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August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208
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7 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

While this summer has felt warmer than normal, I really haven’t felt that the heat was exceptional.       It hasn’t felt like one of the warmest summers on record

That's because June and July weren't that far from normal...Doing a quick preliminary check of my station records, this June-Aug will finish at around 7th warmest during past 40 years of record.

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Amazing record WAR/SST couplet continues. This is what happens when we get a 588 dm ridge with 80 degree temperatures in February. The WAR just keeps reloading.

Probably not something you want to hear if you're hoping for a cold, snowy winter.  

Today feels okay and the lower late summer sun angle does make a difference (equivalent to April 12).

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8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Probably not something you want to hear if you're hoping for a cold, snowy winter.  

Today feels okay and the lower late summer sun angle does make a difference (equivalent to April 12).

we got lucky last year with the March/April SSW event.   Otherwise winter would have essentially ended after the early January Blizzard.

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4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Per NWS, dewpoint here drops to 67 tonight, then back to 70 saturday afternoon and then 70+ into next week. 67 is better than 77, but its not really a "break". 

well temps will be the 70's tomorrow and Sat with mostly cloudy skies so it won't be as bad

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14 hours ago, mjr said:

What I have noticed on many occasions is that the NYC temperature seems to hit a wall at about 1pm or so capping any further rise. This occurs during various synoptic scenarios and has nothing to do with the onset of a sea breeze. Here, for example, at noon, NYC is right in the thick of things. By 4 pm, however, NYC is only 92 (daily high) while almost every other station, except ISP and JFK with their sea breeze, are 3 or 4 degrees higher. Just look at the hourly readings and you will find that this happens on a majority of days.

I think the sun gets lower behind the trees and in a general sense skyscrapers cast large shadows blocking some sun from reaching the ground. Esp when comparing to wide open expanse of an airport getting every available min of direct sun.

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2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Probably not something you want to hear if you're hoping for a cold, snowy winter.  

Today feels okay and the lower late summer sun angle does make a difference (equivalent to April 12).

Following the brief -NAO/-AO start warming interval, the NAO swung back to record positive levels. Remarkable shift from record negative Jun 2009-Mar 2013.

IMG_0232.GIF.af760566764bfce51aea8431969b5d46.GIF

 

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RWTT is unchanged for the next 90 days from the current arrangement of anomalies.

SON is going to be +2 to +3 across the nation, except maybe the southeast, if something does not change.

90 will be possible till the astronomical end of summer, with bad luck.   The first 90-degree day in Oct. in 77 years is more likely now than a cold winter.

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