JustinRP37 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Top 10 morning here! Nice breeze, low humidity, and perfect temperatures. I see why people love San Diego so much as they get this type of morning throughout the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 10 hours ago, NJwx85 said: Well wish me luck. Officially under a hurricane warning now as of 5pm. Expecting a high end cat 1 impact here, maybe higher. Yeah we’ll be fine eventually, but it’s going to be a rough 72-96 hours. Most stores sold out of water yesterday, but luckily we were able to locate some more in Waikiki today. Not sure how well Aulani is built to handle such an impact but I guess we’re going to find out. Be safe x85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Another day with measurable rain here with 0.02" this am...ready for the dry stretch coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 In addition to top 10 August warmth, several of our stations are in the top 10 warmest of all summers on record through 8/22. 6/1-8/22 rankings LGA....#5....77.6 BDR...#5....74.1 ISP....#5....73.4 8/1-8/22 rankings LGA....#5....80.9 BDR...#2....78.3 ISP....#3....77.3 HPN...#4...76.2 EWR...#9..79.2 JFK.....#9...77.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Been a wet year with 6 of the 8 months having better than 5.25" of precip, 42.70" station total to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 With my .07" of rain today it boosted my monthly total to 11.38" which is the second wettest August in my 45 years of record keeping and overall the sixth wettest month. Wettest months: 1 - 17.28" August 2011 (aided by Hurricane Irene) 2 - 15.79" October 2005 3 - 14.21" September 1999 (aided by Hurricane Floyd) 4- 11.97" May 1989 5 -11,88" April 2007 6 - 11.38: August 2018 (as if August 23) Total precipitation for 2018 so far 46.90" Total precipitation since July 15, 2018 - 17.55" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 7 hours ago, uofmiami said: Looks like hurricane warnings for Maui and Hawaii are overdone. Maybe volcano summits see hurricane force wind gusts but most likely TS winds for those islands. Looking at euro and ensembles appears same may be true for Oahu. Regardless, it looks like the worse case scenario is less likely, so you should get some decent video of gusty showers. Hope the rest of your stay is back on track once Lane moves on. Regardless, I’m taking this seriously. I still think we get gusts to hurricane strength where I am and sustained winds over 60mph tomorrow. It’s not going to be a major when it gets here, but then again I never expected it would be. Still 135 mph max at 8am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 Nice day out there. Current temp 79/DP 52/RH 34% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 Remainder of August averaging 80degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +2.1[77.7] and should end near +2.9[78.1]. This just makes the Top Ten. Summer to date, 84 days, is +1.05. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 30 minutes ago, CIK62 said: Remainder of August averaging 80degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +2.1[77.7] and should end near +2.9[78.1]. This just makes the Top Ten. Should get mighty interesting with a big ridge in the east and the tropics finally waking up, both the gfs and Euro have started to show more tropical systems in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 But the CFS which can be full of exaggerated systems near the EC, looks like a ***** cat during the next 30 days. High pressure predominates in eastern half of US. Best chance mid-month, weak system. Precip. should be near Normal for the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, bluewave said: Following the big heat next week, Euro and GFS have a cooler back door pattern with easterly flow for the Labor Day weekend. It has been a challenge all summer and spring to getting decent beach weather on the weekends. The top beach days this summer have often been during the week. This doesn't help people that have to work during the week. ThIs weekend will be a perfect beach weekend. Taking the family to Cedar Beach tomorrow. 57 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 21 minutes ago, psv88 said: ThIs weekend will be a perfect beach weekend. Taking the family to Cedar Beach tomorrow. 57 this morning. Enjoy it. That is a great beach to miss the weekend crowds. Today was our one big radiational cooling morning for the whole month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 We're thinking 9/5 for our next family beach day outing. Most schools go back that day, some the day before so it should be pretty much empty. I need to get out to the east end of LI for some work stuff so we'll probably go to Montauk. Do they still have the lifeguards on duty at that point on weekdays? