason to suspect anything less than a torch between now and at least the end of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 26 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: No reason to suspect anything less than a torch between now and at least the end of October. I'd go longer-bath tub water will promote a ridge-I think we're warm into December and then we get a backloaded winter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 According to the RWTT it is going to be worse than that. It looks hotter than ever during the next 90 days. Virtually all BN 'square mileage' in the NH vanishes, and it does not start with that much. Find a way to artificially cool the Halloween pumpkins and keep the Bermuda shorts handy for Election Day. Yet JB says a cold winter is setting itself up now. Hope some long range model can show some support for that prediction. The LR burns me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, CIK62 said: According to the RWTT it is going to be worse than that. It looks hotter than ever during the next 90 days. Virtually all BN 'square mileage' in the NH vanishes, and it does not start with that much. Find a way to artificially cool the Halloween pumpkins and keep the Bermuda shorts handy for Election Day. Yet JB says a cold winter is setting itself up now. Hope some long range model can show some support for that prediction. The LR burns me up. every year it's the same thing. Sure we could get cold and snow in Nov/Dec, but the ridge has often set up over that warm water since we've been in this +AMO making summer/fall last longer....We've had two cold months this year-Mar/April, other than (and the 1st week of Jan) it's been a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 7 hours ago, Brian5671 said: every year it's the same thing. Sure we could get cold and snow in Nov/Dec, but the ridge has often set up over that warm water since we've been in this +AMO making summer/fall last longer....We've had two cold months this year-Mar/April, other than (and the 1st week of Jan) it's been a torch I tend to agree this fall is well above normal. I do believe we see above normal snow this winter but most of it falling in a few big events. Overall it’s mostly a wall to wall torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 You guys make me laugh. Especially with that LR forecast that gets posted every day. Last year we were told in November that every month until May was a torch. I particularly liked that post. I remember it well every time I read a LR forecast post. I remembered it well as I was trying to thaw pipes on New Years Day. And I remembered in during the record warm February...and the subsequent March snows. Put the fall jackets and snow shovels away boys. It ain’t happenin... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 5 hours ago, jfklganyc said: You guys make me laugh. Especially with that LR forecast that gets posted every day. Last year we were told in November that every month until May was a torch. I particularly liked that post. I remember it well every time I read a LR forecast post. I remembered it well as I was trying to thaw pipes on New Years Day. And I remembered in during the record warm February...and the subsequent March snows. Put the fall jackets and snow shovels away boys. It ain’t happenin... We have had how many below normal months in the last 5 years? I’ll give you a hint it’s less then 10 of 60. Even in an above normal tempeture regime there are periods of below normal days. If this board “makes you laugh” then why bother reading/posting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 59 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We have had how many below normal months in the last 5 years? I’ll give you a hint it’s less then 10 of 60. Even in an above normal tempeture regime there are periods of below normal days. If this board “makes you laugh” then why bother reading/posting? To be fair, we did have a period of relatively cooler conditions from late 2013 to early 2015. That would probably help account for more than 10 months overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 30 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: To be fair, we did have a period of relatively cooler conditions from late 2013 to early 2015. That would probably help account for more than 10 months overall. You had feb 15 which was well below normal other then that it’s been mainly above. I’m sure unc has the stats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 17 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: You had feb 15 which was well below normal other then that it’s been mainly above. I’m sure unc has the stats Beginning May 2015 we kicked off that incredible stretch that lasted into December 2015. Since then, Fall seems to have been extended and Winter has generally become backloaded (last year being a textbook example). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Correct. Sept-thru Dec seems most effected. The back-loaded winter has been effected by two record Februarys in a row. To answer your question Long Beach, there is a lot of good stuff on here. The LR speculation updated every few days isnt very accurate. More importantly, if we are looking at AN/BN months, it fails to account for extremes like last September or January (which seems to be happening with greater frequency) that start out with a record in one direction, end with a record in a different direction and on paper come out...normal. Was last winter a torch? Surely 6 weeks of above normal temps would indicate that, right? Except, it wasn't. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 16 hours ago, Brian5671 said: I'd go longer-bath tub water will promote a ridge-I think we're warm into December and then we get a backloaded winter.... I think we'll have a cooler than normal October to break the pattern temporarily and then go back above normal for November and December before finally settling in to our winter pattern sometime after mid January (probably around the 20th as has been happening lately.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 6 hours ago, JerseyWx said: Beginning May 2015 we kicked off that incredible stretch that lasted into December 2015. Since then, Fall seems to have been extended and Winter has generally become backloaded (last year being a textbook example). It was nice to see an April snowstorm again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 On 9/16/2018 at 4:46 PM, CIK62 said: Anyone noticing that Great Britain, Ireland, and Scotland area are about to have about 4 ocean storms muscle in on them in the next week? Wonder if that is typical for them at this time of the year? They also had a very hot summer after a very stormy late winter and early spring just like we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: It was nice to see an April snowstorm again! You know I love the heat, but I can't argue with that. Always interesting, especially when it's more than a dusting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 10 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: You know I love the heat, but I can't argue with that. Always interesting, especially when it's more than a dusting. That was a very weird and interesting winter and spring we had, from 80 degrees in February to noreaster after noreaster in March and a snowstorm in early April. That snowstorm in early April is something that seems to be more common before the development of an El Nino for the following season. And after that cold and stormy April we went right into a summery pattern in May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 The swells from Florence were pretty righteous in SNE late last week. Got a few decent shots of surfers enjoying the action 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: The swells from Florence were pretty righteous in SNE late last week. Got a few decent shots of surfers enjoying the action Cowabunga, Dude! Is that SNE or is that Huntington Beach lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 The mushrooms are beginning to gain sentience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 On 9/17/2018 at 11:13 AM, NJwx85 said: I wish it only snowed on Christmas and then went back to 80's and sunny for the rest of the year. Yes!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 19 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: The mushrooms are beginning to gain sentience. At this rate they'll be replacing us and building their own cities (or just taking over our own.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Fantasy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: At this rate they'll be replacing us and building their own cities (or just taking over our own.) I gave you a sad because I do not want to live under the authority of the mushrooms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 2 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said: I gave you a sad because I do not want to live under the authority of the mushrooms. Yes, they will want to get back at us for putting them on our pizzas, getting high off of them and who knows what else.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 We've been getting a bite of summer in the winter lately...what more can you ask for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Cowabunga, Dude! Is that SNE or is that Huntington Beach lol? Really? I guess the Jeff Spicoli thing will never die. Personally I enjoyed the sensation of gliding over the water at a speed not normally associated with New York. How’s that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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