weathafella Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 8 hours ago, rimetree said: Ya, I'll take any forecast more than a few days out with a grain of salt, let alone plan on any entire month being either AN or BN. Tenet 4 of the weenie playbook.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tenet 4 of the weenie playbook.... What're your thoughts on Fall/early Winter, fella? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Looks like with a trough out west overall, expect temps generally AN through mid month. Doesn't seem super torchy, but no big long lasting cold plunges. Still pretty chilly in Canada, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 44 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tenet 4 of the weenie playbook.... When the hammer drops like last Dec it wont bounce back up until the Ides 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: When the hammer drops like last Dec it wont bounce back up until the Ides Best wishes on your recovery.OTOH it appears that you're back to your normal self already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: When the hammer drops like last Dec it wont bounce back up until the Ides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 9 hours ago, rimetree said: Ya, I'll take any forecast more than a few days out with a grain of salt, let alone plan on any entire month being either AN or BN. I do not think it has anything to do with forecasts and/or the models. The overall weather pattern has produced well above normal warmth for several months. And as things stand right now the pattern looks to continue into October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Definitely, I have just seen recent cases with reports (tweets) of impending heat within a weeks time only to see that not come to fruition. I'm wondering if its a function of the late summer/early fall transition that makes a 7-day highly suspect because the atmosphere is in transition? In mid-summer or winter, I expect your going to get days 5 through 7 right more often? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 52 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: When the hammer drops like last Dec it wont bounce back up until the Ides It will only to slap some back into reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 26 minutes ago, rimetree said: Definitely, I have just seen recent cases with reports (tweets) of impending heat within a weeks time only to see that not come to fruition. I'm wondering if its a function of the late summer/early fall transition that makes a 7-day highly suspect because the atmosphere is in transition? In mid-summer or winter, I expect your going to get days 5 through 7 right more often? But we are still getting the heat... Last night set a record high low at LGA. This time of 80s are still well above normal, but people always forget to look at the low temperatures too. Average daily temperatures have been running above normal pretty much all month with a few breaks. A string of average high temperatures does not mean the pattern is average if your low temperatures are well above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 One thing I am worried about is how averages always seem to win out. With so many locations having near record precipitation, when do we fall back into a dry period? There could be a good chance that we flip to cold and dry. We will see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 I'll take 70-75 all month long in October, and lows around 50....perfect weather. As was mentioned back a few posts...nothing super torchy like some were touting yesterday and the few days prior. Tomorrow may not make it out of the 50's for a lot of spots...unless the sun comes out early enough in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Lol at 70-75 and 50. Good luck ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol at 70-75 and 50. Good luck ! There isn't going to be a torch like you were touting yesterday and the days prior....good luck with that lol. Going to be about 70 today and substantially less than that tomorrow. Saturday 70-75 and Sunday too. Any next week looking to be in the low 70's.... so beautiful weather with no beastly torches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 There’s going to be several days next week in the low- mid 80’s with dews. Please look at modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Well I guess time will tell. If that happens then the modeling will have verified. I'm skeptical of Mid 80's next week for several days...but we'll see?? Modeling isn't always gospel Kev.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 1 hour ago, JustinRP37 said: One thing I am worried about is how averages always seem to win out. With so many locations having near record precipitation, when do we fall back into a dry period? There could be a good chance that we flip to cold and dry. We will see... Or even better, warm and dry. Everyone's favorite winter pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Or even better, warm and dry. Everyone's favorite winter pattern. I would love me some fair weather 40s in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Judas Priest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 High pressure in control across the north Atlantic. I wonder if those few EPS members are correct with bringing Leslie close by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: I would love me some fair weather 40s in January. Ha yeah maybe I'm just getting old, but partly sunny and 40-45F sounds a lot better than -30C at 850 with wind while DCA to PHL racks up overrunning snow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Judas Priest Now that he said it, I’m optimistic for cold weather. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: When the hammer drops like last Dec it wont bounce back up until the Ides Except of course for the obligatory grinch storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Except of course for the obligatory grinch storm. I'm predicting another February melt out. That's when Eyewall is scheduled to come back up to VT for a ski trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 32 minutes ago, dendrite said: I would love me some fair weather 40s in January. Is that what the Cochins are telling you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 36 minutes ago, dendrite said: I would love me some fair weather 40s in January. You forgot the negative sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 25 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: Now that he said it, I’m optimistic for cold weather. Lol Yup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 38 minutes ago, dryslot said: Is that what the Cochins are telling you? There are no feather legged freaks in my flock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I would love me some fair weather 40s in January. Only on a day when I can go icefishing. Except of course for the obligatory grinch storm. Last year was the un-Grinchiest of 20 here, with cold wx and 8" powder on Christmas Day, falling atop a 10" pack. In 20 years, only 5 have avoided the Grinch. 12 have had rainy, snow-eating wx and the other 3 had the same sensible wx but no snow to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: There are no feather legged freaks in my flock. My Brahmas are taking serious offense to this comment...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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