psv88 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: How many Septembers in a row well above normal now? 4? 5? I’m negating cool start last year as Mother Nature negated it and then some. Scary times ahead for fall lovers An above normal is perfect weather. Usually low 80s late into September. That’s amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 We have a shot at the first September 100 degree heat index readings of the 2010's this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 50 minutes ago, psv88 said: An above normal is perfect weather. Usually low 80s late into September. That’s amazing Sure but I have a feeling we'll be seeing 70+ dews well into September and that's awful. Dry, warm weather is great but this humid stuff has been atrocious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 1 hour ago, psv88 said: An above normal is perfect weather. Usually low 80s late into September. That’s amazing Last year we had 90s in late September, no thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 15 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah we're gonna have a 4 day heat wave (MON through THUR) and then much cooler and wet for Friday and next weekend. The question is does the heat come back for the following week? Not sold on wet if it’s s backdoirvfront... Models showed wet for this weekend too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Not sold on wet if it’s s backdoirvfront... Models showed wet for this weekend too... I agree---earlier this week the forecast was for cool and rain----I'm now sitting outside getting tan and sweating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 Things getting a bit interesting out in the Atlantic over the next 6-10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 Models showing cooler air coming in after this quick moving heat. also watch out in the eastern seaboard that cyclone has teeth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 Had been full sun and blue sky on the beach all morning up until about 30 mins ago. Now some broken clouds filtering the sun a bit. Still a nice day. From satellite the rest of the region looked mostly cloudy and the beach is unusually quite for day like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 SHould see the sun again soon next hour or so for most / between 3-4PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 3 hours ago, bluewave said: We have a shot at the first September 100 degree heat index readings of the 2010's this week. 2015 didn't get there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 2, 2018 Author Share Posted September 2, 2018 Current temp 82/DP 72/RH 69% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 33 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: 2015 didn't get there? The dew points were too low for a 100 degree or higher heat index. NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 200 PM EDT TUE SEP 08 2015 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CENTRAL PARK SUNNY 96 61 31 VRB3 30.00F HX 96 LAGUARDIA APRT MOSUNNY 93 61 34 SW5 29.97F HX 93 KENNEDY INTL MOSUNNY 89 70 53 S14 30.01S HX 94 NEWARK/LIBERTY MOSUNNY 97 61 30 SW8 29.97F HX 97 TETERBORO APRT MOSUNNY 95 60 31 SW15 29.95F HX 95 BNX BOT. GARD. N/A 93 64 38 CALM 30.00S HX 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 How about that 12z Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, jets said: How about that 12z Euro run Do tell for those of us at the pool with our 39 week pregnant wives... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 24 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Do tell for those of us at the pool with our 39 week pregnant wives... It brings Florence to the east coast in about 10 days 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 Had about 2 hours of filtered sun and the rest of the day was full sun at the beach. Beautiful. We may sit here till sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: It brings Florence to the east coast in about 10 days The EURO caught the disease from the CMC which is very similar. The GFS is faster and farther east. But unless the CMC has been rejiggered, doesn't it have a bad track record with hurricanes? At any rate, we should expect some disturbance to be located between Bermuda and Cape Hatteras within 10 days with three globals showing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 14 minutes ago, CIK62 said: The EURO caught the disease from the CMC which is very similar. The GFS is faster and farther east. But unless the CMC has been rejiggered, doesn't it have a bad track record with hurricanes? At any rate we should expect some disturbance to be located between Bermuda and Cape Hatteras within 10 days with three globals showing something. IMO, the potential Florence threat bears watching. There's a possibility that ridging could develop to its north, which could lead to its tracking toward or to the U.S. East Coast. Of course, much can change over the course of the next 9-10 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 12 minutes ago, CIK62 said: The EURO caught the disease from the CMC which is very similar. The GFS is faster and farther east. But unless the CMC has been rejiggered, doesn't it