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 I was in Monticello last night and it was cold in the mid 50’s felt great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 Models are trending towards cutting off the heat wave early, looks like the 90s will be confined to Mon-Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 1 hour ago, Gravity Wave said: Models are trending towards cutting off the heat wave early, looks like the 90s will be confined to Mon-Wed. Yeah so much for the extended hot stretch. Now down to just 3 days as you said. Front comes in wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 1 hour ago, Gravity Wave said: Models are trending towards cutting off the heat wave early, looks like the 90s will be confined to Mon-Wed. Heat reloads after next weekend, EPS shows even more ridging for early September. Getting 90s in September is a lot more difficult, but the potential is definitely there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 1 hour ago, Gravity Wave said: Models are trending towards cutting off the heat wave early, looks like the 90s will be confined to Mon-Wed. Thank G-d. This is like getting single digits and teens right before March. Enough is enough already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 Hope the summer continues well into September, really enjoy warmth and being outdoors. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 1 hour ago, 495weatherguy said: Hope the summer continues well into September, really enjoy warmth and being outdoors. This time of the season is my favorite in my opinion. Dry semi hot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 10 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Heat reloads after next weekend, EPS shows even more ridging for early September. Getting 90s in September is a lot more difficult, but the potential is definitely there. And a great example of that was September 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 Remainder of August averaging 81degs., or about 8degs. AN. Month to date is +2.0[77.5] and should end at +3.1[78.3]. The full 8 days is averaging 80degs., or 7degs. AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 You know it's going to get hot this week when both the Euro and GFS MOS have mid to upper 90's. The heat index will go over 100 with the dew points in the 70's. Closer to normal temperatures expected for next Thursday through Saturday behind the backdoor cold front. NEWARK KEWR GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 8/25/2018 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SAT 25| SUN 26| MON 27| TUE 28| WED 29| THU 30| FRI 31| SAT 01 CLIMO X/N 83| 66 87| 72 94| 76 97| 78 97| 73 82| 65 80| 66 82 63 81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 Looks like models are less with the closed low / easterly flow next weekend and more of a 2 -3 (Fri-sat/ sun) day cool down towards normal with more heat on/around labor day itself and into sep 4th week. 850s peaking 18 - 22 Tue - thu (8 28 - 30) ahead of front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 As of today station Aug mean temp stands at 76.9°...Warmest on 40 year record is 78.6° set in 2016, so with the up coming warmth will probably finish 3rd or so warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 28 minutes ago, doncat said: As of today station Aug mean temp stands at 76.9°...Warmest on 40 year record is 78.6° set in 2016, so with the up coming warmth will probably finish 3rd or so warmest. Interesting pattern since meteorological winter of the last month of each season having the warmest departure. LGA Dec...-2.0 Jan...-1.5 Feb...+7.1 Mar....-1.4 Apr.....-3.3 May..+4.9 Jun...+0.7 Jul....+2.4 Aug..+3.6 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 On 8/20/2018 at 9:39 PM, JustinRP37 said: February was +6.7F at KHPN and so far August has been +4.7F. Last month was +2.2. April was a coldest departure from normal at -2.1F, since March of 2015, which was -2.7 and February 2015 which was -6.7F. That February was the coldest departure from normal I have in that dataset since December 2010. Overall since I began compiling this data for tick projects, KHPN is running +1.8F above the 1981-2010 normals. I agree, my thinking has been that we are close to 2 degrees above the 1981-2010 average for today's climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 On 8/20/2018 at 10:01 PM, Brian5671 said: August will likely finish +3 to +4 and Feb was a blowtorch as noted above... I meant after Feb. I do agree that we are really about 2 degrees in reality over the 1981-2010 average today. Perhaps we should use 1.5 to 2 degrees over those averages and that would fit for today's climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 26, 2018 Share Posted August 26, 2018 On 8/23/2018 at 9:03 AM, SACRUS said: The cool down so far LGA: 8/19: 75 / 70 -3 8/20: 75 / 68 -3 8/21: 81 / 68 -1 8/22: 87 / 73 +4 8/23: 80 / 68 -2 8/24: 85 / 70 +3 8/25: 81 / 71 +1 EWR: v 8/19: 73 / 68 -5 8/20: 75 / 68 -4 8/21: 77 / 69 -2 8/22: 86 / 71 +4 8/23: 81 / 66 -3 8/24: 85 / 63 -1 8/25: 80 / 66 -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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