have a bad track record with hurricanes? At any rate we should expect some disturbance to be located between Bermuda and Cape Hatteras within 10 days with three globals showing something. The gfs just came alot further west and south with a big ridge in the Atlantic. Bears watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 5 hours ago, bluewave said: The dew points were too low for a 100 degree or higher heat index. NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 200 PM EDT TUE SEP 08 2015 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CENTRAL PARK SUNNY 96 61 31 VRB3 30.00F HX 96 LAGUARDIA APRT MOSUNNY 93 61 34 SW5 29.97F HX 93 KENNEDY INTL MOSUNNY 89 70 53 S14 30.01S HX 94 NEWARK/LIBERTY MOSUNNY 97 61 30 SW8 29.97F HX 97 TETERBORO APRT MOSUNNY 95 60 31 SW15 29.95F HX 95 BNX BOT. GARD. N/A 93 64 38 CALM 30.00S HX 95 Ah, thanks for the data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 But the EURO-ENSMEAN, HMON, HWRF all have Florence dying in childhood, ie. at about 5 days old. LOL NAVGEM does have the storm living and healthy a week out, however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 A little tropical excitement would somewhat make up for the general awfulness of the weather this summer and hopefully change the pattern in time for fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 Can really feel the mugginess back tonight...back on with the ac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Classic pattern for an East Coast landfall. Rare to see such good agreement between the OP and EPS mean 10 days out. The WAR could even be stronger than the models are showing as has been the case much of this year at 10 days out. Models initially showed it heading OTS due to a strong central Atlantic trough but if that's not a factor then I don't see how this wouldn't be an east coast threat. The only thing that would stop this is an unfavorable environment (shear, dry air, etc). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 September decade averages for NYC...ave. temp...ave rainfall...ave max...ave min...minimums are on the rise...the 2010's have the high maximums also... Decade...ave temp...rainfall...ave max...ave min... 1870's......65.3......3.41"............................ 1880's......66.2......4.18"......86.5......46.1 1890's......67.7......3.38"......89.6......47.0 1900's......68.1......3.84"......86.8......48.4 1910's......66.8......3.09"......89.5......45.6 1920's......67.8......3.54"......91.1......47.2 1930's......68.7......5.15"......90.0......47.9 1940's......68.8......3.70"......91.2......45.5 1950's......68.3......2.36"......89.9......45.6 1960's......67.7......3.85"......90.2......47.2 1970's......68.3......4.73"......90.1......47.1 1980's......68.6......3.58"......90.3......47.5 1990's......68.0......4.18"......88.7......47.6 2000's......68.6......4.91"......86.5......49.7 2010's......70.5......3.71"......92.5......52.6 1870- 2009........67.8......3.85"......89.2......47.1 1980- 2009........68.4......4.22"......88.5......48.3 Warmest..........Coolest..........Wettest............Driest... 74.5 in 2015...60.8 in 1871...16.85" in 1882...0.21" in 1884 73.6 in 1961...61.8 in 1887...11.96" in 1934...0.29" in 1914 73.3 in 1881...62.6 in 1883...11.51" in 2004...0.41" in 1885 73.3 in 2005...62.8 in 1888...10.30" in 1944...0.48" in 2005 72.3 in 1931...63.1 in 1963...10.09" in 1933...0.51" in 1941 72.3 in 1959...63.3 in 1893.....9.39" in 2011...0.60" in 1948 72.2 in 1891...63.3 in 1879.....9.32" in 1975...0.62" in 1895 72.1 in 1921...63.6 in 1917.....9.02" in 1938...0.70" in 1951 72.0 in 1930...63.7 in 1876.....8.82" in 1966...0.97" in 1881 71.8 in 1884...63.9 in 1918.....8.81" in 1999...1.10" in 1953 71.8 in 2016 Hottest temp......Coolest temp... 102 9/02/1953....39 9/30/1912 101 9/07/1881....40 9/30/1888 ..99 9/03/1929....40 9/25/1887 ..99 9/11/1931....40 9/24/1963 ..99 9/11/1983....40 9/21/1871 Warmest monthly minimum... 57 in 1910 56 in 1921 56 in 2015 54 in 2002 54 in 1982 54 in 1960 54 in 1891 54 in 2010 54 in 2016 54 in 2017 Coldest monthly max... 79 in 1883 80 in 1888 80 in 2003 81 in 1908 81 in 1918 81 in 1975 Warmest daily minimum... 79 9/07/1881 79 9/02/1898 78 9/03/1898 78 9/04/1898 78 9/11/1983 78 9/02/2010 Coolest daily max... 52 9/30/1888 52 9/24/1887 53 9/19/1875 53 9/24/1950 53 9/25/1879 53 9/28/1984 53 9/29/1888 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 77degs., or about 6degs. AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 Amazing day 36 with a 75 degree or higher maximum dew point at JFK. Kennedy Intl CLOUDY 76 75 97 W8 30.26S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 13 hours ago, tdp146 said: Had about 2 hours of filtered sun and the rest of the day was full sun at the beach. Beautiful. We may sit here till sunset. ...same thing out east..day was sun filled, the water was warm, clean & green, nice breeze out of the S..all in all a top 10 beach day..whats noticeable now is the lowering sun angle..even at high noon the reflection of the sun on the water is quite noticeable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 going to be a hot muggy week in september smh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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